Daily Analysis 20220708

Global Update:

July 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 gains for fourth day to match year’s longest win streak, Dow jumps 300 points

U.S. stocks rose on Thursday as Wall Street built on its modest winning streak ahead of a key jobs report.

Dow…….31385 +346.9 +1.12%
Nasdaq.11621 +259.5 +2.28%
S&P 500..3903 +57.5 +1.50%

FTSE…….7189 +81.3 +1.14%
Dax……..12843 +248.7 +1.97%
CAC……..6007 +94.3 +1.60%

Nikkei….26491 +382.9 +1.47%
HSI……..21644 +56.9 +0.26%
Shanghai..3364 +9.1 +0.27%
ST Times..3129 +25.7 +0.83%

IDX…….6652.59 +6.18 +0.09%
LQ45…..946.58 -0.57 -0.06%

IDX Energy…1631.61 -2.51 -0.15%
IDX Bsc Mat.1170.42 +8.16 +0.70%
IDX Industrl..1155.42 -2.18 -0.19%
IDXNONCYC..707.14 -0.67 -0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.14 -1.48 -0.10%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.08 +5.52 +0.64%
IDX Techno….7556.91 +142.63 +1.92%
IDX Transp…1863.39 +32.72 +1.79%
IDX Infrast……959.35 +3.90 +0.41%
IDX Finance 1390.08 +9.64 +0.70%
IDX Property…….670 +7.30 +1.11%

Indo10Yr….7.3720 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI……….331.0947 +0.3341 +0.10%
US10Yr…..3.0080 +0.0950 +3.26%
VIX…………26.08 -0.65 -2.43%

USDIndx 107.1300 +0.0340 +0.03%‼
Como Indx..285.08 +8.95 +3.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.58 +3.45 +2.33%

IndoCDS…150.30 +3.78 +2.58%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……15001.50 +2.50 +0.02%‼
Jisdor..15015.00 -29.00 -0.19%‼

Euro………1.0162 -0.0023 -0.23%

TLKM……..26.88 +0.19 +0.71%
(4036)
EIDO………21.70 +0.10 +0.46%
EEM……….40.09 +0.79 +2.01%

Oil…………102.55 +4.34 +4.42%‼
Gold …….1739.30 +1.80 +0.10%
Timah. .24712.00 -1288 -4.95%‼
( Closed 06/7)
Nickel…21499.00 -198.00 -0.91%
(Closed 07/7)
Silver…….19.15 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….354.25 +1.06 +3.08%

Nturl Gas…..5.541 +0.6470 +11.68%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -116.67 -2.54%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(06/7)

Coal price…410.00 +10.30 +2.58%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…412.00 +15.60 +3.92%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…385.00 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…369.30 +5.70 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4135 +79 +1.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +11.25 +1.92%
SoybeanOil…59.59 +2.95 +5.21%‼
Wheat………836.50 +32.00 +3.98%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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Semua regional index ijo kemaren, idx juga ijo walau tipis. Good sign untuk koreksi mungkin sudah beres di level 6500 an, ga jadi dibawa tutup gap 6162

Tetep very selective buying di saham saham yang punya hajat sendiri, yang tetep ijo walau index merah

Oil Gas Coal naik tinggi, semakin besar tanda rebound untuk sektor energy yang rata2 memang sudah mulai keluar signal buy di stochastic

Kalo MACD buy signal keluar, kita entry

BRPT kemaren rally 10%, hari ini kemungkinan besar dibanting dulu, selain biasanya, pasti retrace dulu karena oil naik tinggi, bahan baku industri petrokimia kan dari minyak. Minyak naik biaya produksi naik

Gold CPO Copper ijo, solver nickel merah. Timah drop. Ngehambat trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS aja nih, heu

Seandainya koreksi beres di level 6500, kita bisa proyeksikan gerakan selanjutnya kesini

Tapi kalo liat cacing RSI nya begini, banyak sektor yang siap weakening, lebih besar kemungkinan koreksi lanjut dulu

MACD nya juga suggest masih kebawah dulu

Kita check Energy sama Industrial

ADRO ITMG ELSA

ADRO – Bandar belum entry lagi, ada freq spike, LR ok Stoch ok, MACD belum, kita tunggu MACD

ITMG – kondisi banyak mirip dengan ADRO, bandar belum, foreign belum, LR kurang pas tapi,udah duluan rebound, terus merah lagi. Kita tunggu MACD juga

ELSA – LR ok, mantul di support, semoga nanti confirm divergence nya by tembus fibo 23, ada freq spike, stoch belum macd belum, kita tambah muatan di next buy signal

UNTR, walau melemah tapi kuadrant nya lagging diharapkan ke depannya mantul

UNTR – kalo dibawa kebawah lagi ke level support berani buy sebagian, kalo ga dibawa turun lagi kita tunggu buy signal aja

Itungan ABC correction nya belum beres, walau LR udah ok. Foreign lama akum tapi lagi distribusi minggu ini

Dilihat dari indikator, energy belum ada yang firm untuk dibeli pagi ini, kita check lg setelah sesi 1

Industrials ASII UNTR layak pantau

INDY UNTR kalo yang sektornya sesuai, SRTG tapi menarik, oversold di semua stoch, ada freq spike tgl 5 juli

INDY – Stoch OK, MACD belum, LR ok, ABC correction udah sempet hampir kena itungannya tapi belum sampe keburu mantul, ada gap diatas di 2800 an. Sama dengan ADRO dan ITMG deh, tunggu MACD

SRTG – LR ok, ABC correction done, stoch ok, foreign akum bandar masih distribusi, tunggu MACD deh

BRPT menarik, kemaren naik 10%, Zia Buy signal juga

BRPT – technical versi oscillators ok, retracement nya mentok di fibo 23, LRnya ga ok, foreign masih distribusi, bandar juga, masih digebukin ini, jangan2 cuma DCB aja. Follow the money aja kayanya BRPT, kalo bandarmulai akum lagi kita ikut