Daily Analysis 20220628

Global update:

June 28th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Monday following a major rebound last week from this year’s steep declines. Wall Street is preparing to wrap up the worst first half for stocks in decades.

Dow…….31438 -62.4 -0.20%
Nasdaq.11525 -83.1 -0.72%
S&P 500..3900 -11.6 -0.30%

FTSE…….7258 +49.5 +0.69%
Dax……..13186 +67.9 +0.52%
CAC……..6047 -26.04 -0.43%

Nikkei….26871 +379.3 +1.43%
HSI……..22230 +510.5 +2.35%
Shanghai..3379 +29.4 +0.88%
ST Times..3138 +25.9 +0.83%

IDX…….7016.06 -26.88 -0.38%
LQ45….1010.74 -8.25 -0.81%

IDX Energy…1646.83 -22.57 -1.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.56 -8.60 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1235.82 +8.76 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC..726.37 +2.81 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare.1498.36 -0.08 -0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.11 -2.77 -0.31%
IDX Techno..7816.59 -21.94 -0.28%
IDX Transp…2086.89 +98.38 +5.00%
IDX Infrast……977.53 +8.13 +0.84%
IDX Finance 1472.24 +4.40 +0.30%
IDX Property…….690 +2.10 +0.31%

Indo10Yr….7.4283 -0.0259 -0.35%
ICBI……….329.8951 +0.9667 +0.29%
US10Yr….3.1940 +0.0690 +2.21%
VIX…………26.95 -0.28 -1.03%

USDIndx 103.9390 -0.2460 -0.24%
Como Indx….298.78 +0.23 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..159.14 +1.31 +0.83%

IndoCDS…127.82 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14797.50 -50.50 -0.34%‼️
Jisdor..14802.00 -44.00 -0.30%‼️

Euro………1.0582 +0.0029 +0.27%

TLKM……..27.59 unch +0%
(4084)
EIDO……….22.89 -0.36 -1.55%
EEM……….40.70 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil………….109.88 +2.26 +2.10%
Gold …… .1823.10 -7.20 -0.39%
Timah. .24590.00 – -%‼️
( Closed 24/6)
Nickel..22938.00 +810.00 +3.66%‼️
(Closed 27/6)
Silver……….21.16 unch +0%
Copper…..376.00 +1.70 +0.45%

Nturl Gas…..6.444 +0.269 +4.35%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…392.45 +5.45 +1.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…375.90 +4.40 +1.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…372.00 +4.80 +1.31%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…354.50 +2.80 +0.80%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4920 +264 +5.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………653.00 -21.00 -3.12%
SoybeanOil…..65.68 +0.73 +1.12%
Wheat………917.50 -19.00 -2.03%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Giliran US merah, ihsg suka ikutan, kemaren US ijo asia ijo europe ijo kita merah juga padahal… Oil NIkel Coal Gas rebound, gold turun copper naik… Waktunya rebound buat saham saham coal dan trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS

Ini ABC correction IHSG tahun kemaren, setelah MACD nya sell, balik lagi buy, tapi cuma dibawa sideways akhirnya turun lagi sampai level flat correction

Mungkin akan kejadian gitu lagi, karena simple ABC pattern kayanya dah ga mungkin, semua sektor mau gerak, susah dipaksa turun tajem indexnya, paling sideways dulu, sampe pada cape, baru dibawa turun lagi

Udah mau siap jalan semua gini

Yang deket 45 derajat: Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals baru Infra, Finance, Basic Material

Healthcare udahan kayanya, giliran mau turun, gantian

BSDE PWON

BSDE – all good, sektor jalan, bandar and foreign mulai akum, itungan elliot wave reverse dah beres, stoch macd buy, tinggal index rada jinak harusnya BSDE jalan. PBV juga dibawah 1, OK banget.

PWON – hampir semua OK, cuma PBV udah diatas 1 aja sih dan consensus pricenya udah deket. Tapi foreign dan bandar udah duluan akumulasi di PWON.

ERAA SCMA

ERAA – kemaren kena trailing stop, kaya rejection candle di fibo 23, tudei pasang buy lagi di 500 kalo dia bikin tail/shadow. Target masih ke 600 sih, minimal fibo 38 di 575. Indic bagus, bandar akum,foreign akum, jauh dibawah consensus price. Semoga dapet rebuy di 500 atau malah di bawahnya

SCMA – Jauh di bawah consensus price, tapi PBV udah rada tinggi sebenernya, LR channel, so so, stoch macd sudah meloyo, bandar dan foreign juga buang, jangan dulu deh

INDF ICBP CPIN JPFA MYOR

INDF – Saham running, tapi ga berani ngejar, udah ada Bearish Divergence, tunggu koreksi dulu

ICBP – Sama dengan INDF, telat masuk jangan FOMO

CPIN – Kalo mau buy tunggu pullback ke 5525 an. Udah maha PBV nya, harga udah diatas consensus price juga

JPFA – Baru tutup Gap, ngitung retracement harusnya masih lanjut ke 1600 an tapi mungkin pullback dulu

MYOR – stoch mulai overbought, level fibo 38 udah kena, target CNH udah kena, turun dulu kayanya

EXCL TOWR BUMN tar dulu deh, kecuali JSMR kita liat

EXCL – Indic ok, LR mungkin test midline, ABC mungkin test fibo 23, bandar akum foreign buang.Kalo mau new entry pasang di deket fibo 23 atau midline LR channel

TOWR – kalo swing ok, tunggu bikin higher low. Sekarang stoch mulai overbought. Tapi selama sektornya mau lanjut bisa jadi ngejar ke fibo 38 dulu

JSMR – all good, harusnya lanjut

Stoch Signal : INKP UNTR BTPS

INKP – Stoch Buy, MACD belum, foreign out,bandar masih istribusi sampe kemaren, baru mentok fibo 23 lagi turun,LR channel dideketmid,belum tau mau kemana, belum dulu deh