Daily Analysis 20220624

Global Update:

June 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq rises 1%, Dow adds nearly 200 points in late-day rally

Stocks climbed in a late-day rally as bond yields slipped, and Wall Street continued to weigh recession risks.

Dow…….30677 +194.2 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11332 +179.1 +1.62%
S&P 500..3796 +35.8 +0.95%

FTSE…….7021 -68.8 -0.97%
Dax……..12913 -231.7 -1.76%
CAC……..5833 -33.3 -0.56%

Nikkei….26171 +21.7 +0.08%
HSI……..21274 +265.5 +1.26%
Shanghai..3320 +52.95 +1.62%
ST Times..3093 -0.5 -0.02%

IDX…….6998.27 +13.96 +0.20%
LQ45….1013.22 +4.46 +0.44%

IDX Energy…1655.22 -26.37 -1.57%
IDX Bsc Mat.1281.06 -8.27 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1227.54 -1.55 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..716.80 +8.04 +1.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.98 +17.71 +1.18%
IDXCYCLIC…..888.54 -1.19 -0.13%
IDX Techno..7694.05 -60.31 -0.78%
IDX Transp….1978.11 -64.57 -3.16%
IDX Infrast……959.52 +17.03 +1.81%
IDX Finance 1460.46 -4.72 -0.32%
IDX Property…….685 -1.90 -0.27%

Indo10Yr….7.4732 -0.0349 -0.46%
ICBI……….327.9706 +0.8534 +0.26%
US10Yr….3.0680 -0.0880 -2.79%
VIX…………29.05 +0.10 +0.35%

USDIndx 104.4310 +0.2340 +0.22%
Como Indx….296.69 -7.96 -2.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..162.06 -3.87 -2.34%

IndoCDS…133.07 +5.11 +3.99%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14840.50 -22.00 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..14835.00 -25.00 -0.17%‼

Euro………1.0528 -0.0038 -0.36%

TLKM……..27.80 +0.48 +1.76%
(4124)
EIDO……….23.07 +0.17 +0.74%
EEM……….39.71 +0.12 +0.30%

Oil………….104.38 +0.16 +0.15%
Gold …… .1825.30 -14.40 -0.78%
Timah. .29054.00 -2285 -7.29%‼
( Closed 22/6)
Nickel..24012.00 -577.00 -2.34%‼
(Closed 23/6)
Silver……….21.02 -0.45 -2.09%
Copper…..376.25 -17.10 -4.35%‼

Nturl Gas…..6.228 -0.556 -8.20%‼

Ammonia ..4883.33 +10 +0.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…397.50 +5.50 +1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price…397.05 +5.05 +1.29%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…350.00 +4.50 +1.30%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.90 +10.15 +2.75%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4750 +150 +3.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………655.50 -38.25 -5.51%‼
SoybeanOil….63.89 -3.58 -5.31%‼
Wheat………949.25 -39.50 -3.99%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US rebound… Europe masih merah, asia ijo kecuali Singapore merah tipis. Oil naik tipis, gold turun, timah nikel drop lagi, copper gas cpo drop juga. Coal mantul, sudah saatnya sih… Siap2 buy di saham coal pas momentnya, kemungkinan hari ini.

IHSG – Masih diperkirakan akan menyelesaikan Wave C sebelum bisa mulai rally lagi…

Tapi udah banyak saham yang indicatornya bilang buy

Secara sektor dari cacing RSI nya juga sudah keliatan mau bangkit

Ngitung dari yang paling deket ke 45 derajat: Healthcare, Finance, Infra, Property, Consumer Non-Cyclical, Consumer Cyclical

HEAL MIKA

MIKA – lagi sideways abis tutup gap, kalo dari Elliot wave harusnya lanjut, tapi stochastic sama MACD bilang mau koreksi dulu

HEAL – otw wave 5, so far indic masih dukung naik semua

Big banks lagi leading… Tapi ini bisa jadi jebakan betmen, pas udah entry index drop, dibawa kebawah lagi deh semua

BTPS BRIS kurang menggembirakan, belum jalan lagi

BTPS – ada freq spike significant, kemungkinan besar ga lama lagi diangkat

TOWR ADHI EXCL TLKM

ADHI – most indicator bilang bagus buat entry kecuali regression channel, tapi personally belum comfort buy BUMN karya, keuangannya jelek

TOWR – all good, tapi dikit lagi stoch 833 bisa bilang harus koreksi, kalo mau second entry nanti setelah mantul dari situ

EXCL – all good, BOW

TLKM – kecuali foreign yang masi belum akum, dan bisa jadi akan ada minor correction, all good sih, ada freq spike juga

PWON BSDE

PWON – all good, ada freq spike juga…

BSDE – bandar sama foreign belum masuk, dan reg channel nanggung, itu aja sih minusnya, sisa nya ok

ICBP INDF CPIN JPFA

ICBP – karena sektornya kemaren belum jalan, jadi belum berani entry ICBP, ternyata bener jalan sesuai targrt CNH dan theory retracement – ABC correction. Sekarang udah ga ok buat new entry, bukan rejekinya…

INDF – Mirip banget sama ICBP chart nya. Udah ketemu bearish divergence lagi juga, ga bijak buat entry disini

CPIN – kemaren2 ragu masuk takut sektor belum jalan dan index mau koreksi, sekarang udah tela buat masuk, kalo mau tunggu pull back, sekalian tunggu major trend shifting jadi minimal sideways

ERAA

ERAA – All good… tinggal tunggu TP

Stoch Buy Signal 20220623

Milih BSDE CTRA dibanding BUMN karya deh

Udah pada di Buy INTP EXCL PWON. EXCL malah udah TP mau re-entry BOW