Daily Analysis 20220617

Global update:

June 17th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sinks 700 points, dropping back below 30,000 to the lowest level in more than a year

The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Thursday tumbled below the key 30,000 level for the first time since January 2021 as investors worried the Federal Reserve’s aggressive approach toward curbing inflation would bring the economy into a recession.

Dow…….29927 -741.3 -2.42%
Nasdaq.10646 -453.1 -4.08%
S&P 500..3667 -123.2 -3.25%

FTSE…….7045 -228.4 -3.14%
Dax……..13039 -446.8 -3.31%
CAC……..5886 -143.9 -2.39%

Nikkei….26431 +105.04 +0.40%
HSI……..20845 -462.8 -2.17%
Shanghai..3285 -20.02 -0.61%
ST Times..3097 -8.4 -0.27%

IDX…….7050.33 +43.28 +0.62%
LQ45….1017.89 +3.77 +0.37%

IDX Energy…1690.70 +37.15 +2.25%
IDX Bsc Mat.1315.77 +13.87 +1.07%
IDX Industrl..1248.83 +15.28 +1.24%
IDXNONCYC..694.91 +5.92 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.44 +15.59 +1.07%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.79 +10.44 +1.18%
IDX Techno..7839.32 -99.30 -1.25%
IDX Transp….2070.83 +21.98 +1.07%
IDX Infrast……945.88 +8.32 +0.89%
IDX Finance 1482.01 +14.47 +0.99%
IDX Property…….692 +5.10 +0.75%

Indo10Yr….7.5733 +0.0691 +0.92%
ICBI……….326.8177 -0.0299 -0.01%
US10Yr….3.3070 -0.0880 -2.59%
VIX……….32.95 +3.33 +11.24%

USDIndx 103.6310 -1.5270 -1.45%‼
Como Indx….317.17 +2.38 +0.76%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..170.31 -3.73 -2.14%

IndoCDS…132.71 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14767.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14741.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼

Euro………1.0554 +0.0107 +1.02%

TLKM……..27.20 -0.39 -1.41%
(4009)
EIDO……….22.90 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM……….39.52 -1.25 -3.07%

Oil………….116.78 +0.60 +0.52%
Gold …… .1854.90 +18.50 +1.01%
Timah. .32444.00 +1351 +4.34%‼
( Closed 15/6)
Nickel..25305.00 -300.00 -1.94%
(Closed 17/6)
Silver……….21.95 +0.24 +1.11%
Copper…..411.95 -8.35 -1.99%

Nturl Gas…..7.346 -0.099 -1.33%

Ammonia ..4963.00 -16.67 -0.33%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/6)

Coal price…386.35 +1.00 +0.26%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price… 346.40 +1.40 +0.41%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price….330.65 -1.80 -0.54%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price….311.85 +4.30 +1.40%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…5477 -102 -1.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………735.00 +14.00 +1.94%
SoybeanOil….72.94 -1.13 -1.53%
Wheat……..1090.50 +27.00 +2.54%

Wood pulp…6636.00 -30 -0.45%
(Closed 16/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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US drop gede lagi… Europe juga, asia cuma nikkei yang ijo kemaren. Brace yourself, IHSG juga keliatannya akan drop besar hari ini

Oil gold tin silver coal naik, cpo gas nikel turun

Sudah coba naik tutup gap hari ini tapi gagal. Banyak saham yang digerakin naik kemarin, jadi ada kemungkinan hari ini jadi hari take profit sedunia

Infrastructure, healthcare, property keliatannya mau nyusul. Finance jangan dulu deh, kemareng ngangkat index finance jalan, pas index drop finance most likely bakal dibanting

Techno agak melemah, tapi masih leading

ISAT TBIG PTPP

ISAT – udah touch fibo 61 kemaren, udah overbought juga, udah sah kalo mau turun, Dan sentimen global yang lagi merah membara gini, kemungkinan besar ikutan turun. Regression channel juga suggest begitu

TBIG – all suggest masih naik, kecuali kemungkinan mentok di fibo 38. Tapi biasanya mentok di fibolevel juga keliatan di stochasticnya sih. Tapi keliatannya buat hari ini mah sideways dulu, ketika index terjun

PTPP – Masih galau ini sih, udah tutup gap, bandar masih distribusi, fns, MACD malah sell signal

IRRA KLBF HEAL SAME… Ga rekomen masuk small caps layer 3 ya… Kita liat KLBF sama MIKA yang rada melemah, siapa tahu harus exit

KLBF – harusnya lagi wave 5… Tapi lama banget dibawa sideways, mungkin karena temen2 farmasinya nyungsep semua, saya pribadi skip saham ini ah

MIKA – harusnya mau nutup gap, tapi stoch 833 nya suggest minor correction dulu walau stoch 1066 nya masih firm. MACD belum buy signal. SOS dulu kalo sempet, nanti rebuy pas 833 buy signal baru

PWON disusul CTRA BSDE

PWON – Cakep ini, foreign akum terus, bandar lokal belum tapi, belum firm di stoch sama MACD D1, tapi di koreksi ABC udah kena level 1,61 udah sah buat dibilang selesai koreksi. Regression channel suggest buy, BOW ini setelah gonjang ganjing hari take profit sedunia selesai, atau tunggu buy signal stocahstic

CTRA – belum saatnya… kalodari ilmu divergence tunggu 2 bull candle, dari regression udah ok buy, oscillators nya belum juga. Minggu depan lah

BSDE – menarik ada freq spike, tapi all suggest belum waktunya buy. Bareng CTRA kayanya minggu depan

Update Stoch Buy Signal after Market kemaren

MYOR menarik, tapi sektornya belum jalan

MACD Buy signal

Finance jangan dulu, index koreksi pasti finance koreksi juga

SCMA menarik

SCMA – Ada freq spike, oscillators confirms, ngejar exit di fibo 38 atau kalo fibo 23 ga tembus

BOW di setengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick kalo mau