Daily Analysis 2022029

Global update:

September 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak

The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted a big comeback from its 2022 low as the Bank of England said it would buy bonds to stabilize its financial markets, a stunning reversal in the monetary tightening policies implemented this year by most central banks to stifle inflation.

Dow…….29684 +548.8 +1.88%
Nasdaq.11052 +222.1 +2.05%
S&P 500..3719 +71.8 +1.97%

FTSE…….7005 +20.8 +0.30%
Dax……..12183 +43.6 +0.36%
CAC……..5765 +11.2 +0.19%

Nikkei….26174 -397.9 -1.50%
HSI……..17251 -609.4 -3.41%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3116 -49.2 -1.55%

IDX…….7007.03 -35.42 -0.50%
LQ45…1013.51 -2.48 -0.24%

IDX Energy…1905.14 -33.53 -1.73%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.94 -23.93 -1.88%
IDX Industrl..1298.12 -23.93 -1.88%
IDXNONCYC..702.01 -0.22 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1463.85 -1.79 -0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.06 -7.96 -0.92%
IDX Techno..7185.88 -64.96 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1812.69 -32.73 -1.77%
IDX Infrast…….999.58 -9.89 -0.98%
IDX Finance 1496.09 -7.18 -0.48%
IDX Banking..1161.15 -1.49 -0.13%
IDX Property….703 -7.10 -1.00%

Indo10Yr….7.4103 +0.0239 +0.32%
ICBI……..332.7745 -0.5936 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.7050 -0.2590 -6.53%‼️
VIX……….30.18 -2.42 -7.42%‼️

USDIndx112.6040 -1.4990 -1.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.82 +5.85 +2.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.05 +0.75%
.
IndoCDS 165.45 +53.61 +47.93%‼️‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15266.50 +142.50 +0.94%‼️
Jisdor..15243.00 +86.00 +0.58%‼️

Euro……..0.9724 +0.0135 +1.41%‼️

TLKM……..29.55 +0.71 +2.46%
(4504)
EIDO……….23.87 +0.28 +1.19%
EEM……….35.81 +0.31 +0.87%

Oil…………..81.81 +3.59 +4.59%‼️
Gold ……1667.30 +30.70 +1.88%‼️
Timah. .20680.00 +40 +0.19%
( Closed 27/9)
Nickel…22063.00 +380.00 +1.75%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.88 +0.54 +2.94%
Copper….338.05 +8.60 +2.61%

Nturl Gas…..7.019 +0.207 +3.04%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….436.00 -1.65 -0.38%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.75 -3.25 -0.77%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….424.00 -1.25 -0.29%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 +2.55 +0.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 +7.70 +2.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….302.00 +7.00 +2.37%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3225 -305 -8.84%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………670.50 +3.00 +0.45%
SoybeanOil…62.15 -0.24 -0.38%
Wheat………903.25 +31.75 +3.64%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US dan europe rebound, asia closing masih merah, kayanya hari ini ijo IHSG…

Oil rebound, semua metal ijo, gas naik, coal turn, cpo drop jauh

 

IHSG – masih jadwal koreksi wave 2, mungkin technical rebound hari ini ikut US dan europe

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – masih sideways, foreign masih inside, kita tunggu breakout triangle ke atas…

HMSP sama GGRM vol breakout

HMSP – naik tembus resistance minor with volume, stoch dan MACD jadi buy signal, MFIup, Bandar ngebalik jadi akum, foreign lanjut akum, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10. Yang masih ok beli saham rokok, bisa pasang BOW di tengah candle kearen, di 905. saya pribadi skip…

GGRM – mirip HSMP, stoch buy macd buy MFI up, bandar dan foreign akum, supertrend buy, breakout minor resistance with volume, bullish divergence confirmed by MACD buy signal, 2 bull candle and close above MA 10, BOW tengah candle kemaren 23600 plus 1 tick

Infrastuctures – oscillators masih jelek, tapi dari elliot wave sekarang itungan fibonaccinya udah sampe level biasa mantul, lanjut wave 3

Belum ada buy signal baru…

TLKM big akum, FNB

TLKM – stoch buy macd belum, MFI flat, bandar dan foreign akum, elliot wave keliatannya lagi wave 3, bisa spec buy setengah, BOW. Firm macd dan vol breakut tambah setengah lagi