Daily Analysis 20122226

December 26th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close higher Friday, but fall for a third straight week

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose Friday, but still posted a weekly loss as recession fears continue to batter investor sentiment.

Dow…….33204  +176.4   +0.53%
Nasdaq.10498  +21.7      +0.21%
S&P 500..3845  +22.4      +0.59%

FTSE…….7473  +3.7        +0.05%
Dax……..13941 +26.9      +0.19%
CAC……..6505   -13.1       -0.20%

Nikkei…..26235   -272.6 -1.03%
HSI………19593   -86.2    -0.44%
Shanghai…3046  -8.6      -0.28%
ST Times..3260 +13.3    +0.41%

IDX…….6800.67  -23.76   -0.35%
LQ45……934.26  -7.43      -0.79%

IDX Energy..2256.74   +1.76   +0.08%
IDX BscMat 1231.04   +5.78  +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1178.79   -3.76    -0.32%
IDXNINCYC..722.15    -1.67    -0.23%
IDX Hlthcare.1552.67 -3.76    -0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.73  -2.24    -0.26%
IDX Techno..5137.38  -15.63  -0.30%
IDX Transp…1677.17  -12.97  -0.77%
IDX Infrast……854.79  -0.42    -0.05%
IDX Finance 1420.79  -7.14     -0.60%
IDX Banking 1148.88  -9.44     -0.81%
IDX Property….692    +4.70     +0.68%

Indo10Yr.7.0089 -0.0024   -0.03%
ICBI….344.2860 +0.1558  +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7510  +0.0820  +2.23%
VIX……20.87     -1.10        -5.01%

USDIndx.104.3140 -0.099  -0.09%
Como Indx.278.11 +4.47  +1.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.71 +1.06  +0.65%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15592.50 +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor..15605.00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0617  +0.0021 +0.20%

TLKM…….24.03     +0.32   +1.350%
(3750)
EIDO………22.42     -0.03    -0.13%
EEM……….37.80    -0.05    -0.13%

Oil………..79.56   +2.07   +2.67%
Gold …..1804.20 +8.90     +0.50%
Timah…..23934  +4.00     +0.02%
(Closed 23/12)
Nickel.29684.00 -403.50 -1.37%
(Closed 23/12)
Silver…….23.92    +0.30   +1.25%
Copper…380.90   +5.20   +1.38%

Nturl Gas..5.125   +0.06  +1.18%

Ammonia..4573.33 unch     +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/12)

Coal price….401.10  +0.45   +0.11%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.10   +0.10  +0.03%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.05   +0.10  +0.03%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…288.70    -0.80    -0.35%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.70  -4.40   -2.28%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.25  -4.15   -2.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3831   -62    -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….666.25 +5.75   +0.87%
SoybeanOil..64.65   +0.64   +1.00%
Wheat………776.00  +13.75 +1.80%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 25/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo, europe mostly ijo, asia hampir semua merah

Metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel, oil gas coal naik, cpo yang turun… Harusnya hari ini lanjut ijo IHSG. Saham basic materials logam2an, coal coal, harusnya rally… AALI LSIP belum asik euy

Semua melemah… Ga jadi santa claus rally nya

Kita cari saham yang prepare gerak aja deh

Stochastic Buy Signal: EMTK DSNG PTPP TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT EMTK AALI DOID MTDL PTRO

Menarik DSNG sama AALI bareng buy signal, CPO mau bangun?

EMTK – udah bottoming banget, stoch sama macd bilang udah mau reversal, MFI masih down, sempet ada freq spike, tapi BD FF masih dist, itungan ABC correction udah tercapai… yang mau spec buy bisa, stoploss ketat, yang mau aman tunggu sampe firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

Menarik spike nya

DSNG – udah tercapai fibo 61 nya, lagi fase sideways, ada gap di bawah, BD FF acc terus, MACD down, stoch buy, tunggu breakout aja deh, sambil kita assess lagi kalo MACD nya buy

BRPT – stoch up MACD buy, BD FF sudah acc tipis, MFI up, Reg Bull Div MACD confirmed by MA 10 and MACD buy signal, ABC correction level done, berani spec buy ini BRPT

spike di fase sideways, menarik banget

PTPP – stoch buy, MACD revup, BD mulai akum tipis, FF acc udah hampir 2 minggu, MFI masih down, LR siap mantul, drop udah jauh banget, bagusnya tunggu bikin higher low. Kemungkinan akan diangkat pake issue IKN, tapi yang leading kayanya ADHI dari berita berita yang dihembuskan sih. Kalo mau spec buy tunggu MACD aja

TAPG – stoch buy macd belum, MFI up, BD FF masih distribusi, harga lagi area fibo 23, siap jalan ke fibo 61, tapi amannya kita tunggu macdnya buy

AALI – stoch up macd buy, BD FF akum tipis, FF udah akum seminggu lebih, MFI up, bisa spec buy, stoploss ketat

Tinggal tunggu waktu nya diangkat…

MTDL – sektornya lagi naik, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA 10, MACD buy signal, stoch up macd buy, mfi up, BD FF 3 hari acc, target vol profile di atas, BOW…

freq spike setelah beres downtrend, ok harusnya ini

PTRO – ga berani masuk udah naik 60% gini sih… next wave aja deh