Daily Analyis 20230704

July 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks eke out small gain to start second half of 2023, Tesla rises 6%

Stocks rose slightly Monday in a shortened session that kicked off the second half of what’s already been a stellar year on Wall Street.

Dow……34418 +10.9 +0.03%
Nasdaq13817 +28.9 +0.21%
S&P 500.4456 +5.2 +0.12%

FTSE…..7527 -4.3 -0.06%
Dax……16081 -66.9 -0.41%
CAC……7387 -13.4 -0.18%

Nikkei…..33753 +564.3 +1.70%
HSI………19307 +390.2 +2.06%
Shanghai.3244 +41.9 +1.31%

IDX…..6696.72 +34.84 +0.52%
LQ45….952.57 +6.88 +0.73%
IDX30…495.03 +377 +0.77%

IDXEnergy…1765.88 +27.91 +1.61%
IDX BscMat..995.97 +2.96 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1166.72 +4.65 +0.40%
IDXNONCYC.747.42 +5.01 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare1473.66 -7.96 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC….877.76 +1.54 +0.18%
IDX Techno.4745.25 -35.07 -0.73%
IDX Transp..1906.75 +6.06 +0.32%
IDX Infrast… .851.07 +0.58 +0.07%
IDX Finance.1417.79+0.09 +0.01%
IDX Banking.1193.02+5.08 +0.43%
IDX Property..727 +0.40 +0.06%

*Indo10Yr.6.3272 -0.0177-0.28%*
*ICBI..367.7378 +0.2839+0.08%*
*US2Yr.4.9400* +0.0360 +0.73%
*US5Yr 4.1910* +0.0340 +0.82%
*US10Yr3.8530* +0.0120 +0.31%
*US30Yr.3.8610* -0.0030 -0.08%
*VIX…….13.57 -0.02 -0.15%*

*USDIndx102.9880* +0.0760 +0.07%
Como Indx…260.90 -1.10 -0.42%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.67 +0.32 +0.22%

*IndoCDS.88.14 -0.99 -1.11%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/06)*
*IDR…..15030.00‼️ -35.50 -0.24%*
*Jisdor.15034.00‼️ +34.00 +0.23%*

*Euro……1.0914* +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…26.42 -0.25 -0.94%
*(3972)*
EIDO….23.12 +0.07 +0.30%
EEM….40.00 +0.44 +1.11%

Oil…….70.15 -0.49 -0.69%
Gold…1928.90 -0.50 -0.03%
*Timah..26787.00 – -%*
*(Closed 30/06)*
Nickel..20433.50 +210.00 +1.03%
(Closed 03/07)
Silver….. 23.11 +0.09 +0.39%
Copper..379.30 +3.35 +0.89%

*Iron Ore 62% 112.57* -0.05 -0.04%
(30/06)
*Nturl Gas.2.697 -0.077 -2.78%*

Coal price.148.05 -1.65 -1.10%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.45 -1.85 +1.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.30 -0.50 -0.32%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.50 -1.75 -1.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price121.45 -3.20 -2.57%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.119.05 -3.00 -2.46%*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.117.95 -2.95 -2.44%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.117.20 -2.70 -2.25%*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3985 +202 +5.34%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 -1.25 -0.25%
SoybeanOil 60.19 +1.22 +2.07%
Wheat…641.75 -9.25 -1.42%

*Wood pulp..4210.00* unch +0.23%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US masih ijo, europe merah, Asia ijo tebel nyusul US jum’at. Menjelang 4th of July kayanya market akan rada sepi karena US nanti malem tutup

USD index naik tipis, gold turun tipis, silver copper ijo, nikel rebound dikit, iron ore merah tipis, oil gas coal merah, pullback dikit lah energy

Kalo hari ini gold closing ijo, MACD nya Buy, bisa berharap ANTM dan MDKA lanjut jalan

IHSG – MACD ga jadi sell, 833 buy, stoch rev up, MFI sw, w% up, udah 3 hari FNB, good sign. biking swing high, closing diatas ma 10, dan cross up midline LR, semoga lanjut

Financials jalan, Infobank15 kemaren MACD udah buy. Basic materials masih jalan tapi rada slow down

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: BMRI EXCL INSF UNVR ABMM ISAT PNBN PWON RMKE SGER TOBA ANJT WINS

BMRI UNVR ABMM PWON Big Acc, ISAT FNB gede

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM LSIP WINS

HRUM Big Acc

Alligator Buy Signal: BBKP BTPS. BBKP Big acc

BMRI – stoch buy, macd up.833 up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, double bottom / triple bottom / triangle breakout, financials jalan, vol breakout, BOW tengah candle kemaren

PWON – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI sw, w%up, BD FF acc, ada freq spike, mantul dari fibo 38, mau gerak wave 3? maybe… abis naik tinggi dengan vol besar, konsol dengan vol kecil, sap jalan lagi harusnya

Freq spike valid, walau ga tinggi2 amat. Buy

ISAT – stoch buy, MACD down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc, udah wave 5 ga bijak dikejar, targetnya udah done, harusnya ABC correction dulu minimal sampe level fibo 38 lah. Lagipula historically jalan nya bareng MACD bukan cuma stoch

Spike terakhir pas turun, resiko bahwa itu mulai spike jual

Wns deh ISAT

HRUM – stoch buy macd buy, MFI down, w%uptrend, BD FF big acc, udah bikin higher low, breakout  IHNS, bisa buy

Ada freq spike walau ga terlalu tinggi

LSIP – stoch rev up, macd rev buy, 833 buy, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, akhirnya udha bikin higher low, udah bisa masuk harusnya

Firm freq spike, mau hajatan… BOW full load LSIP

BTPS – stoch ob, macd up, 833buy, MFI upp w% uptrrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low terus mantul, BO IHNS, ok sih, cuma karena kemaren udah naik 9% lebih jadi khawatir pullback agak dalem, bisa BOW tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick.

Spike tinggi, cuma pas price rada slide down, tapi harusnya masih valid sih ga drop setelahnya dan memang mulai jalan

BOW BTPS at half last candle plus 1 tick