Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) Definition, How It Works

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Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) Definition, How It Works

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What Is the Alternative Minimum Tax?

An alternative minimum tax (AMT) places a floor on the percentage of taxes that a filer must pay to the government, no matter how many deductions or credits the filer may claim.

The United States currently has an alternative minimum tax for taxpayers who earn above certain income thresholds.

The AMT recalculates income tax after adding certain tax preference items back into adjusted gross income. It uses a separate set of rules to calculate taxable income after allowed deductions. Preferential deductions are added back into the taxpayer’s income to calculate their alternative minimum taxable income (AMTI), and then the AMT exemption is subtracted to determine the final taxable figure.

Key Takeaways

  • The AMT ensures that certain taxpayers pay their fair share or at least a minimum amount of tax.
  • It doesn’t kick in until income reaches beyond a certain exemption level.
  • For 2022, the exemption is $75,900 for single filers and $118,100 for couples filing jointly.
  • For 2023, the exemption is $81,300 for single filers and $126,500 for couples filing jointly.
  • In 2012, Congress passed the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 that indexed the exemption amount to inflation to prevent middle-income taxpayers from owing AMT due to bracket creep.

How the Alternative Minimum Tax Works

The difference between a taxpayer’s alternative minimum taxable income and his AMT exemption is taxed using the relevant rate schedule. This yields the tentative minimum tax (TMT).

If the tentative minimum tax is higher than the taxpayer’s regular tax liability for the year, then they pay the regular tax and the amount by which the tentative minimum tax exceeds the regular tax. In other words, the taxpayer pays the full tentative minimum tax.

There are two alternative minimum tax rates, 26% and 28%. For 2022, the 28% rate applies to excess alternative minimum taxable income of $206,100 or more for all taxpayers ($103,050 for married couples filing separate returns). For 2023, the 28% rate applies to excess alternative minimum taxable income of $220,700 or more for all taxpayers ($110,350 for married couples filing separate returns). The 26% rate applies to incomes up to those levels.

A taxpayer who has a high income and uses large tax breaks may owe a smaller percentage under the standard rules. If so, the taxpayer is obliged to recalculate the taxes owed under the alternative minimum tax system, which eliminates some of those tax breaks.

The taxpayer will owe whichever amount is higher.

The first individual minimum tax was enacted in 1969 and was an add-on minimum tax. That is, it was a tax that was paid in addition to the regular income tax. The tax rate for the add-on minimum tax was 10%, and its tax base consisted of eight tax preference items. The most significant of these tax preference items was the portion of capital gains income that was excluded from the regular income tax.

Congressional Research Service

AMT Exemption Amounts

For tax year 2022, the AMT exemption for single filers is $75,900. For married joint filers, the figure is $118,100. For tax year 2023, the figures are $81,300 for single filers and $126,500 for married joint filers.

Taxpayers have to complete Form 6251 to see whether they might owe AMT. First, they subtract the exemption amount from their income. If their AMT is less than the exemption, they do not have to pay AMT.

It’s important to note, though, that taxpayers with AMTI over a certain threshold do not qualify for the AMT exemption. For tax year 2022, the phase-out begins at $539,900 for single filers and $1,079,800 for couples filing jointly. For tax year 2023, the phase-out begins at $578,150 for single filers and $1,156,300.

Purpose of AMT

AMT is designed to prevent taxpayers from escaping their fair share of tax liability through tax breaks. However, in the past, the structure was not indexed to inflation or tax cuts. This can cause bracket creep, a condition in which middle-income taxpayers could be subject to this tax instead of just the wealthy taxpayers for whom AMT was invented. In 2012, however, Congress passed a law indexing the AMT exemption amount to inflation.

Calculating AMT

To determine if they owe AMT, individuals can use tax software that automatically does the calculation, or they can fill out IRS Form 6251. This form takes medical expenses, home mortgage interest, and several other miscellaneous deductions into account to help tax filers determine if their deductions are beyond an overall limit set by the IRS.

The form also requests information on certain types of income such as tax refunds, investment interest, and interest from private activity bonds, as well as numbers corresponding with capital gains or losses related to the disposition of property.

The IRS has specific formulas in place to determine which portion of this income and deductions the tax filers need to note on Form 6251. It uses another set of formulas to determine how these numbers lead to AMTI.

What Is the AMT?

It’s a tax that applies to high-income individuals who otherwise (under the standard U.S. tax system) might pay little or even no taxes. Essentially, it involves an alternate tax system that is used in addition to the standard system. Each calculates tax owed. The taxpayer pays whichever is greater.

What Is the AMT Exemption for Tax Years 2022 and 2023?

For tax year 2022, the AMT exemption for individuals is $75,900 and $118,100 for married couples filing jointly. For tax year 2023, the figures are $81,300 and $126,500, respectively.

Does the AMT Account for Inflation?

Yes, but it only did so periodically before the passage of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. With that legislation, the AMT was to be permanently indexed to inflation. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 also increased the AMT exemption and the income level at which the exemption began to phase out. This reduced the number of people affected by the AMT. These changes expire after 2025.

The Bottom Line

The Alternative Minimum Tax is an additional or parallel tax system in the U.S. that is designed to ensure that high-income individuals pay their fair share of taxes. Prior to the AMT, certain taxpayers paid little in the way of taxes, due to preferential treatment of certain income and expenses, or tax breaks.

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Alan Greenspan: Brief Bio, Policies, Legacy

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Alan Greenspan: Brief Bio, Policies, Legacy

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Who Is Alan Greenspan?

Alan Greenspan is an American economist who was the chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Fed), the United States’ central bank, from 1987 until 2006. In that role, he also served as the chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is the Fed’s principal monetary policymaking committee that makes decisions on interest rates and managing the U.S. money supply.

Greenspan is best known for largely presiding over the Great Moderation, a period of relatively stable inflation and macroeconomic growth, that lasted from the mid-1980s to the financial crisis in 2007.

Key Takeaways

  • Alan Greenspan is an American economist and former chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Greenspan’s policy was defined by the Great Moderation, or the long-term maintenance of low, stable inflation and economic growth.
  • The expansionary monetary policy of “easy money” attributed to Greenspan’s tenure has been blamed in part for stoking the 2000 dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis.
  • Greenspan’s time as chair began with the immediate challenge of dealing with the historic 1987 stock market crash.
  • Greenspan is considered by some to be hawkish in his concerns over inflation. He received criticism for focusing more on controlling prices than on achieving full employment.

Early Life and Education

Alan Greenspan was born in New York City on March 6, 1926. He received his bachelor’s, master’s, and doctoral degrees in economics, all from New York University, as well as studying economics at Columbia University in the early 1950s under Arthur Burns, who would later serve two consecutive terms as chair of the Board of Governors of the Fed.

Greenspan’s first job, in 1948, was not in government but for a non-profit analyzing demand for steel, aluminum, and copper. After this, Greenspan ran an economic consulting firm in New York City, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., Inc., from 1954 to 1974 and 1977 to 1987. Greenspan began his career in the public sector in 1974 when he served as chair of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) under President Gerald Ford.

In 1987, Greenspan became the 13th chair of the Fed, replacing Paul Volcker. President Ronald Reagan was the first to appoint Greenspan to the office, but three other presidents, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and George W. Bush, named him to four additional terms. His tenure as chair lasted for more than 18 years before he retired in 2006 to be replaced by Ben Bernanke. After leaving, he published his memoir, The Age of Turbulence, and began his own Washington DC-based consulting firm, Greenspan Associates LLC. 

Alan Greenspan was known as being adept at gaining consensus among Fed board members on policy issues and for serving during one of the most severe economic crises of the late 20th century, the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987. After that crash, he advocated for sharply slashing interest rates to prevent the economy from sinking into a deep depression.

Fast Fact

Alan Greenspan was awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom by George W. Bush, making him the only Fed chair to receive the award.

Alan Greenspan’s Policies and Actions

Greenspan presided over one of the most prosperous periods in American history—thanks in no small part, supporters feel, to his helming of the Fed. Still, some of his policies and actions were controversial, either at the time or in retrospect.

Views on Inflation

Early in his career, Greenspan developed a reputation for being hawkish on inflation, in part due to his advocacy for a return to the gold standard in monetary policy in the 1967 essay “Gold and Economic Freedom.” 

His allegedly “hawkish” stance was portrayed by early critics as a preference for sacrificing economic growth in exchange for preventing inflation. Greenspan eventually reversed those views as Fed chief; in a 1998 speech, he conceded that the new economy might not be as susceptible to inflation as he had first thought.

In practice, Greenspan’s supposedly hawkish approach was flexible, to say the least. He was clearly willing to risk inflation under conditions that could create a severe depression and certainly pursued a generally easy money policy relative to his predecessor, Paul Volcker. In particular, in the early 2000s, Greenspan presided over cutting interest rates to levels not seen in many decades.

Flip-Flop on Interest Rates

In 2000, Greenspan advocated reducing interest rates after the dot-com bubble burst. He did so again in 2001 after 9-11, the World Trade Center attack. Following 9-11, Greenspan led the FOMC to immediately reduce the Fed funds rate from 3.5% to 3%, and, in the following months, he worked toward lowering that rate to a record (at the time) low of 1.13% and holding it there for a full year.

Some criticized those rate cuts as having the potential to inflate asset price bubbles in the U.S. Greenspan’s pro-inflationary policies, particularly during this period, are today generally understood to have contributed to the U.S. housing bubble, subsequent subprime mortgage financial crisis, and the Great Recession, though this is of course disputed by Greenspan and his allies.

Encouraging Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

In a 2004 speech, Greenspan suggested more homeowners should consider taking out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) where the interest rate adjusts itself to prevailing market interest rates. Under Greenspan’s tenure, interest rates subsequently rose as inflation accelerated. This increase reset many of those mortgages to much higher payments, creating even more distress for many homeowners and exacerbating the impact of that crisis.

The “Greenspan Put”

The “Greenspan put” was a monetary policy strategy popular during the 1990s and 2000s under Greenspan. Throughout his reign, he attempted to help support the U.S. economy by actively using the federal funds rate to aggressively lower interest rates to fight the deflation of asset price bubbles.

The Greenspan put created a substantial moral hazard in financial markets. Informed investors could expect the Fed to take predictable actions that would bailout investor’s losses, which distort the incentives of market participants. This created an environment where investors were encouraged to take excessive risk because Fed monetary policy tended to inherently limit their potential losses in the event of a market downturn in an analogous way to buying put options on the open market.

How Long Was Alan Greenspan Federal Reserve Chair?

Alan Greenspan served as Chair of the Fed from 1987 to 2006, for a total of five terms.

Who Appointed Alan Greenspan?

President Ronald Reagan appointed Alan Greenspan as Chair of the Fed in 1987.

Who Replaced Alan Greenspan?

Ben Bernanke replaced Alan Greenspan as Chair of the Fed when he was appointed in 2006. Bernanke served until 2014.

How Old Is Alan Greenspan?

Alan Greenspan was born on March 6, 1926, making him 95 years old as of June 2021.

Who Is Alan Greenspan’s Wife?

Alan Greenspan married journalist Andrea Mitchell in 1997.

What Is Alan Greenspan Doing Now?

After his time at the Fed, Greenspan has worked as an advisor through his company, Greenspan Associates LLC.

The Bottom Line

Like many other government officials, the success of Alan Greenspan’s five terms as Chair of the Fed will depend on who you ask. However, it is certainly true that Greenspan faced some massive challenges during his tenure, such as the 1987 stock market crash and the attacks on the World Trade Center.

Overall, Greenspan helped usher in a strong U.S. economy in the 1990s. Opinion on how much his actions caused the economic recession that began shortly after his term ended varies.

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What Is an Amortization Schedule? How to Calculate with Formula

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What Is an Amortization Schedule? How to Calculate With Formula

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 Period Beginning Loan Balance Payment Interest Principal Ending Loan Balance
Month or period Amount of debt owed at the start of the month of period Amount due each month (often a fixed amount over the term of the loan) Amount of interest included in the payment (loan balance * 1/12 of interest) Amount of principal included in loan payment (Payment – Interest) Amount of debt owed at the end of the month or period (Beginning Loan Balance – Principal)
  • The period is the timing of each loan payment, often represented on a monthly basis. However, each row on an amortization represents a payment so if a loan is due bi-weekly or quarterly, the period will be the same. This column helps a borrower and lender understand which payments will be broken down in what ways. This may either be shown as a payment number (i.e., Payment 1, Payment 2, etc.) or a date (i.e. 1/1/2023, 2/1/2023, etc.).
  • The beginning loan balance is amount of debt owed at the beginning of the period. This amount is either the original amount of the loan or the amount carried over from the prior month (last month’s ending loan balance equals this month’s beginning loan balance).
  • The payment is the monthly obligation calculated above. This will often remain constant over the term of the loan. Though you usually calculate the payment amount before calculating interest and principal, payment is equal to the sum of principal and interest.
  • The interest portion is the amount of the payment that gets applied as interest expense. This is often calculated as the outstanding loan balance multiplied by the interest rate attributable to this period’s portion of the rate. For example, if a payment is owed monthly, this interest rate may be calculated as 1/12 of the interest rate multiplied by the beginning balance. Always be mindful of how a lender calculates, applies, and compounds your annual percentage rate as this impacts your schedule. As the outstanding loan balance decreases over time, less interest should be charged each period.
  • The principal portion is simply the left over amount of the payment. This is the total payment amount less the amount of interest expense for this period. As the outstanding loan balance decreases over time, less interest will be charged, so the value of this column should increase over time.
  • The ending loan balance is the difference between the beginning loan balance and the principal portion. This represents the new debt balance owed based on the payment made for the new period.

Amortization of Intangible Assets

Amortization can also refer to the amortization of intangibles. In this case, amortization is the process of expensing the cost of an intangible asset over the projected life of the asset. It measures the consumption of the value of an intangible asset, such as goodwill, a patent, a trademark, or copyright.

Amortization is calculated in a similar manner to depreciation—which is used for tangible assets, such as equipment, buildings, vehicles, and other assets subject to physical wear and tear—and depletion, which is used for natural resources.

When businesses amortize expenses over time, they help tie the cost of using an asset to the revenues that it generates in the same accounting period, in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). For example, a company benefits from the use of a long-term asset over a number of years. Thus, it writes off the expense incrementally over the useful life of that asset.

The amortization of intangibles is also useful in tax planning. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) allows taxpayers to take a deduction for certain expenses: geological and geophysical expenses incurred in oil and natural gas exploration, atmospheric pollution control facilities, bond premiums, research and development (R&D), lease acquisition, forestation and reforestation, and intangibles, such as goodwill, patents, copyrights, and trademarks.

The IRS has schedules that dictate the total number of years in which to expense tangible and intangible assets for tax purposes.

Why Is Amortization Important?

Amortization is important because it helps businesses and investors understand and forecast their costs over time. In the context of loan repayment, amortization schedules provide clarity into what portion of a loan payment consists of interest versus principal. This can be useful for purposes such as deducting interest payments for tax purposes. It is also useful for future planning to understand what a company’s future debt balance will be in the future after a series of payments have already been made.

Amortizing intangible assets is important because it can reduce a business’s taxable income, and therefore its tax liability, while giving investors a better understanding of the company’s true earnings. Intangible assets also have a finite useful life; over time, trademarks or patents may lose their value due to obsolescence. Amortizing intangible assets is also a reflection of how a company has “used up” the benefit of these assets.

Amortization vs. Depreciation

Amortization and depreciation are similar concepts, in that both attempt to capture the cost of holding an asset over time. The main difference between them, however, is that amortization refers to intangible assets, whereas depreciation refers to tangible assets. Examples of intangible assets include trademarks and patents; tangible assets include equipment, buildings, vehicles, and other assets subject to physical wear and tear.

Another difference is the accounting treatment in which different assets are reduced on the balance sheet. Amortizing an intangible asset is performed by directly crediting (reducing) that specific asset account. Alternatively, depreciation is recorded by crediting an account called accumulated depreciation, a contra asset account. The historical cost fixed assets remains on a company’s books; however, the company also reports this contra asset amount to report a net reduced book value amount.

Last, the calculation of each can be different. This is especially true when comparing depreciation to the amortization of a loan. Intangible assets are often amortized over their useful life using the straight-line method, while fixed assets often use a much more broad set of calculation methods (i.e., declining balance method, double-declining balance method, sum-of-the-years’ digits method, or the units of production method).

Example of Amortization

Let’s look at a four-year, $30,000 auto loan at 3% interest. The monthly payment is going to be $664.03. That is arrived at as follows:


$ 30 , 000 × ( 0.0025 × ( 1.0025 ÷ 48 ) 1.0025 ÷ 48 1 ) \begin{aligned}&\$30,000 \times \Bigg ( \frac { 0.0025 \times (1.0025 \div 48) }{ 1.0025 \div 48 } – 1 \Bigg ) \\\end{aligned}
$30,000×(1.0025÷480.0025×(1.0025÷48)1)

In the first month, $75 of the $664.03 monthly payment goes to interest.


$ 30 , 000  loan balance × 3 %  interest rate ÷ 12  months \begin{aligned}&\$30,000 \ \text{loan balance} \times 3\% \ \text{interest rate} \div 12 \ \text{months} \\\end{aligned}
$30,000 loan balance×3% interest rate÷12 months

The remaining $589.03 goes toward principal.


$ 664.03  total monthly payment $ 75  interest payment \begin{aligned}&\$664.03 \ \text{total monthly payment} – \$75 \ \text{interest payment} \\ \end{aligned}
$664.03 total monthly payment$75 interest payment

The total payment stays the same each month, while the portion going to principal increases and the portion going to interest decreases. In the final month, only $1.66 is paid in interest, because the outstanding loan balance at that point is very minimal compared with the starting loan balance.

Loan Amortization Schedule
Period Total Payment Due Computed Interest Due Principal Due Principal Balance
        $30,000
1 $664.03 $75 $589.03 $29,410.97
2 $664.03 $73.53 $590.50 $28,820.47
3 $664.03 $72.05 $591.98 $28,228.49
4 $664.03 $70.57 $593.46 $27,635.03
5 $664.03 $69.09 $594.94 $27,040.09
6 $664.03 $67.60 $596.43 $26,443.66
7 $664.03 $66.11 $597.92 $25,845.74
8 $664.03 $64.61 $599.42 $25,246.32
9 $664.03 $63.12 $600.91 $24,645.41
10 $664.03 $61.61 $602.42 $24,042.99
11 $664.03 $60.11 $603.92 $23,439.07
12 $664.03 $58.60 $605.43 $22,833.64
13 $664.03 $57.08 $606.95 $22,226.69
14 $664.03 $55.57 $608.46 $21,618.23
15 $664.03 $54.05 $609.98 $21,008.24
16 $664.03 $52.52 $611.51 $20,396.73
17 $664.03 $50.99 $613.04 $19,783.69
18 $664.03 $49.46 $614.57 $19,169.12
19 $664.03 $47.92 $616.11 $18,553.02
20 $664.03 $46.38 $617.65 $17,935.37
21 $664.03 $44.84 $619.19 $17,316.18
22 $664.03 $43.29 $620.74 $16,695.44
23 $664.03 $41.74 $622.29 $16,073.15
24 $664.03 $40.18 $623.85 $15,449.30
25 $664.03 $38.62 $625.41 $14,823.89
26 $664.03 $37.06 $626.97 $14,196.92
27 $664.03 $35.49 $628.54 $13,568.38
28 $664.03 $33.92 $630.11 $12,938.28
29 $664.03 $32.35 $631.68 $12,306.59
30 $664.03 $30.77 $633.26 $11,673.33
31 $664.03 $29.18 $634.85 $11,038.48
32 $664.03 $27.60 $636.43 $10,402.05
33 $664.03 $26.01 $638.02 $9,764.02
34 $664.03 $24.41 $639.62 $9,124.40
35 $664.03 $22.81 $641.22 $8,483.18
36 $664.03 $21.21 $642.82 $7,840.36
37 $664.03 $19.60 $644.43 $7,195.93
38 $664.03 $17.99 $646.04 $6,549.89
39 $664.03 $16.37 $647.66 $5,902.24
40 $664.03 $14.76 $649.27 $5,252.96
41 $664.03 $13.13 $650.90 $4,602.06
42 $664.03 $11.51 $652.52 $3,949.54
43 $664.03 $9.87 $654.16 $3,295.38
44 $664.03 $8.24 $655.79 $2,639.59
45 $664.03 $6.60 $657.43 $1,982.16
46 $664.03 $4.96 $659.07 $1,323.09
47 $664.03 $3.31 $660.72 $662.36
48 $664.03 $1.66 $662.36 $0.00

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is Negative Amortization?

Negative amortization is when the size of a debt increases with each payment, even if you pay on time. This happens because the interest on the loan is greater than the amount of each payment. Negative amortization is particularly dangerous with credit cards, whose interest rates can be as high as 20% or even 30%. In order to avoid owing more money later, it is important to avoid over-borrowing and to pay your debts as quickly as possible.

What Does Amortization Mean for Intangible Assets?

Amortization measures the declining value of intangible assets, such as goodwill, trademarks, patents, and copyrights. This is calculated in a similar manner to the depreciation of tangible assets, like factories and equipment. When businesses amortize intangible assets over time, they are able to tie the cost of those assets with the revenue generated over each accounting period and deduct the costs over the lifetime of the asset.

Why Is Amortization Important in Accounting?

Amortization helps businesses and investors understand and forecast their costs over time. In the context of loan repayment, amortization schedules provide clarity into what portion of a loan payment consists of interest versus principal. This can be useful for purposes such as deducting interest payments for tax purposes. Amortizing intangible assets is also important because it can reduce a company’s taxable income and therefore its tax liability, while giving investors a better understanding of the company’s true earnings.

How Do You Amortize a Loan?

A loan is amortized by determining the monthly payment due over the term of the loan. Then, prepare an amortization schedule that clearly identifies what portion of each month’s payment is attributable towards interest and what portion of each month’s payment is attributable towards principal.

Since part of the payment will theoretically be applied to the outstanding principal balance, the amount of interest paid each month will decrease. Since your payment should theoretically remain the same each month, more of your payment each month will apply to principal, thereby paying down the amount you borrowed over time.

The Bottom Line

Amortization is a technique of gradually reducing an account balance over time. When amortizing loans, a gradually escalating portion of the monthly debt payment is applied to the principal. When amortizing intangible assets, amortization is similar to depreciation where a fixed percentage of an asset’s book value is reduced each month. This technique is used to reflect how the benefit of an asset is received by a company over time.

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Altman Z-Score: What It Is, Formula, How to Interpret Results

Written by admin. Posted in A, Financial Terms Dictionary

Altman Z-Score: What It Is, Formula, How to Interpret Results

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What Is the Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-score is the output of a credit-strength test that gauges a publicly traded manufacturing company’s likelihood of bankruptcy.

Key Takeaways

  • The Altman Z-score is a formula for determining whether a company, notably in the manufacturing space, is headed for bankruptcy. 
  • The formula takes into account profitability, leverage, liquidity, solvency, and activity ratios. 
  • An Altman Z-score close to 0 suggests a company might be headed for bankruptcy, while a score closer to 3 suggests a company is in solid financial positioning.

Understanding the Altman Z-Score

The Altman Z-score, a variation of the traditional z-score in statistics, is based on five financial ratios that can be calculated from data found on a company’s annual 10-K report. It uses profitability, leverage, liquidity, solvency, and activity to predict whether a company has a high probability of becoming insolvent.

NYU Stern Finance Professor Edward Altman developed the Altman Z-score formula in 1967, and it was published in 1968. Over the years, Altman has continued to reevaluate his Z-score. From 1969 until 1975, Altman looked at 86 companies in distress, then 110 from 1976 to 1995, and finally 120 from 1996 to 1999, finding that the Z-score had an accuracy of between 82% and 94%.

In 2012, he released an updated version called the Altman Z-score Plus that one can use to evaluate public and private companies, manufacturing and non-manufacturing companies, and U.S. and non-U.S. companies. One can use Altman Z-score Plus to evaluate corporate credit risk. The Altman Z-score has become a reliable measure of calculating credit risk.

How to Calculate the Altman Z-Score

One can calculate the Altman Z-score as follows:

Altman Z-Score = 1.2A + 1.4B + 3.3C + 0.6D + 1.0E

Where:

  • A = working capital / total assets
  • B = retained earnings / total assets
  • C = earnings before interest and tax / total assets
  • D = market value of equity / total liabilities
  • E = sales / total assets

A score below 1.8 means it’s likely the company is headed for bankruptcy, while companies with scores above 3 are not likely to go bankrupt. Investors can use Altman Z-scores to determine whether they should buy or sell a stock if they’re concerned about the company’s underlying financial strength. Investors may consider purchasing a stock if its Altman Z-Score value is closer to 3 and selling or shorting a stock if the value is closer to 1.8.

In more recent years, however, a Z-Score closer to 0 indicates a company may be in financial trouble. In a lecture given in 2019 titled “50 Years of the Altman Score,” Professor Altman himself noted that recent data has shown that 0—not 1.8—is the figure at which investors should worry about a company’s financial strength. The two-hour lecture is available to view for free on YouTube.

2008 Financial Crisis

In 2007, the credit ratings of specific asset-related securities had been rated higher than they should have been. The Altman Z-score indicated that the companies’ risks were increasing significantly and may have been heading for bankruptcy.

Altman calculated that the median Altman Z-score of companies in 2007 was 1.81. These companies’ credit ratings were equivalent to a B. This indicated that 50% of the firms should have had lower ratings, were highly distressed and had a high probability of becoming bankrupt.

Altman’s calculations led him to believe a crisis would occur and there would be a meltdown in the credit market. He believed the crisis would stem from corporate defaults, but the meltdown, which brought about the 2008 financial crisis, began with mortgage-backed securities (MBS). However, corporations soon defaulted in 2009 at the second-highest rate in history.

How Is the Altman Z-Score Calculated?

The Altman Z-score, a variation of the traditional z-score in statistics, is based on five financial ratios that can be calculated from data found on a company’s annual 10-K report. The formula for Altman Z-Score is 1.2*(working capital / total assets) + 1.4*(retained earnings / total assets) + 3.3*(earnings before interest and tax / total assets) + 0.6*(market value of equity / total liabilities) + 1.0*(sales / total assets).

How Should an Investor Interpret the Altman Z-Score?

Investors can use Altman Z-score Plus to evaluate corporate credit risk. A score below 1.8 signals the company is likely headed for bankruptcy, while companies with scores above 3 are not likely to go bankrupt. Investors may consider purchasing a stock if its Altman Z-Score value is closer to 3 and selling, or shorting, a stock if the value is closer to 1.8. In more recent years, Altman has stated a score closer to 0 rather than 1.8 indicates a company is closer to bankruptcy.

Did the Altman Z-Score Predict the 2008 Financial Crisis?

In 2007, Altman’s Z-score indicated that the companies’ risks were increasing significantly. The median Altman Z-score of companies in 2007 was 1.81, which is very close to the threshold that would indicate a high probability of bankruptcy. Altman’s calculations led him to believe a crisis would occur that would stem from corporate defaults, but the meltdown, which brought about the 2008 financial crisis, began with mortgage-backed securities (MBS); however, corporations soon defaulted in 2009 at the second-highest rate in history.

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