Global Update:

July 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to end the first day of the second half, Dow jumps 300 points

Stocks rose on Friday to start the quarter after the S&P 500 closed out its worst first-half performance in decades.

Dow…….31097 +321.8 +1.05%
Nasdaq.11128 +99.1 +0.90%
S&P 500..3825 +39.95 +1.06%

FTSE…….7169 -0.6 -0.01%
Dax……..12813 +29.3 +0.23%
CAC……..5931 +8.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….25935 -457.4 -1.73%
HSI……..21860 closed +0%
Shanghai..3388 -10.98 -0.32%
ST Times..3096 -6.u -0.21%

IDX…….6794.33 -117.25 -1.70%
LQ45…..974.33 -17.61 -1.77%

IDX Energy…1609.52 -28.66 -1.75%
IDX Bsc Mat.1184.34 -36.53 -2.99%
IDX Industrl..1173.90 -36.59 -3.02%
IDXNONCYC..716.41 -6.86 -0.95%
IDX Hlthcare.1515.33 -4.53 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.44 -15.40 -1.73%
IDX Techno..7750.25 -135.52 -1.72%
IDX Transp..1889.52 -85.10 -4.31%‼
IDX Infrast……957.25 -8.34 -0.86%
IDX Finance 1407.88 -29.44 -2.05%
IDX Property…….670 -8.30 -1.2 2%

Indo10Yr….7.3586 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI……….330.7144 -0.1895 -0.06%
US10Yr…..2.8890 -0.0830 -2.79%‼
VIX…………26.70 -2.61 -7.00%‼

USDIndx 105.1380 +0.4530 +0.43%
Como Indx….291.83 +0.68 +0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 -4.01 -2.58%‼

IndoCDS…144.02 -0.44 -0.30%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14942.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..14956.00 +74.00 +0.50%‼

Euro………1.0414 -0.0064 -0.61%

TLKM……..27.25 +0.21 +0.78%
⁶(4076)
EIDO……….22.09 -0.29 -1.30%
EEM……….39.85 -0.25 -0.62%

Oil………….108.43 +2.55 +2.41%‼
Gold …… .1801.50 -4.10 -0.23%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..21843.50 -902.00 -3.97%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….19.67 -0.48 -2.38%
Copper…..360.40 -7.35 -2.00%

Nturl Gas…..5.620 -0.050 -0.88%

Ammonia ..4790.00 +16.67 +0.35%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…388.00 +2.05 +0.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…375.00 +6.05 +1.64%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…369.00 -1.00 -0.27%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 -1.10 -0.31%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4703 -209 -4.25%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 -12.25 -1.96%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 -2.08 -3.23%‼
Wheat……….846.00 -38.00 -4.30%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US closing jum’at ijo, vix turun, kemungkinan ihsg ijo dulu hari ini, sudah 4 hari merah terus, dan jum’at dalem banget

Oil coal rebound. Nickel cpo drop lagi, commodity lain pada merah juga

Akhirnya index dipaksa turun juga, kita wait and see, prepare rebound di level 6500-an, kalo jebol kita tunggu di ujung wave C standar di 6047

Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya

Global Update:

June 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rises modestly in volatile trading as Wall Street struggles to recover

Stocks fluctuated on Wednesday, after the major averages made a failed attempt at a bounce in the previous session, and as the market prepares to close out the worst first half of the year since 1970.

Dow…….31029 +82.3 +0.27%
Nasdaq.11178 -3.7 -0.03%
S&P 500..3819 -2.7 -0.07%

FTSE…….7312 -11.1 -0.15%
Dax……..13003 -228.5 -1.73%
CAC……..6031 -54.5 -0.90%

Nikkei….26805 -244.9 -0.91%
HSI……..21997 -422.1 -1.88%
Shanghai..3362 -47.7 -1.40%
ST Times..3135 -5.3 -0.17%

IDX…….6942.35 -54.10 -0.77%
LQ45…..995.71 -11.93 -1.18%

IDX Energy…1656.06 -10.31 -0.62%
IDX Bsc Mat.1242.06 -19.91 -1.58%
IDX Industrl..1216.74 -19.47 -1.57%
IDXNONCYC..725.23 -1.61 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1503.01 +2.02 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.12 +1.97 +0.22%
IDX Techno..7802.15 +63.14 +0.82%
IDX Transp…2008.72 -68.25 -3.29%
IDX Infrast……970.65 -7.13 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1452.66 -4.41 -0.30%
IDX Property…….683 -2.40 -0.35%

Indo10Yr….7.3904 -0.0193 -0.26%‼
ICBI……….330.3876 +0.2196 +0.07%‼
US10Yr…..3.0930 -0.1130 -3.52%
VIX…………28.16 -0.20 -0.71%

USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….299.34 -1.66 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..160.72 +0.88 +0.55%

IndoCDS…135.99 +8.75 +6.88%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14852.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14848.00 +11.00 +0.07%‼

Euro………1.0444 -0.0076 -0.72%

TLKM……..27.40 +0.19 +0.70%
(4068)
EIDO……….22.41 -0.31 -1.36%
EEM……….40.29 -0.16 -0.40%

Oil………….109.69 -2.13 -1.90%
Gold …… .1819.00 -1.70 -0.09%
Timah. .26800.00 -191 -0.71%
( Closed 28/6)
Nickel..23897.50 +660.50 +2.84%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.74 -0.09 -0.43%
Copper…..378.20 +2.35 +0.63%

Nturl Gas…..6.434 -0.215 -3.23%

Ammonia ..4773.33 -110 -2.25%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/6)

Coal price…380.00 -13.50 -3.43%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…360.00 -16.45 -4.37%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…364.75 -1.75 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…345.50 -2.50 -0.72%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4904 -81 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..653.75 -5.50 -0.83%
SoybeanOil…..66.98 +0.22 +0.33%
Wheat……….930.00 -6.00 -0.64%

Wood pulp…6624.00 +8 +0.12%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq masih merah, europe dan asia semua merah juga

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali nickel dan copper

Yang infra healthcare consumer non-cylclicals siap2 exit, Property ama consumer cyclicals semoga jalan walau market merah. Siap2 entry di basic materials industry dan energy pas keluar buy signal di saham nya

Kita cari saham contrarian sama market karena kemungkinan koreksi masih lanjut wave C

Chart Cacing RSI nya dukung IHSG langsung rebound tanpa drop ke level 6500-an, semoga break pattern, tapi liat kondisi global dan ancaman perang ukraina, kayanya sih lanjut ke bawah dulu

Global Update:

June 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow falls nearly 500 points as bear market bounce loses steam

U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as the market failed to keep its rebound from the bear-market lows going

Dow…….30947 -491.3 -1.56%
Nasdaq.11182 -343.01 -2.98%
S&P 500..3822 -78.6 -2.01%

FTSE…….7323 +65.1 +0.90%
Dax……..13232 +45.8 +0.35%
CAC……..6086 +38.7 +0.64%

Nikkei….27050 +178.2 +0.66%
HSI……..22419 +189.5 +0.85%
Shanghai..3409 +30.03 +0.89%
ST Times..3140 +2.7 +0.09%

IDX…….6996.46 -19.60 -0.28%
LQ45….1007.64 -3.10 -0.31%

IDX Energy…1666.37 +19.54 +1.19%
IDX Bsc Mat.1261.96 -18.59 -1.45%
IDX Industrl..1236.21 +0.39 +0.03%
IDXNONCYC..726.84 +0.47 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1500.99 +2.63 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.15 -0.96 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7739.02 -77.57 -0.99%
IDX Transp…2076.98 -9.91 -0.47%
IDX Infrast……977.78 +0.25 +0.03%
IDX Finance 1457.07 -15.18 -1.03%
IDX Property…….685 -4.70 -0.68%

Indo10Yr….7.4097 -0.0186 -0.25%
ICBI……….330.1680 +0.2728 +0.08%
US10Yr….3.2060 +0.0120 +0.38%
VIX…………28.36 +1.41 +5.23%

USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….301.00 +2.22 +0.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..159.85 +0.71 +0.44%

IndoCDS…127.24 -0.58 -0.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14830.50 +33.50 +0.23%‼️
Jisdor..14837.00 +33.00 +0.2%‼️

Euro………1.0520 -0.0062 -0.59%

TLKM……..27.21 -0.38 -1.38%
(4037)
EIDO……….22.72 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……….40.45 -0.25 -0.61%

Oil………….111.82 +1.94 +1.77%
Gold …… .1820.70 -2.40 -0.13%
Timah. .26991.00 +2401 +9.76%‼️
( Closed 27/6)
Nickel..23237.50 +299.50 +1.31%
(Closed 28/6)
Silver……….20.83 -0.33 -1.56%
Copper…..375.85 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..6.645 +0.201 +3.11%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…393.50 +1.05 +0.27%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.45 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…366.50 -5.50 -1.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…348.00 -6.50 -1.83%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4985 +65 +1.32%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..659.25 +6.25 +0.96%
SoybeanOil…..66.76 +1.08 +1.64%
Wheat………936.00 +18.50 +2.02%

Wood pulp…6616.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 28/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US closing merah dalem, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX. Sudah 2 hari turun, IHSG harusnya ada rebound hari ini.
Timah nikel rebound, saatnya ANTM INCO TINS rebound. Coal lanjut naik, saham2 coal juga sudah lama oversold harusnya rebound
Oil naik lagi ke 111. ELSA MEDC kita assess detail abis ini

Customer Cyclical, Customer Non-cyclical, Property, Infrastructure