Global Update:

July 06th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks stage big comeback Tuesday with S&P 500 finishing slightly higher after erasing 2% loss

Stocks staged an afternoon rally on Tuesday as concerns about a possible recession in the U.S. weighed on investor sentiment but lower interest rates appeared to boost the tech sector.

Dow…….30968 -129.4 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11322 +194.4 +1.75%
S&P 500..3831 +6.1 +0.16%

FTSE…….7025 -207.2 -2.86%
Dax……..12401 -372.2 -2.91%
CAC……..5795 -159.7 -2.68%

Nikkei….26423 +269.7 +1.03%
HSI……..21853 +22.7 +0.10%
Shanghai..3404 -1.4 -0.04%
ST Times..3104 -16.1 -0.52%

IDX…….6703.27 +64.1 +0.97%
LQ45…..957.11 +6.96 +0.73%

IDX Energy…1667.48 +65.34 +4.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1179.06 +16.34 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1184.42 +23.73 +2.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.31 +4.97 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.72 +11.62 +0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..865.26 +3.36 +0.39%
IDX Techno….7492.55 +52.66 +0.71%
IDX Transp…1852.36 +30.30 +1.66%
IDX Infrast……957.17 +11.35 +1.20%
IDX Finance 1382.86 +11.34 +0.83%
IDX Property…….665 +6.50 +0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.3940 +0.0120 +0.16%
ICBI……….330.6812 -0.2717 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.8090 -0.0800 -2.77%
VIX…………27.54 +0.01 +0.04%

USDIndx 106.5350 +1.3160 +1.25%‼
Como Indx..278.16 -13.67 -4.68%‼
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..149.11 -2.60 -1.72%

IndoCDS…146.52 +2.50 +1.74%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14993.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14990.00 +30.00 +0.20%‼

Euro………1.0269 -0.0155 -1.48%

TLKM……..27.00 -0.25 -0.92%
(4077)
EIDO………21.64 -0.45 -2.04%
EEM……….39.54 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………100.74 -9.77 -8.84%‼
Gold …….1767.20 -41.40 -2.28%‼
Timah. .26600.00 -50 -0.19%
( Closed 04/7)
Nickel…22726.50 +74.00 +0.33%
(Closed 05/7)
Silver…….19.92 -0.72 -3.61%‼
Copper…343.80 -13.10 -3.67%‼

Nturl Gas…..5.571 -0.328 -5.58%‼

Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…397.60 +1.15 +0.29%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…392.55 +1.10 +0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…38.00 +4.00 +1.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…360.70 -1.95 -0.64%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4171 -169 -3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………578.50 -29.00 -4.77%‼
SoybeanOil….57.42 -4.96 -7.95%‼
Wheat……….807.00 -39.00 -4.61%‼

Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.12%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kemaren idx ijo tebel, asia tapi sebagian merah,. Singapore sama china merah tipis, Europe merah tebel. Masih galaw ini market. Yang bisa TP mending TP dulu, masih terbuka kemungkinan IHSG drop lagi tutup gap di 6162. Mending day trade dulu jangan pegang panjang panjang

US nutup drop sebelumnya, tapi DJI closing merah, nasdaq sama S&P 500 ijo

Coal lanjut naik, oil drop lagi, energy long term nya ok tapi oil harus hati2 dulu sekarang, coal udah ok keliatannya, kita liat hari ini.

CPO drop lagi, gold silver copper juga, timah nikel tipis tipis

Baru rebound kenceng sehari, asli rebound atau dead cat bounce? Kita tunggu perkembangannya. Memang sulit untuk expect buy at the very bottom and sell at the very peak. Kalo FOMO bisa nyangkut beneran

Konfirmasi reversal selalu lag, jadi paling bisa ya pake teknik bottom fishing sebagian, pas abis konfirmasi sebagian lagi, risk management

Global update:

July 05th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to the Independence Day

Dow…….31097 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11128 closed +0%
S&P 500..3825 closed +0%

FTSE…….7233 +64.0 +0.89%
Dax……..12773 -39.7 -0.31%
CAC……..5955 +23.6 +0.40%

Nikkei….26154 +218.2 +0.84%
HSI……..21830 -29.4 -0.13%
Shanghai..3405 +17.8 +0.53%
ST Times..3120 +24.7 +0.80%

IDX…….6639.17 -155.16 -2.28%
LQ45…..950.15 -24.18 -2.48%

IDX Energy…1602.14 -7.39 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.72 -21.62 -1.83%
IDX Industrl..1160.69 -13.21 -1.13%
IDXNONCYC..697.34 -19.06 -2.66%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.10 -22.24 -1.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.90 -14.55 -1.56%
IDX Techno.7439.89 -310.35 -4.00%‼️
IDX Transp.1822.06 -67.47 -3.57%‼️
IDX Infrast……945.82 -11.45 -1.20%
IDX Finance 1371.52 -36.36 -2.58%
IDX Property…….658 -11.90 -1.78%

Indo10Yr….7.3820 +0.0234 +0.32%
ICBI……….330.9518 +0.1091 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8890 closed +0%
VIX…………26.70 closed +0%

USDIndx 105.21¥0 +0.0810 +0.08%
Como Indx….291.83 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 closed +0%

IndoCDS…144.02 – –
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14971.50 +29.00 +0.19%‼️
Jisdor..14960.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro………1.0424 +0.0010 +0.10%

TLKM……..27.25 closed +0%
(4077)
EIDO……….22.09 closed +0%
EEM……….39.85 closed -0%

Oil………….110.51 +2.08 +1.92%
Gold …… .1808.60 +7.10 +0.39%
Timah. .26650.00 +199 +0.75%
( Closed 01/7)
Nickel..22652.50 +809.00 +3.70%‼️
(Closed 03/7)
Silver……….19.92 +0.25 +1.26%
Copper…..356.90 -3.50 -0.97%

Nturl Gas…..5.876 +0.256 +4.56%

Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…396.45 +8.45 +2.18%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…391.44 +16.45 +4.39%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.00 +7.00 +1.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 +11.75 +3.35%‼️
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4340 -355 -7.55%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 closed +0%
Wheat……….846.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.11%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tutup, hari kemerdekaan. Regional hampir semua ijo, cuma jerman sama hangseng merah tipis, while IHSG merah dalem. Kenapa? Ya ga ada alasan fundamental yang saya jelas, tapi alasan technical ada, memang harus turun menyelesaikan siklus ABC correction nya, minimal sampe level harga sekarang di 6500-an.

Masih mungkin turun tutup gap 6162, tapi kecil kemungkinan disekaliguskan, harusnya ada technical rebound dulu, walau misalnya akan lanjut

Selective buying di saham coal sama minyak, nikel2an kita liat sama sama, mungkin rebound mungkin masih koreksi. Tunggu konfirmasi buy signal aja

Reminder:

Kemungkinan 1: kaya taun kemaren, mantul di area yang sama dengan wave A

Kemungkinan 2: Lanjut tutup gap dan beresin ABC correction pola standar

Global Update:

July 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to end the first day of the second half, Dow jumps 300 points

Stocks rose on Friday to start the quarter after the S&P 500 closed out its worst first-half performance in decades.

Dow…….31097 +321.8 +1.05%
Nasdaq.11128 +99.1 +0.90%
S&P 500..3825 +39.95 +1.06%

FTSE…….7169 -0.6 -0.01%
Dax……..12813 +29.3 +0.23%
CAC……..5931 +8.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….25935 -457.4 -1.73%
HSI……..21860 closed +0%
Shanghai..3388 -10.98 -0.32%
ST Times..3096 -6.u -0.21%

IDX…….6794.33 -117.25 -1.70%
LQ45…..974.33 -17.61 -1.77%

IDX Energy…1609.52 -28.66 -1.75%
IDX Bsc Mat.1184.34 -36.53 -2.99%
IDX Industrl..1173.90 -36.59 -3.02%
IDXNONCYC..716.41 -6.86 -0.95%
IDX Hlthcare.1515.33 -4.53 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.44 -15.40 -1.73%
IDX Techno..7750.25 -135.52 -1.72%
IDX Transp..1889.52 -85.10 -4.31%‼
IDX Infrast……957.25 -8.34 -0.86%
IDX Finance 1407.88 -29.44 -2.05%
IDX Property…….670 -8.30 -1.2 2%

Indo10Yr….7.3586 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI……….330.7144 -0.1895 -0.06%
US10Yr…..2.8890 -0.0830 -2.79%‼
VIX…………26.70 -2.61 -7.00%‼

USDIndx 105.1380 +0.4530 +0.43%
Como Indx….291.83 +0.68 +0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 -4.01 -2.58%‼

IndoCDS…144.02 -0.44 -0.30%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14942.00 +39.50 +0.26%‼
Jisdor..14956.00 +74.00 +0.50%‼

Euro………1.0414 -0.0064 -0.61%

TLKM……..27.25 +0.21 +0.78%
⁶(4076)
EIDO……….22.09 -0.29 -1.30%
EEM……….39.85 -0.25 -0.62%

Oil………….108.43 +2.55 +2.41%‼
Gold …… .1801.50 -4.10 -0.23%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..21843.50 -902.00 -3.97%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….19.67 -0.48 -2.38%
Copper…..360.40 -7.35 -2.00%

Nturl Gas…..5.620 -0.050 -0.88%

Ammonia ..4790.00 +16.67 +0.35%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…388.00 +2.05 +0.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…375.00 +6.05 +1.64%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…369.00 -1.00 -0.27%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 -1.10 -0.31%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4703 -209 -4.25%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 -12.25 -1.96%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 -2.08 -3.23%‼
Wheat……….846.00 -38.00 -4.30%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US closing jum’at ijo, vix turun, kemungkinan ihsg ijo dulu hari ini, sudah 4 hari merah terus, dan jum’at dalem banget

Oil coal rebound. Nickel cpo drop lagi, commodity lain pada merah juga

Akhirnya index dipaksa turun juga, kita wait and see, prepare rebound di level 6500-an, kalo jebol kita tunggu di ujung wave C standar di 6047

Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya