Global Update:
July 28th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks rallied in late trading Wednesday, with Nasdaq leading the way after the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point and comments by Chairman Jerome Powell reassured investors

Powell said in a news conference following the Fed announcement that he did not believe the U.S. economy is currently in a recession but it is softening.

He also said the lack of clear visibility into the future of the economy means the Fed can provide reliable guidance about where its policy is headed only on a “meeting-by-meeting” basis.

Dow…….32198 +436.1 +1.37%
Nasdaq.12032 +469.9 +4.06%
S&P 500..4024 +102.6 +2.62%

FTSE…….7348 +41.95 +0.57%
Dax……..13166 +69.5 +0.53%
CAC……..6258 +46.5 +0.75%

Nikkei….27716 +60.5 +0.22%
HSI……..20670 -235.8 -1.13%
Shanghai..3276 -1.7 -0.05%
ST Times..3205 +13.02 +0.41%

IDX…….6898.22 +26.68 +0.39%
LQ45…..974.46 +5.98 +0.62%

IDX Energy…1804.59 +42.49 +2.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1267.91 -2.96 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1237.90 +16.74 +1.37%
IDXNONCYC..717.08 -3.99 -0.55%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.58 +5.41 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.86 -0.26 -0.03%
IDX Techno..7699.33 +67.11 +0.88%
IDX Transp…1952.21 -5.57 -0.28%
IDX Infrast……989.69 +0.10 +0.01%
IDX Finance 1472.89 -5.47 -0.37%
IDX Banking..1104.50 +3.21 +0.29%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4305 -0.0344 -0.46%
ICBI……….329.7096 +0.6333 +0.19%
US10Yr…..2.7340 -0.0530 -1.90%
VIX…………23.24 -1.45 -5.87%

USDIndx 106.4520 -0.7370 -0.69%‼️
Como Indx..289.08 +2.58 +0.90%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.54 +1.12 +0.75%

IndoCDS…135.67 +0.62 +0.46%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15010.00 unch +0%‼️
Jisdor..15020.00 +36.00 +0.05%‼️

Euro………1.0190 +0.0061 +0.60%

TLKM……..28.38 +0.25 +0.89%
(4263)
EIDO………22.82 +0.33 +1.47%
EEM………39.98 +0.73 +1.86%

Oil…………98.27 +2.75 +2.88%
Gold ……1752.40 +18.10 +1.04%
Timah. .24470.00 -477.00 -1.91%
( Closed 26/7)
Nickel..21700.00 -402.50 -1.82%
(Closed 27/7)
Silver…….19.04 +0.48 +2.59%
Copper….347.75 +7.80 +2.29%

Nturl Gas…..8.640 -0.145 -1.65%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….411.50 -2.50 -0.60%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…424.10 -15.90 -3.61%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.00 -2.50 -0.64%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…380.00 -8.00 -2.06%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3824 +36 +0.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………603.00 +2.25 +0.37%
SoybeanOil…50.19 +1.24 +2.14%
Wheat………790.25 -13.50 -1.68%

Wood pulp…6660.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 27/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
US naik tinggi terutama saham teknologi. Hampir semua index regional juga ijo kecuali hangseng sama shanghai,udah ada bocoran kayanya.
Komodoti hampir semua naik kecuali gas timah dan nikel, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 410 USD/MT

IHSG – MACD masih firm, sudah lewat efek hidden bearish divergence, US news bagus, semoga lanjut rally sampe januari, kalo koreksi minor minor aja

Global Update:

July 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.

Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%

FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%

IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%

IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%

USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%

IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%

Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%

TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%

Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼

Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei

Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu

Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga

Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi

In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.

Global Update:

July 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks during Monday’s session traded in a narrow range.
All of the major averages are on track for their best month of the year.

Traders are bracing for an onslaught of mega-cap tech earnings and economic data this week, as well as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting, that will help Wall Street direct its expectations for the rest of the year.

But, U.S. stock futures fell on Monday night after Walmart cut its profit forecast, sending retail stocks tumbling after hours.

Dow…….31990 +90.8 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11783 -51.5 -0.43%
S&P 500..3967 +5.2 +0.13%

FTSE…….7306 +29.9 +0.41%
Dax……..13210 -43.4 -0.33%
CAC……..6238 +20.7 +0.33%

Nikkei….27699 -215.4 -0.77%
HSI……..20563 -46.2 -0.22%
Shanghai..3250 -19.6 -0.60%
ST Times..3184 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6858.41 -28.56 -0.41%
LQ45…..967.13 -6.91 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1741.10 +16.38 +0.95%
IDX Bsc Mat.1275.25 -5.53 -0.43%
IDX Industrl..1219.82 +5.60 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..724.61 +1.05 +0.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.97 -6.81 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.23 -0.18 -0.02%
IDX Techno..7817.61 -262.43 -3.25%
IDX Transp…1955.61 -38.10 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……982.15 +6.51 +0.67%
IDX Finance 1464.19 -8.89 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1090.07 -7.07 -0.64%
IDX Property…….678 +1.30 +0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.4917 -0.0106 -0.14%
ICBI……….328.0307 +0.0642 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.8200 +0.0370 +1.33%
VIX…………23.26 +0.33 +1.43%

USDIndx 106.4830 -0.2470 -0.23%
Como Indx..284.76 +3.60 +1.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.20 -0.95 -0.64%

IndoCDS…132.27 -4.97 -3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 -20.50 -0.14%
Jisdor..14992.00 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0007 +0.07%

TLKM……..27.95 +0.01 +0.04%
(4190)
EIDO………22.60 +0.10 +0.44%
EEM………39.56 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………96.31 +1.61 +1.70%
Gold ……1734.80 -10.35 -0.60%
Timah. .24947.00 – -%
( Closed 22/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -271.50 -1.21%
(Closed 25/7)
Silver…….18.30 -0.32 -1.72%
Copper….335.40 -0.55 -0.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.618 +0.313 +3.77%

Ammonia….369033 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….410.25 +1.05 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…411.05 +12.00 +3.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.35 +11.05 +2.94%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…364.00 +27.20 +8.08%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3646 -161 -1.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………583.75 +19.50 +3.46%
SoybeanOil…57.55 -0.32 -0.55%
Wheat………770.00 +11.00 +1.45%

Wood pulp…6640.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 25/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tipis tipis, nasdaq karena forecast pendapatan tech giants turun jadi minus duluan. Asia merah kecuali singapore, eropa cuma jerman yang merah, yang lain ikut US sesi satu jadi ijo

Metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, cpo turun. Kita masih bisa expect saham coal terus naik walau index mungkin merah lagi. Keliatannya bagusan tutup gap dulu sih, biar ga ada “hutang”, hehehe…

Issue IKN digoreng buat naikin saham BUMN karya, tapi kalo cuma itu doang ga bisa panjang gerakannya keliatannya… Yang jelas sebelum firm sektornya jalan hati2 buy BUMN karya. Cucu nya aja malah suspended, WSBP, jadi korban dikasih proyek terus sama waskita tapi dibayarnya kapan kapan…

Index ketemu hidden bearish divergence, biasanya ya 3 hari mah koreksi. Tapi yang bikin khawatir bukan itu… Ada gap di bawah, dan ada satu lagi, di chart trading view ga ada tapi

Kalo di chart mansek ada opening gap pas index naik 2%, most likely ini mah ditutup dulu dalam waktu dekat

GLobal Update:

July 25th, 2022

Good morning,

The S&P 500 fell nearly 1% on Friday, but finished the week higher, as investors digested disappointing results from Snap that sent social media shares reeling.

Dow…….31899 -137.6 -0.43%
Nasdaq.11834 -225.5 -1.87%
S&P 500..3962 -37.3 -0.93%

FTSE…….7276 +5.9 +0.08%
Dax……..13254 +7.04 +0.05%
CAC……..6217 +15.7 +0.25%

Nikkei….27915 +111.7 +0.40%
HSI……..20609 +34.5 +0.17%
Shanghai..3270 -2.03 -0.06.%
ST Times..3181 +29.04 +0.92%

IDX…….6887.13 +22.83 +0.33%
LQ45…..974.04 +2.49 +0.26%

IDX Energy…1724.72 +30.26 +1.79%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.78 +27.71 +2.21%
IDX Industrl..1214.33 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..723.55 -0.81 -0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1521.78 -6.29 -0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.42 +2.49 +0.28%
IDX Techno….8080.04 +225.02+2.86%
IDX Transp…1993.71 -6.42 -0.32%
IDX Infrast……974.04 +2.49 +0.26%
IDX Finance 1473.08 -1.40 -0.10%
IDX Banking..1097.14 -5.51 -0.50%
IDX Property…….676 +0.20 +0.02%

Indo10Yr….7.5023 -0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI……….327.9024 -0.2157 -0.07%
US10Yr…..2.7830 -0.1270 -4.36%‼
VIX…………23.03 -0.08 -0.35%

USDIndx 106.7300 -0.1800 -0.17%‼
Como Indx..281.16 -0.68 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.14 +3.19 +2.19%

IndoCDS…137.24 -3.61 -2.56%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15013.50 -23.00 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..15024.00 +7.00 +0.05%‼

Euro………1.0213 -0.0011 -0.11%

TLKM……..27.94 +0.13 +0.47%
(4198)
EIDO………22.50 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM………39.42 -0.40 -1.00%

Oil…………94.70 -1.83 -1.89%‼
Gold ……1745.30 +11.00 +0.63%
Timah. .24o47.00 +106.00 +0.43%
( Closed 21/7)
Nickel..22373.50 +760.50 +3.52%
(Closed 23/7)
Silver…….18.62 -0.12 -0.64%
Copper….334.95 +3.65 +1.10%

Nturl Gas…..8.305 +0.415 +5.26%‼

Ammonia….369033 -133.33 -3.49‼%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….409.20 +5.80 +1.44%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…399.05 +23.65 +6.30%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.30 +0.25 +0.06%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.80 +4.10 +1.23%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3883 +161 +4.33%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….564.25 -9.25 -1.61%
SoybeanOil…57.87 +1.81 +3.23%‼
Wheat………759.00 -47.25 -5.86%‼

Wood pulp…6630.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Ujung jum’at US merah, sampai closing europe padahal masih pada ijo, kecuali shanghai yang closing merah di waktu market asia

Oil silver turun, gold lead nickel copper gas coal cpo naik

Harusnya ANTM INCO TINS dan saham coal MDKA PGAS AALI LSIP lanjut jalan

Reminder:

Ini mungkin terjadi, ABC correction yang “flat style”

Ini juga mungkin, ABC correction standar

Kita mesti siap menghadapi dua duanya…

Udah ok buat buy beberapa saham dari teknikal dan fundamental si saham itu sendiri, tapi ada resiko keseret kondisi global/regional

Ini yang tahun kemaren, ABC Flat Style Correction, kejadian di bulan Mei, so, sekarang bulan juli dan biasanya akhir tahun selalu ada santa claus rally, bisa jadi sekarang sudah lewat bottom-nya