Global Update:

October 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points

U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings in stocks and rates to start the month.

Dow…….29927 -346.9 -1.15%
Nasdaq.11073 -75.3 -0.68%
S&P 500..3745 -38.8 -1.02%

FTSE…….6997 -55.4 -0.78%
Dax……..12471 -46.4 -0.82%
CAC……..5936 -49.04 -0.82%

Nikkei….27311 +190.8 +0.70%
HSI……..18012 -75.8 -0.42%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3151 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…….7076.62 +1.24 +0.02%
LQ45…1010.68 -0.95 -0.09%

IDX Energy…2006.87 -2.59 -0.13%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.96 -5.19 -0.41%
IDX Industrl..1289.50 -6.57 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..701.32 +1.72 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.84 -3.97 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…..867.43 +4.44 +0.51%
IDX Techno..7128.14 +68.89 +0.98%
IDX Transp…1859.14 +8.86 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…….981.94 +1.59 +0.16%
IDX Finance 1496.24 +7.87 +0.53%
IDX Banking.1158.94 +2.87 +0.25%
IDX Property….693 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.3351 +0.001 +0.01%
ICBI……..334.5917 -0.1611 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.8260 +0.0670 +1.78%
VIX……….30.52 +1.97 +6.90%‼️

USDIndx 112.2580 +1.0500 +0.94%‼️
Como Indx..282.26 +0.37 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.79 +0.09 +0.06%
.
IndoCDS 150.64 +1.33 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15187.50 -5.50 -0.03%
Jisdor..15197.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……..0.9797 -0.0087 -0.88%‼️

TLKM……..28.75 -0.32 -1.10%
(4369
EIDO………23.57 -0.10 -0.42%
EEM………36.41 -0.22 -0.60%

Oil…………89.03 +1.27 +1.45%
Gold ……1719.90 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah….20290 +83.00 +0.41%
(Closed 05/10)
Nickel…22675.50 +45.00 +0.20%
(Closed 06/10)
Silver…….20.65 +0.11 +0.54%
Copper….343.65 -6.40 -1.88%

Nturl Gas…..6.838 -0.087 -1.26%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….400.00 +3.75 +0.95%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.95 +0.20 +0.05%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.95 +0.45 +0.11%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.85 -26.50 -9.00%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.05 -28.70 -9.87%‼️
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.00 -27.25 -9.45%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 +61 +1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………675.50 -8.50 -1.24%
SoybeanOil….66.02 +0.48 +0.73%
Wheat……..879.00 -23.00 -2.55%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei. Masih jadwal wave 2 ini sepertinya, big banks masih belum diangkat juga.

Oil lanjut naik, gold tilver timah nikel naik, copper gas turun, coal naik dikit pas ke 400 usd/mt, CPO juga lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati AALI LSIP ANTM INCO TINS

Yang garis kuning Infobank15, hampir setiap kali sejalan sama index…

IHGS – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar flat, last day FNS, PSAR masih down, LR bisa kemana aja, 2 kali candle inverted hammer, candle reversal, IMHO ini masih belum firm mau jalan wave 3. Kita compare sama Infobank15

Infobank – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, FNS, bandar flat, masih false breakout wave 3 dan IHNS, masih di area neckline, DMI ga jadi buy,masih belum firm jalan, selama bigbanks masih sideways, index juga sideways, WNS

Belum ada yang firm, masih bolak balik antara energy, consumer non-cyclicals, consumer cyclicals, WNS kecuali yang emang buy signal emitennya kita cermati dan kalopun bagus jangan masuk full dulu

Banyak buy signal, kita fokus yang di oversold area, ANTM WSKT

ANTM – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, bandar flat FNS 2 hari, retracement pattern sesuai, dari 38 koreksi ke 23, siap2 mantul, DMI belum buy signal, ada gap di bawah di 1800 an, ada gap 2 di atas di 2030 dan 2740. Spec buy half

WSKT – stoch buy, macd rev up, mfi down, bandar masih dist, FF dist tipis, sudah bikin higher low walau deket banget sama lowest nya setelah terjun, LR bilang up, DMI mulai contraction, mendekati akhir tahun biasanya window dressing, tapi kita tunggu firm index wave 3 deh, soalnya BUMN karya fundamentally belum recover

Yang deket2 consumer dan energy… INDF, SCMA… KBLI masuk kriteria saham invest coba kita liat juga

INDF – menarik banget, memang stoch dan macd nya bolak balik terus jadi balum bisa dianggap valid kecuali ada vol breakout yang signifikan, tapi udah ada reg bull div yang cocok banget sama closing gap retracement pattern nya. Tapi belum sekarang entry nya kecuali mau bottom fishing. WNS tunggu breakout

SCMA – stoch buy macd buy, breakout resistance with volume, 3 white soldiers, reg bull div MACD histogram, DMI buy, cross up midline LR, perfect sih, bahwa pull back biasa… Semoga lanjut kenceng test fibo 23. Yang punya Hold, yang belum punya bisa BOW

KBLI – banyak indic bilang bagus, tapi memang signal bolakbalik terus karena sideways, FF cuek bandar cuek, belum lah, tunggu ada breakout aja. WNS

Global update:

October 06th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.

Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%

FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%

Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%

IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%

IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%

USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼

Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼

TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%

Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren

Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400

Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan

Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…

Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu

October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak

Global update:

October 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points

Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.

Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%

FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%

Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%

IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%

USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼

Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼

TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%

Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%

Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik

Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi