Daily Analysis 20221206

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 06th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 500 points, stocks finish lower on worries of further Fed rate hikes

Stocks fell Monday on fears that the Federal Reserve may continue tightening until it tips the economy into a recession.

Dow…….33947 -482.8 -1.40%
Nasdaq.11240 -221.6 -1.93%
S&P 500..3999 -72.9 -1.79%

FTSE…….7568 +11.3 +0.15%
Dax……..14448 -81.8 -0.56%
CAC……..6697 -45.3 -0.67%

Nikkei….27820 +42.5 +0.15%
*HSI……..19518 +842.9 +4.51%‼️*
Shanghai..3212 +55.7 +1.76%
ST Times..3268 +8.4 +0.26%

IDX…….6987.33 -32.31 -0.46%
LQ45……979.15 -10.44 -1.05%

IDX Energy..2162.72 +27.81 +1.30%
IDX BscMat 1279.95 -9.62 -0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1215.78 -22.45 -1.81%
IDXNONCYC..739.53 -2.14 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1520.65 -10.16 -0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.97 -13.51 -1.51%
*IDX Techno….5503.65 -233.44 -4.07%*
IDX Transp…1772.89 -20.73 -1.16%
IDX Infrast……888.06 -6.64 -0.74%
IDX Finance 1473.47 -6.91 -0.47%,
IDX Banking 1203.16 -0.85 -0.07%
IDX Property….715 -4.60 -0.65%

*Indo10Yr….7.0279 +0.0219 +0.31%*
*ICBI……..343.1925 -0.5985 -0.17%*
*US10Yr..3.5990 +0.0930 +2.65%*
*VIX……20.75 +1.69 +8.87%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.2730 +0.7280 +0.70%*
*Como Indx..270.35 -6.34 -2.29%‼️*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.17 -1.00 -0.59%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15462.50 +37.00 +0.24%*
*Jisdor..15409.00 -20.00 -0.13%👍*

*Euro……..1.0492 -0.0046 -0.44%*

*TLKM……..24.67 -0.95 -3.71%‼️*
*(3801)*
*EIDO………23.45 -0.53 -2.21%*
EEM……….39.09 -0.45 -1.14%

Oil………….79.98 -1.24 -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60 -5.60 -0.31%
Timah…..22921 – -%
*(Closed 02/12)*
Nickel…28461.50 -400.50 -1.39%
*(Closed 05/12)*
Silver………23.25 +0.41 +1.79%
Copper….385.05 +3.30 +0.86%

*Nturl Gas…..5.620 -0.602 -9.68%‼️*

*Ammonia..4740.00 +1.07%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(01/12)

*Coal price….400.00 +9.00 +2.30%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….388.00 +3.00 +0.78%
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….384.75 +8.9.0 +2.37%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….262.25 -4.75 -1.78%
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….262.00 -9.30 -3.43%*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….262.90 -5.8 -2.16%*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958 +8 +0.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….640.50 -5.75 -0.89%
*SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.98 -3.07%‼️*
*Wheat………740.00 -21.00 -2.76%*

Wood pulp…6570.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 05/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US drop, europe merah,asia kemaren ijo kecuali IDX, Hangseng gede banget naiknya, keliatannya mau merah dulu asia hari ini, kita mungkin kalopun ijo ya tipis

Oil Gas continue to drop, Coal naik lagi sudah sampe 400 USD /MT lagi, sepertinya bisa BOW lagi di coal kalo hari ini ada dip. Kalo langsung naik tunggu next buy signal. Gold Nikel turun Silver Copper naik, semoga ikin MDKA dibawa turun tutup gap, kita buy disana

IHSG – stoch down, MACD sideways-down, FNS udah 3 hari, bandar lokal diem, MFI naik, masih sideways di darvas box sekitar fibo 38-61, kirain mau ascending triangle, semoga ga lama breakout ke atas

Kalo dari sini energy property healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals masih ok

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN WIIM, skip… riba dan rokok

MACD ga ada yang buy signal. kita wait and see aja, bagian dari trading adalah stay away dari market kalo ga ada yang layak dibeli

Daily Analysis 20221205

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 05th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Friday lower after November jobs report; indexes notch weekly gains

Stocks cut much of their earlier losses Friday as investors looked past hotter-than-expected labor data to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

Dow…….34430   +34.9      +0.10%
Nasdaq.11462   -20.95     -0.18%
S&P 500..4072   -4.9         -0.12%

FTSE…….7556   -2.3         -0.03%
Dax……..14529  +39.1      +0.27%
CAC……..6742   -11.7        -0.17%

Nikkei….27778    -448.2     -1.59%
HSI……..18675    -61.1        -0.33%
Shanghai..3156  -9.3          -0.29%
ST Times..3259  -33.6       -1.02%

IDX…….7019.64   -1.16.    -0.02%
LQ45……989.59   -6.37     -0.64%

IDX Energy..2134.91   +31.84 +1.54%
IDX BscMat 1289.58   -2.01    -0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1238.23   -22.24  -1.76%
IDXNONCYC..741.67  +0.63   +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.80 +0.48   +0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.48  +1.01   +0.11%
IDX Techno….5737.08 -72.30  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1793.62   -3.23    -0.18%
IDX Infrast……894.70  +1.45   +0.16%
IDX Finance 1480.37   -6.78    -0.46%,
IDX Banking 1204.01   -6.04    -0.50%
IDX Property….719       -0.30    -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.0064  -0.0329  -0.47%👍
ICBI……..344.0600 +0.6140 +0.18%👍
US10Yr..3.5060   -0.0230   -0.65%👍
VIX……19.06       -0.78        -3.93%👍

USDIndx..104.5450  -0.1710  -0.16%👍
Como Indx..276.69  -2.77      -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.17  +3.30     +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15425.50  -137.00   -0.88%👍
Jisdor..15429.00  -188.00   -1.20%👍

Euro……..1.0538  +0.0013  +0.12%

TLKM……..25.62  +0.24     +0.95%👍
(3953)
EIDO………23.98   unch      +0%
EEM……….39.54  +0.15     +0.38%

Oil………….79.98    -1.24      -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60  -5.60      -0.31%
Timah…..22921    -76.00    -0.33%
(Closed 02/12)
Nickel…27454.00 +624.50   +2.27%
(Closed 02/12)
Silver………23.25    +0.41      +1.79%
Copper….385.05    +3.30      +0.86%

Nturl Gas…..6.222   -0.612     -8.96%‼

Ammonia..4740.00  +50.00  +1.07%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(30/11)

Coal price….391.00   +6.00   +1.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.00  +9.00   +2.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.85  +9.10   +2.48%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00   +1.00    +0.38%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….271.30   +2.30    +0.86%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….268.70   +2.00    +0.75%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958   -123    -3.01%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….646.25  -14.25   -2.16%
SoybeanOil…64.44    -1.34      -2.04%
Wheat………761.00   -22.00    -2.81%

Wood pulp…6580.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional jum’at closing tipis2 di US dan Europe, asia minus… masih sideways

Oil Gas turun lagi, Coal lanjut naik, metal2 ga kompak, gold lead turun, nickel silver copper naik. Primadonanya saham saham batubara, ANTM sama INCO kalo gini

CPO drop lagi, masih suram ini…

IHSG – masih sideways aja, tapi lagi net sell foreign nya, hati hati… Kita pantau lagi infobank15

Infobank15 – bearish divergence confirmed by 2 bear candle, hadeuh… LR masih ok,, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI masih UP, urusannya sama FNS ini makanya ga jalan, sabar sabar, window dressing is coming… Jangan aggressive dulu

Banyak yang cacing RSI nya leading, tapi financials belum… Energy Property Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20221201

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

 

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Daily Analysis 20221130

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 30th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower for a third straight session Tuesday as traders struggled to recover from sharp losses suffered in the previous session and looked ahead to more economic tea leaves coming later in the week.

Dow…….33853 +3.1 +0.01%
Nasdaq.10984 -65.7 -0.59%
S&P 500..3958 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7512 +37.98 +0.51%
Dax……..14356 -27.9 -0.19%
CAC……..6669 +3.8 +0.06%

Nikkei….28028 -134.99 -0.48%
*HSI……..18205 +906.7 +5.24%*
Shanghai..3150 +71.2 +2.31%
ST Times..3276 +36.3 +1.12%

IDX…….7012.07 -5.29 -0.08%
LQ45……995.22 -1.54 -0.15%

IDX Energy..2071.96 +34.40 +1.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.35 +7.00 +0.55%
IDX Industrl..1280.35 +3.70 +0.30%
IDXNONCYC..738.45 +0.68 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.79 +23.36 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.67 +0.26 +0.03%
*IDX Techno.6004.76 -174.38 -2.82%‼️*
IDX Transp…1777.65 -2.59 -0.15%
IDX Infrast……895.58 -0.13 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.65 -2.77 -0.19%,
IDX Banking 1197.86 +5.38 +0.45%
IDX Property….710 +1.00 +0.14%

*Indo10Yr….7.1526 -0.0197 -0.27%👍*
*ICBI……..341.1362 +0.3482 +0.10%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7480 +0.0450 +1.22%*
VIX……21.89 -0.32 -1.44%

*USDIndx..106.8310 +0.1740 +0.16%‼️*
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……158.10 +2.46 +1.58%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15742.50 +20.50 +0.13%‼️*
*Jisdor..15737.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0329 -0.0014 -0.14%*

TLKM……..25.11 +0.07 +0.28%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.31 +0.03 +0.13%
*EEM……….38.41 +0.81 +2.15%*

Oil………….78.20 +0.96 +1.24%
Gold ……1763.70 +8.40 +0.48%
Timah…..22354 +123.00 +0.55%
*(Closed 28/11)*
*Nickel…26869.50 +1302.50 +5.09%‼️*
*(Closed 29/11)*
Silver………21.44 +0.31 +1.47%
Copper…..363.95 +2.40 +0.66%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(28/11)

*Coal price….387.40 +8.40 +2.22%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.50 +5.00 +1.36%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.25 +3.60 +1.00%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….260.00 +11.00 +4.42%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….260.50 +10.60 +4.24%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….258.40 +10.00 +4.03%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4223 +89 +2.15%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.50 -1.75 -0.26%
SoybeanOil…72.97 -0.14 -0.19%
Wheat………781.50 +0.75 +0.10%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI plus dikit, nasdaq masih minus, europe mulai menghijau, asia kemaren pada ijo kecuali nikkei sama ihsg. Harusnya ijo hari ini…

Metal2 mantul, nikel naik tinggi

Oil rebound, Coal lanjut naik, gas koreksi dikit, sektor energy mau memimpin santa claus rally kah? Probably…

Harga CPO mulai menarik, terlihat mantul, kita tunggu AALI dan LSIP nongol buy signal

Sudah di sekitar fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 38…

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD sell, masih FNB, MFI flat, dibawa sideways sampe kapan ini index, ga lanjut2 wave 3 aja, keliatannya ga jadi ascending triangle, bakal jadi darvas box aja… Kita check Infobank lagi deh, biar bisa didateksi emang mau dibawa turun dulu apa nggak

Infobank15 – seminggu FNB terus, memang stoch dan macd masih sideways, MFI mulai up, ini kayanay tinggal nunggu momentum breakout, sekalian tutup gap. Safe to say bahwa index ga akan dibanting sih

Masih Energy Property, diikuti Industrials, Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, pada ganjel aja ini keliatannya nunggu financials manggung lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO MIKA UNVR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA. Memang kemaren naik tinggi banget sih, kita liat apa masih lanjut atau emang udah sekali jalan doang

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD almost buy, MFI SW FF 3 hari FNB, bandar 2 hari dist, EW harusnya wave 3, triange pattern break ke atas tapi ga kenceng, target lumayan tinggi. Tapi historicalnya INCO gerak seiring bandar movement, jadi dengan posisi BD distribusi jangan dulu, walau FF akum

MIKA – stoch buy, macd by, MFI naik dikit, BD akum FNB walau masih tipis, masih wave 3, LR juga up, bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

UNVR – stoch buy, macd buy, BD 3 hari akum, FF masih bolak balik, MFI up,ada gap 2 gede di atas, retracement pattern 0-38-23 harusnya sekarang otw 61. Tapi PBV PER udah 30 itu kemahalan banget, Saya pribadi skip, kalo yang mau buy technically ok sih

ELSA – stoch buy tapibolak balik, macd masih down, MFI up, BD FF bist, ret pattern abis kejedot fibo 50 dibawa hampir 23 lagi, ke area banyak transaksi dalam 200 bar terakhir, harusnya sih mantul lagi, tapi tunggu MACD dan BD FF akum deh