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Daily Analysis 20240920

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 20th, 2024

Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500 closes above 5,700 for the first time a day after Fed slashes rates

Stocks jumped Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and S&P 500
rising to new all-time highs, as traders cheered the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point.

Dow…….42025 +522.1 +1.26%
Nasdaq. 18013 +440.7 +2.51%
S&P 500 5714 +95.4 +1.70%

FTSE…8329 +75.04 +0.91%
Dax……19002 +290.9 +1.55%
CAC……7615 +170.5 +2.29%

Nikkei..37155 +775.16 +2.13%
HSI……18013 +353.1 +2.20%
Shanghai.2736 +18.7 +0.69%

IDX….7905.39‼️ +76.26 +0.97%
LQ45…979.68 +9.43 +0.97%
IDX30.499.81 +4.71 +0.95%

IDXEnergy. 2688.52 +26.66 +1.00%
IDX BscMat1335.52 +13.91 +1.05%
IDX Indstrl..1092.57 +1.17 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.736.48 +2.87 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1536.96 -6.15. -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…905.33 +1.27 +0.18%
IDXTechno 3808.56 -20.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1514.00 +12.90 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1644.97 +20.29 +1.25%
IDX Finance1572.24 +14.75 +0.95%
IDX Banking1404.75 +18.89 +1.36%
IDX Property..791 +17.30 +2.23%

Indo10Yr.6.5821👍-0.0334 -0.51%
ICBI….394.2302👍+0.7792 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.588 -0.040 -1.10%
US5Yr 3.486 -0.070 -0.20%
US10Yr3.719 +0.040 +0.11%
US30Yr.4.054 +0.023 +0.57%
VIX..16.33 -1.90 -10.42%👍

USDIndx 100.6140❗️ -0.336 -0.33%
Como Indx….282.19 +2.37 +0.85%
BCOMIN….147.23 +1.25 +0.85%

IndoCDS..67.73👍 -0.51 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (18/09)

IDR…….15239.00👍 -96.00 -0.63%
Jisdor..15287.00👍 -63.00 -0.41%

Euro…1.1162❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.62 +0.12 +0.59%
( 3152)
EIDO…23.32 +0.56 +2.46%
EEM….43.78 +0.93 +2.16%

Oil………..72.10 +1.19 +1.68%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..74.88 +2.00 +2.74%
(Brent)
Gold…2611.90 +13.30 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold…2587.58 +29.04 +1.13%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31823.00 +229.00 .+0.72%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16333.50 +105.50 +0.65%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..31.12 +0.43 +1.40%
Copper.434.50 +4.60 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 91.57 -0.41 -0.45%
(18/09)
Nturl Gas 2.340 +0.045 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.50 +0.50 +0.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.75 +1.50 +1.11%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +1.70 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +1.40 +1.02%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.80 -1.80 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.75 -1.70 -1.51%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.20 -1.35 -1.11%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3879 +31 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………405.75 -7.00 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 40.93 +0.62 +1.54%
Wheat……565.50 -10.25 -1.78%

Wood pulp.4830.00 -20.00 -0.41%
(Closed 19/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel menyambut fed rate cut, europe ijo, asia udah ijo duluan, welcome 8000 IHSG

US T-bond yield yang pendek down, USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, considering profit taking di beberapa saham yang udah gerak jauh. Begitu 8000 kena, peluang wave 4 incoming jadi besar banget

IHSG – stoch macd mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, efek BI dan Fed cut rate, harusnya sampe ke atas 8000

Property, Financials, Technology, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG PTMP

MACD Buy Signal: ASII INTP MEDC PTBA BRMS BTPS ENRG VKTR HAIS, big accum ASII MEDC BRMS BTPS VKTR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BRPT BNGA

Daily Analysis 20240919

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

Daily Analysis 20240918

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 18th, 2024

S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday after notching all-time high ahead of key Fed decision

The S&P 500
ended Tuesday near the flatline after hitting a record high as the market awaited the Federal Reserve’s key interest rate cut decision.

Dow…….41606 -15.9 -0.04%
Nasdaq. 17628 +35.93 +0.20%
S&P 500 5635 +1.5 +0.03%

FTSE…8310 +31.4 +0.38%
Dax……18726 +92.97 +0.50%
CAC……7487 +37.98 +0.51%

Nikkei….36203 -378.5 -1.03%
HSI……..17660 +237.90 +1.37%
Shanghai.2704 closed +0%

IDX….7831.78 +19.65 +0.25%
LQ45…966.92 +7.57 +0.79%
IDX30.493.44 +4.41 +0.90%

IDXEnergy. 2666.94 +23.44 +0.89%
IDX BscMat1328.87 +4.83 +0.36%
IDX Indstrl..1082.09 +6.04 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.732.88 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1515.27 +17.21+1.15%
IDXCYCLIC…918.35 +14.73 +1.63%
IDXTechno 3931.02 +69.05 +1.78%
IDX Transp 1498.39 +13.36 +1.04%
IDX Infrast 1646.63 -13.62 -0.82%
IDX Finance1547.77 +12.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1374.19 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Property….758 – 1.50 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.6454👍-0.0285 -0.43%
ICBI….393.2566👍+0.5793 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.607 +0.052 +1.46%
US5Yr 3.443 +0.035 +1.15%
US10Yr3.647 +0.029 +0.80%
US30Yr.3.960 +0.029 +0.74%
VIX..17.61 +0.47 +2.74%‼️

USDIndx 100.8940❗️ +0.225 +0.22%
Como Indx….278.66 +1.80 +0.65%
BCOMIN….145.68 -0.45 -0.30%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00👍 -66.50 -0.45%
Jisdor..15338.00 👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1119❗️ -0.0011 -0.10%

TLKM.20.18 -0.25 -1.22%
( 3095)
EIDO…22.66 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM….43.02 +0.07 +0.16%

Oil………..71.15 +0.62 +0.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.70 +0.95 +1.31%
(Brent)
Gold…2596.60 -13.1 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold…2570.93 -12.00 -0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31855.00 -74.00 -0.23%
(Closed 17/09)
Nickel..16136.00 -187.50 -1.15%
(Closed 17/09)
Silver… ..31.04 -0.08 -0.26%
Copper.427.85 +4.25 +1.00%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.316 -0.08 -3.34%
Ammonia China 2676.67 +43.33 +1.65%
(Domestic Price)(13/09)

Coal price.139.65 +2.40 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.35 +3.45 +2.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 +2.50 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 +2.80 +2.07%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.65 +2.00 +1.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 +4.50 +4.10%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.75 +4.05 +3.69%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.00 +4.15 +3.78%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des).3735 -40 -1.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.50 +1.75 +0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.88 +0.77 +1.97%
Wheat……575.75 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp.4854.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asua jepang yang merah, US treasury bond ijo, hmm, katanya mau cut rate… Bisa merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali copper, oil up, gas down, coal up, CPO down, ANTM slow dulu kayanya, AKRA lanjut, coal coal kita pantau chart coal nya

IHSG – ontrack masih, udah rawan koreksi tapi belum ada signal sell… masih FNB terus juga, semoga sampe 8000

Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INCO INTP JSMR PTBA EMTK INDY MPMX PNLF SMSM VKTR, big accum INCO JSMR PTBA SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN BFIN PNLF LPIN BRAM, big accum CPIN BFIN

Daily Analysis 20240905

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 05th, 2024

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

Dow…….40974 +38.04 +0.09%
Nasdaq. .17084 -52.0 -0.30%
S&P 500 5520 -8.9 -0.16%

FTSE…8269 -28.9 -0.35%
Dax……18592 -155.3 -0.83%
CAC……7501 -74.1 -0.98%

Nikkei….37048 -1638.7 -4.44%‼️
HSI……..17458 -194.2 -1.10%
Shanghai.2784 -18.7 -0.67%

IDX….7672.90 +56.38 +0.74%
LQ45…941.69 -0.59 -0.06%
IDX30.477.78 -0.46 -0.10%

IDXEnergy. 2662.58 -5.04 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1332.31 -11.74 -0.87%
IDX Indstrl..1092.38 +6.14 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1493.19 +23.62 +1.61%
IDXCYCLIC…902.83 +24.35 +2.76%
IDXTechno 3298.12 +13.04 +0.40%
IDX Transp 1441.40 -14.94 -1.02%
IDX Infrast 1639.95 +18.09 +1.12%
IDX Finance1486.92 +11.01 +0.75%
IDX Banking1316.27 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property….722 +7.10 +0.99%

Indo10Yr.6.7160 +0.0230 +0.36%
ICBI….390.7836 -0.1895 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 -0.097 -2.51%
US5Yr 3.556 -0.083 -2.28%
US10Yr3.754 -0.080 -2.08%
US30Yr.4.060 -0.063 -1.53%
VIX..21.32‼️ +0.60 +2.90%

USDIndx 101.3580❗️-0.4670 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.26 -2.54 -0.93%
BCOMIN………140.35 -1.24 -0.87%

IndoCDS..68.23 +0.98 +1.46%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/08)

IDR…….15479.50❗️ -46.50 -0.30%
Jisdor..15490.00❗️ -46.00 -0.30%

Euro…1.1084 +0.0038 +0.34%

TLKM…19.82 +0.17 +0.86%
( 3070)
EIDO…..21.85 +0.26 +1.30%
EEM….42.50 -0.01 -0.02%

Oil……….69.30 -1.09 -1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.70 -1.05 -1.42%
(Brent)
Gold…2525.20 +0.30 +0.01%
(Comex)
Gold…2495.36 +2.17 +0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30499.00 -246.00 -0.80%
(Closed 04/09)
Nickel..16180.00 -311.00 -1.89%
(Closed 04/09)
Silver……28.59 +0.19 +0.67%
Copper.408.50 -0.80 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 100.55 +1.85 +1.87%
(30/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 -0.058 -2.63%
Ammonia China 2623.33 +90.00 +3.55%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/09)

Coal price.139.50 -2.50 -1.76%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 -2.70 -1.90%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.60 -2.05 -1.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..142.00 -2.15 -1.49%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.00 -3.45 -2.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.85 -3.40 -2.88%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3888 -45 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 40.16 -0.82 -2.00%
Wheat……580.75 +14.00 +2.47%

Wood pulp.4916.00 +8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dow Jones ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah asia merah, IHSG ijo sendiri. Tapi US bond yield merah semua, semoga masih ijo lagi IHSG hari ini, beresin wave 3 ke target fibo ext 1.61

USD index down, metal2 mostly up but Tin and Nickel yang tutup dan copper. Oil Gas Down, Coal down, CPO down, Pulp and Paper juga down. Dari sini jadi meragukan mau ngejar target wave 3

IHSG – Technically terlihat berbahaya, stoch down, MACD rev down, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, tapi BD masih accum, FNB masih lanjut, ada kemungkinan testing support 7454 terus lanjut, atau emang wave 3 nya berhenti kemaren sedikit diatas fibo ext 1 aja

Property, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI GOTO ISAT SIDO AUTO SILO WEGE, big accum ISAT AUTO

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ACES