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Daily Analysis 20250103

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 03rd 2024

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as comeback bid falters and Tesla, Apple slide

Stocks erased session gains on Thursday to kick off the first trading day of the new year as Wall Street returned from a holiday break.

Dow……42392 -151.95 -0.36%
Nasdaq 19281 -30.00 -0.16%
S&P 500 5869 -13.08 -0.22%

FTSE…..8260 +87.1 +1.07%
Dax……20025 +115.5 +0.58%
CAC……7394 +13.02 +0.18%

Nikkei…39895 closed +0%
HSI……..19623 -436.63 -2.18%
Shanghai.3252 -89.20 -2.66%

IDX…7163.21 +83.30 +1.18%
LQ45…837.21 +10.56 +1.28%
IDX30.429.23 +5.85 +1.38%

IDXEnergy…2729.65 +40.38 +1.50%
IDX BscMat 1274.20 +22.33 +1.78%
IDX Indstrl..1021.66 -13.91 -1.34%
IDXNONCYC.716.97 -12.52 -1.72%
IDX Hlthcare1435.68 -20.82 -1.43%
IDXCYCLC…825.07 -9.84 -1.18%
IDX Techno..4050.75 +52.93 +1.32%
IDX Transp 1297.26 -3.46 -0.27%
IDX Infrast 1465.97 -12.92 -0.87%
IDX Finance1413.51 +20.93 +1.50%
IDX Banking1164.34 +33.38 +2.95%
IDX Property. 764 +7.80 +1.03%

Indo10Yr.7.0442❗-0.0252 -0.36%
ICBI….393.3270❗+0.5181 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.240 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.380 -0.007 -0.16%
US10Yr4.573 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.786 -0.004 -0.08%
VIX..17.93 +0.58 +3.34%❗

USDIndx 109.2420‼️+0.755 +0.70%
Como Indx..293.98 +2.26 +0.76%
BCOMIN..139.11 -1.21 -0.86%

IndoCDS…79.17❗ -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/12)

IDR…….16198.00‼️+66.00 +0.41%
Jisdor.. 16236.00‼️+79.00 +0.49%

Euro…1.0266 -0.009 -0.87%

TLKM…16.59 +0.13 +0.76%
( 2694)
EIDO…18.77 +0.29 +1.54%
EEM…41.76 -0.08 -0.19%

Oil………73.13 +1.41 +1.97%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.86 +1.22 +1.63%
(Brent)
Gold…2669.00 +28.00 +1.06%
(Comex)
Gold…2624.50 +33.35 +1.27%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.28083.00 -212.00 -0.72%
(Closed 31/12)
.Nickel.15300.00 -5.00 -0.03%
(Closed 31/12)
Silver……29.90 +0.66. +2.25%
Copper.402.60 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 103.61 -0.17 -0.16%
(31/12)
Nturl Gas 3.662 +0.045 +1.24%
Ammonia China. 2573.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price.127.00 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.55 -0.45 -0.35%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.00 -1.10 -0.85%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.85 -1.05 -0.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 +0.55 +0.48%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.70 +0.55 +0.49%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.20 +0.50 +0.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.30 +0.05. +0.04%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4336 -108 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………459.50 +1.00 +0.22%
SoybeanOil 40.27 -0.09 -0.22%
Wheat……545.75 -5.75 -1.04%

Wood pulp…..6320 closed +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah ihsg ijo tebel. US treasury bond 2 tahun naik, yang panjang turun, sideways dulu atau koreksi dikit ini keliatannya IHSG

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil up, gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, koreksi sehat dulu coal kayanya tudei, CPO drop lagi, belum boleh jalan

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev rev up, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by ma10, BD FF masih dist tipis, harusnya tinggal nunggu momentum mantul. Sayangnya kemaren mantuk kenceng bikin opening gap, jadi ada utang lagi deh, beware long ower shadow dip

FInancials, Healthcare, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, AKRA ANTM ASII HRUM ISAT ITMG MBMA SMGRUNTR BRMS ELSA ENRG ERAA MARK PANI PTPP SRTG TINS TKIM TPIA yang ada FNB dan Big Accum ASII ENRG MARK PANI PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBTN PGAS AUTO MAPA MARK NISP PTMP TINS, big accum BBTN

Supertrend Buy Signal kemaren INDY SILO, yang baru NISP

Daily Analysis 20250102

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

 

Daily Analysis 20241210

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 10th, 2024

S&P 500, Nasdaq pull back from records as Nvidia tumbles

US stocks pulled back on Monday as Nvidia (NVDA) shares slipped amid a Chinese antitrust probe and investors prepared for this week’s consumer inflation report.

Dow……44402 -240.6 -0 54%
Nasdaq. 19737 -123.1 -0.62%
S&P 500 6053 -37.4 -0.61%

FTSE…..8352 +43.5 +0.52%
Dax……20346 -38.7 -0.19%
CAC……7480 +53.3 +0.72%

Nikkei….39160 +69.3 +0.18%
HSI……..20414 +548.2 +2.76%
Shanghai.3403 -1.5 -0.05%

IDX…7437.73 +54.95 +0.74%
LQ45…887.45 +11.61 +1.33%
IDX30.454.63 +7.03 +1.57%

IDXEnergy…2743.48 +56.95 +2.12%
IDX BscMat 1350.08 +0.16 +0.01%
IDX Indstrl..1089.47 +10.51 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.742.53 +4.33 +0.59%
IDX Hlthcare1460.83 -1.35 -0.09%
IDXCYCLC…843.64 +6.37 +0.76%
IDX Techno..4325.14 +50.44 +1.18%
IDX Transp 1398.13 +18.54 +1.34%
IDX Infrast 1490.56 +8.21 +0.55%
IDX Finance1478.02 +15.20 +1.04%
IDX Banking1238.27 +25.68 +2.12%
IDX Property..797 +6.60 +0.83%

Indo10Yr.7.002‼️ +0.0160 +0.23%
ICBI….392.5831 -0.1990 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.126 +0.033 +0.81%
US5Yr 4.031 +0.041 +1.02%
US10Yr4.200 +0.052 +1.25%
US30Yr.4.383 +0.050 +1.15%
VIX..14.19 +1.42 +11.12%‼️

USDIndx 106.1730❗️ +0.118 +0.11%
Como Indx..289.03 +2.72 +0.95%
BCOMIN..146.48 +0.92.+0.63%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15866.50❗️+21.50 +0.14%
Jisdor..15861.00❗️+13.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.0552❗️ -0.0016 -0.15%

TLKM.17.13 -0.10 -0.55%
( 2717)
EIDO…20.68 +0.28 +1.37%
EEM…44.75 +0.90 +2.04%

Oil………68.17 +0.97 +1.44+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.95 +0.23 +0.32%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30 +22.70 +0.85%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.84 +27.93 +1.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 -13.50 -0.08%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver…..32.45 +0.86 +2.73%
Copper.425.95 +6.30 +1.50%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.176 +0.100 +3.25%
Ammonia China 2776.67 -26.66 -0.95%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.75 +0.50 +0.38%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.25 +0.85 +0.64%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 135.00 +0.40 +0.30%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.113.75 -0.25 -0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.65 -1.15 -1.07%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.25 -0.60 -0.54%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 111.75 -0.35 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5118 -15 -0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………441.25 +1.25 +0.29%
SoybeanOil 42.75 -0.22 -0.15%
Wheat……558.25 +1.00 +0.18%

Wood pulp 4482 – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US pullback, wajar wajar aja sih, europe varied, asia masih kenceng kecuali china, US treasury bond yield up, kita rada ngerem dulu sepertinya juga hari ini

USD index up, tapi gold silver copper juga up, tin nickel iron ore down, oil up, semoga lanjut sampe bulan depan uptrend, gas up, coal newcastle up, desember musim dingin di utara biasanya energy pada naik, CPO down, masih belum jalan aja nih

IHSG – stoch macd mfi rsi w% up, BD acc FNB, breakout resistance, firm rally sih, early santa claus rally? Bisa jadi, tapi liat data US kayanya buat hari ini slow down dulu

Masih property

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, BBRI BMRI GOTO ITMG JSMR PTBA GJTL KIJA MPMX NISP VKTR. big accum BMRI GOTO ITMG

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA ERAA GJTL MAHA MNCN NSIP, big accum MDKA ERAA

Daily Analysis 20241209

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 09th, 2024

Nasdaq, S&P 500 pop to strong weekly gains after jobs report boosts Fed rate cut odds

US stocks mostly rose on Friday as investors digested the last monthly jobs report of the year, a crucial test of the prospects for interest rate cuts in December and beyond.

Dow……44643 -123.2 -0 28%
Nasdaq. 19860 +159.1 +0.81%
S&P 500 6090 +15.2 +0.25%

FTSE…..8309 -40.8 -0.49%
Dax……20385 +25.8 +0.13%
CAC……7427 +96.3 +0.31%

Nikkei….39091 -304.4 -0.77%
HSI……..19866 +305.4 +1.56%
Shanghai.3404 +35.2 +1.05%

IDX…7382.79 +69.47 +0.95%
LQ45…875.84 +1.40 +0.16%
IDX30.447.60 +1.39 +0.16%

IDXEnergy…2686.53 +25.26 +0.95%
IDX BscMat 1349.92 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1078.96 +2.08 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.738.20 +1.22 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1462.18 -8.96. -0.61%
IDXCYCLC…837.27 +2.61 +0.31%
IDX Techno..4274.70 +76.59 +1.82%
IDX Transp 1379.59 -8.96 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1482.35 +15.45 +1.12%
IDX Finance1462.82 +4.25 +0.29%
IDX Banking1212.59 +6.08 +0.50%
IDX Property..791 +13.60 +1.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9860 +0.0146 +0.21%
ICBI….392.6320 -0.2569 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.096 -0.050 -1.21%
US5Yr 4.031 -0.047 -1.15%
US10Yr4.148 -0.030 -0.72%
US30Yr.4.333 -0.003 -0.07%
VIX..12.77👍 -0.77 -5.69%‼️

USDIndx 106.0550❗ +0.329 +0.31%
Como Indx..286.34 -0.09 -0.03%
BCOMIN..145.56 -1.02. -0.70,%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15845.00❗-17.00 -0.11%
Jisdor..15848.00❗-44.00 -0.27%

Euro…1.0568❗ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.17.22 +0.05 +0.29%
( 2729)
EIDO…20.40 +0.01 +0.02%
EEM…43.84 -0.08 -0.18%

Oil………67.20 -1.10 -1.61+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.12 -1.05 -1.45%
(Brent)
Gold…2659.60 +11.20 +0.42%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -1.46 -0.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 +50.50 +0.32%
(Closed 06/12)
Silver…..31.59 +0.05 +0.16%
Copper.419.65 +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.076 -0.008 -0.26%
Ammonia China 2803.33 -16.67 -0.059%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.25 unch +0%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.40 -0.20 -0.15%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50 -0.25 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.60 +0.10 +0.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.00 -0.50 -0.44%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.80 -1.10 -0.97%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.85 -1.25 -1.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 112.10 -1.25 -1.10%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5132 -6 -0.11%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………440.00 +5.00 +1.15%
*SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……557.25 -1.00 -0.18%

Wood pulp – – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US kebanyakan ijo tapi dow jones merah. Europe ijo, Asia ijo kecuali Jepang. US Treasury Bond turun, besar kemungkinan IHSG lanjut ijo

USD index up, metal2 varied, oil down, gas down, coal down, belum gerak juga energy udah masuk Desember… CPO slightly down, masih nunggu AALI

IHSG – 2 hari terakhir net sell lagi, stoch macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD accum, udah breakout area resistance sih, semoga lanjut. Last day foreign exit dari big banks mungkin profit taking karena weekend, semoga hari ini pada entry lagi

Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT MEDC UNTR ABMM BNGA ELSA ENRG ERAA MAHA, big accum UNTR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: INDF AUTO PANI SIMP