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Daily Analysis 20240919

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

Daily Analysis 20240918

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 18th, 2024

S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday after notching all-time high ahead of key Fed decision

The S&P 500
ended Tuesday near the flatline after hitting a record high as the market awaited the Federal Reserve’s key interest rate cut decision.

Dow…….41606 -15.9 -0.04%
Nasdaq. 17628 +35.93 +0.20%
S&P 500 5635 +1.5 +0.03%

FTSE…8310 +31.4 +0.38%
Dax……18726 +92.97 +0.50%
CAC……7487 +37.98 +0.51%

Nikkei….36203 -378.5 -1.03%
HSI……..17660 +237.90 +1.37%
Shanghai.2704 closed +0%

IDX….7831.78 +19.65 +0.25%
LQ45…966.92 +7.57 +0.79%
IDX30.493.44 +4.41 +0.90%

IDXEnergy. 2666.94 +23.44 +0.89%
IDX BscMat1328.87 +4.83 +0.36%
IDX Indstrl..1082.09 +6.04 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.732.88 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1515.27 +17.21+1.15%
IDXCYCLIC…918.35 +14.73 +1.63%
IDXTechno 3931.02 +69.05 +1.78%
IDX Transp 1498.39 +13.36 +1.04%
IDX Infrast 1646.63 -13.62 -0.82%
IDX Finance1547.77 +12.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1374.19 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Property….758 – 1.50 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.6454👍-0.0285 -0.43%
ICBI….393.2566👍+0.5793 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.607 +0.052 +1.46%
US5Yr 3.443 +0.035 +1.15%
US10Yr3.647 +0.029 +0.80%
US30Yr.3.960 +0.029 +0.74%
VIX..17.61 +0.47 +2.74%‼️

USDIndx 100.8940❗️ +0.225 +0.22%
Como Indx….278.66 +1.80 +0.65%
BCOMIN….145.68 -0.45 -0.30%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00👍 -66.50 -0.45%
Jisdor..15338.00 👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1119❗️ -0.0011 -0.10%

TLKM.20.18 -0.25 -1.22%
( 3095)
EIDO…22.66 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM….43.02 +0.07 +0.16%

Oil………..71.15 +0.62 +0.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.70 +0.95 +1.31%
(Brent)
Gold…2596.60 -13.1 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold…2570.93 -12.00 -0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31855.00 -74.00 -0.23%
(Closed 17/09)
Nickel..16136.00 -187.50 -1.15%
(Closed 17/09)
Silver… ..31.04 -0.08 -0.26%
Copper.427.85 +4.25 +1.00%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.316 -0.08 -3.34%
Ammonia China 2676.67 +43.33 +1.65%
(Domestic Price)(13/09)

Coal price.139.65 +2.40 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.35 +3.45 +2.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 +2.50 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 +2.80 +2.07%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.65 +2.00 +1.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 +4.50 +4.10%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.75 +4.05 +3.69%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.00 +4.15 +3.78%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des).3735 -40 -1.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.50 +1.75 +0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.88 +0.77 +1.97%
Wheat……575.75 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp.4854.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asua jepang yang merah, US treasury bond ijo, hmm, katanya mau cut rate… Bisa merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali copper, oil up, gas down, coal up, CPO down, ANTM slow dulu kayanya, AKRA lanjut, coal coal kita pantau chart coal nya

IHSG – ontrack masih, udah rawan koreksi tapi belum ada signal sell… masih FNB terus juga, semoga sampe 8000

Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INCO INTP JSMR PTBA EMTK INDY MPMX PNLF SMSM VKTR, big accum INCO JSMR PTBA SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN BFIN PNLF LPIN BRAM, big accum CPIN BFIN

Daily Analysis 20240905

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 05th, 2024

S&P 500 books back-to-back losses as Wall Street grapples with a rocky start to September

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight session in a lackluster start to September.

Dow…….40974 +38.04 +0.09%
Nasdaq. .17084 -52.0 -0.30%
S&P 500 5520 -8.9 -0.16%

FTSE…8269 -28.9 -0.35%
Dax……18592 -155.3 -0.83%
CAC……7501 -74.1 -0.98%

Nikkei….37048 -1638.7 -4.44%‼️
HSI……..17458 -194.2 -1.10%
Shanghai.2784 -18.7 -0.67%

IDX….7672.90 +56.38 +0.74%
LQ45…941.69 -0.59 -0.06%
IDX30.477.78 -0.46 -0.10%

IDXEnergy. 2662.58 -5.04 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1332.31 -11.74 -0.87%
IDX Indstrl..1092.38 +6.14 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC.710.22 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1493.19 +23.62 +1.61%
IDXCYCLIC…902.83 +24.35 +2.76%
IDXTechno 3298.12 +13.04 +0.40%
IDX Transp 1441.40 -14.94 -1.02%
IDX Infrast 1639.95 +18.09 +1.12%
IDX Finance1486.92 +11.01 +0.75%
IDX Banking1316.27 -0.95 -0.07%
IDX Property….722 +7.10 +0.99%

Indo10Yr.6.7160 +0.0230 +0.36%
ICBI….390.7836 -0.1895 -0.05%
US2Yr.3.766 -0.097 -2.51%
US5Yr 3.556 -0.083 -2.28%
US10Yr3.754 -0.080 -2.08%
US30Yr.4.060 -0.063 -1.53%
VIX..21.32‼️ +0.60 +2.90%

USDIndx 101.3580❗️-0.4670 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.26 -2.54 -0.93%
BCOMIN………140.35 -1.24 -0.87%

IndoCDS..68.23 +0.98 +1.46%
(5-yr INOCD5) (30/08)

IDR…….15479.50❗️ -46.50 -0.30%
Jisdor..15490.00❗️ -46.00 -0.30%

Euro…1.1084 +0.0038 +0.34%

TLKM…19.82 +0.17 +0.86%
( 3070)
EIDO…..21.85 +0.26 +1.30%
EEM….42.50 -0.01 -0.02%

Oil……….69.30 -1.09 -1.55%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.70 -1.05 -1.42%
(Brent)
Gold…2525.20 +0.30 +0.01%
(Comex)
Gold…2495.36 +2.17 +0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30499.00 -246.00 -0.80%
(Closed 04/09)
Nickel..16180.00 -311.00 -1.89%
(Closed 04/09)
Silver……28.59 +0.19 +0.67%
Copper.408.50 -0.80 -0.20%

Iron Ore 62% 100.55 +1.85 +1.87%
(30/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 -0.058 -2.63%
Ammonia China 2623.33 +90.00 +3.55%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/09)

Coal price.139.50 -2.50 -1.76%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.40 -2.70 -1.90%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.60 -2.05 -1.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..142.00 -2.15 -1.49%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 -2.55 -2.18%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.00 -3.45 -2.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.85 -3.40 -2.88%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3888 -45 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 40.16 -0.82 -2.00%
Wheat……580.75 +14.00 +2.47%

Wood pulp.4916.00 +8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 03/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dow Jones ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah asia merah, IHSG ijo sendiri. Tapi US bond yield merah semua, semoga masih ijo lagi IHSG hari ini, beresin wave 3 ke target fibo ext 1.61

USD index down, metal2 mostly up but Tin and Nickel yang tutup dan copper. Oil Gas Down, Coal down, CPO down, Pulp and Paper juga down. Dari sini jadi meragukan mau ngejar target wave 3

IHSG – Technically terlihat berbahaya, stoch down, MACD rev down, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, tapi BD masih accum, FNB masih lanjut, ada kemungkinan testing support 7454 terus lanjut, atau emang wave 3 nya berhenti kemaren sedikit diatas fibo ext 1 aja

Property, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI GOTO ISAT SIDO AUTO SILO WEGE, big accum ISAT AUTO

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ACES

Daily Analysis 20240902

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis, Web Design

September 02nd, 2024

Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month

Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting a fresh record high as investors ended a volatile month on a high note. Traders also mulled over crucial inflation data watched closely by the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….41563 +228.03 +0.55%
Nasdaq. .17714 +197.2 +1.13%
S&P 500 5648 +56.4 +1.01%

FTSE…8377.0 -3.01 -0.04%
Dax……18907 -5.7 -0.03%
CAC……7631 -10.0 -0.13%

Nikkei….38648 +285.2 +0.74%
HSI……..17789 +202.8 +1.14%
Shanghai.2842 +19.1 +0.68%

IDX….7670.73 +43.13 +0.57%
LQ45…944.48 +2.36 +0.25%
IDX30.478.92 +2.14 +0.45%

IDXEnergy. 2622.89 -14.54 -0.54%
IDX BscMat1357.05 +4.40 +0.33%
IDX Indstrl..1079.47 -4.80 -0.44%
IDXNONCYC.711.39 +0.76 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1464.16 +2.51 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC….914.24 +4.36 +0.48%
IDXTechno 3263.30 +21.44 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1448.28 +13.79 +0.96%
IDX Infrast 1629.18 +19.57 +1.22%
IDX Finance1473.49 -1.79 -0.12%
IDX Banking1322.59 +6.71 +0.99%
IDX Property….721 -2.70 -0.38%

Indo10Yr.6.6834 -0.0165 -0.25%
ICBI….391.1384 -0.0792 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.919 +0.021 +0.54%
US5Yr 3.708 +0.040 +1.09%
US10Yr3.909 +0.041 +1.06%
US30Yr.4.201+0.051 +1.23%
VIX..15.00 -0.65 -4.15%

USDIndx 101.6980❗️ +0.355 +0.35%
Como Indx….277.03 -2.85 -1.02%
BCOMIN………144.59 -0.41 -0.29%

IndoCDS..67.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/08)

IDR…….15455.00 +31.50 +0.20%
Jisdor..15473.00 +64.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.1048❗️ -0.0032 -0.29%

TLKM…19.60 +0.14 +0.72 %
( 3033)
EIDO…..21.77 -0.08 -0.37%
EEM….43.37 +0.09 +0.21%

Oil………..73.55 -2.34 -3.08%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..76.93 -3.01 -3.77%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2527.60 -26.30 -1.03%
(Comex)
Gold…2503.39 -16.99 -0.67%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32346.00 +1.00 +0%
(Closed 30/08)
Nickel..16747.50 -274.50 -1.61%
(Closed 30/08)
Silver…29.14 -0.69 -2.31%
Copper.421.15 +0.25 +0.06%

Iron Ore 62% 98.70 +0.07 +0.07%
(28/08)
Nturl Gas 2.146 +0.003 +0.14%
Ammonia China 2583.33 -60.00 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(29/08)

Coal price.143.75 +0.50 +0.35%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.25 +0.70 +0.48%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.80 unch +0%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price..148.35 -0.75 -0.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.120.50 +1.20 +1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.65 +1.25 +1.04%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.85 +0.75 +0.61%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.10 +1.10 +0.89%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3978 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………401.00 +5.00 +1.26%
SoybeanOil 42.01 -0.12 -0.28%
Wheat……551.50 +2.75 +0.50%

Wood pulp.4900.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing ijo jum’at, europe merah, asia ijo, tapi US bond yield merah, ada kemungkinan hari ini merah juga IHSG, tapi semoga ikut DJI yang cetakk new record high.

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down, oil down gas up coal up, CPO up, masih berharap AALI LSIP SIMP lanjut jalan

IHSG – stoch sw, macd up, MFI w% sw, BD acc FNB dan membesar, reg bear belum confirmed semoga cancelled, keliatan dijagain dari volume yang rata dan bandar accum. Sepertinya ngejar target technical wave 3 di 1.618 fibo extension

Industrials, Property

 

 

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN MBMA TLKM BRMS CTRA DSNG MYOR PANI SSIA TPIA, big accum BBTN TPIA

MACD Buy Signal: MAPA MIKA SMSM ULTJ, semua big accum dan ada spike di Agustus

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO MIKA PANI SILO

TLKM – supertrend buy signal, Stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD acc, FNS tipis, ada gap di atas, diluar kekhawatiran index mau start wave 4, harusnya firm jalan ini TLKM

Jum’at ada freq spike, kalo bener ini TLKM jalan index beresin wave 3 ke atas 8000

Average aman, 3 biggest holder accum malu malu, saya masih hold, yang belum punya bisa entry juga, tapi begitu signal ngebalik langsung buang, karena ada resiko IHSG wave 4

BBTN – stoch rev buy, MACD still up, MFI down, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, ada freq spike jg, kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya jalan ke fibo 61, CNH juga harusnya nganter ke 1650

Spike target done

Average Bandar udah dibawah running price, jadi agak khawatir belanja. Emang ga akan beli juga sih, tapi technically ok, cuma harus pantau ketat kalo ngebalik

MAPA PBV 4, MIKA PBV 7, skip…

ULTJ – stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, ada freq spike, MFI up w% uptrend, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya jalan ya

Spike beberapa kali, terakhir terlihat spike jual, ada lagi baru ga terlalu tinggi tapi firm sih

average nya dibawah running price, technical sih ok, kalo mau entry mending BOW di averagenya AK, kalo daper BOW 1800

INCO – stocj rev up, MACD up, 833 buy, big acc BD and FF, ada spike juga, reg bull div confirmed, udah bikin higher low, harusnya jalan ini

Wah, average aman, tapi belum keliatan accum lagi disini, beda sama data stockbit

Wah, tadinya mau jual buat kenakalan, ga jadi ini mah, HOLD INCO, mau hajatan iniiiiiii

Yang jelas secara technical ok, BUY INCO mumpung merah