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Daily Analysis 20241007

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

October 07th, 2024

Dow jumps 300 points for record close as September’s big jobs report spurs rally

Stocks advanced on Friday after an expectation-defying jobs report gave investors confidence around the health of the economy.

Dow…….42353 +341.2 +0.81%
Nasdaq. 18138 +219.4 +1.22%
S&P 500 5751 +51.1 +0.90%

FTSE…..8281 -1.9 -0.02%
Dax……19121 +105.5 +0.55%
CAC……7451 +63.6 +0.85%

Nikkei….3863- +83.6 +0.22%
HSI……22737 +623.4 +2.82%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7496.09 -47.74 -0.63%
LQ45…929.73 -7.66 -0.82%
IDX30.479.49 -4.07 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…..2747.12 +2.52 +0.09%
IDX BscMat1398.31 -3.31 -0.24%
IDX Indstrl..1071.77 -5.24 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC.734.51 -1.29 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1579.34 +7.83 +0.50%
IDXCYCLIC…862.34 -6.80 -0.78%
IDXTechno 3667.05 -87.78 -2.34%
IDX Transp 1483.23 -10.86 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1522.48 +1.74 +0.11%
IDX Finance1499.61 -11.00 -0.73%
IDX Banking1306.38 -14.09 -1.07%
IDX Property..782 -10.80 -2.34%

Indo10Yr.6.6366 +0.0397 +1.42%
ICBI….394.0557 -0.8889 -0.23%
US2Yr.3.924 +0.2190 +5.91%‼️
US5Yr 3.804 +0.176 +4.85%‼️
US10Yr3.969 +0.121 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.181+0.072 +1.72%
VIX..19.21 -1.28 -6.25%

USDIndx 102.5200‼️+0.531 +0.52%
Como Indx….291.65 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….155.98 +1.59 +1.03%

IndoCDS..69.26 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/10)

IDR…….15485.00‼️ +56.50 +0.37%
Jisdor..15495.00 ‼️ +101.00 +0.66%

Euro…1.0974❗️ -0.0061 -0.55%

TLKM.18.70 -0.09 -0.48%
( 2898)
EIDO…21.60 -0.46 -2.09%
EEM…46.97 +0.47 +1.01%

Oil………..74.38 +0.55 +0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..78.05 +0.43 +0.55%
(Brent)
Gold…2667.80 -7.60 -0.28%
(Comex)
Gold…2653.60 -2.38 -0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33805.00 +96.00 +0.28%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel.17825.50 +79.50 +0.46%
(Closed 04/10)
Silver… ..32.39 +0.07 +0.22%
Copper.457.40 +2.70 +0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 108.84 -0.53 -0.49%
(04/10)
Nturl Gas 2.831 -0.139 -4.68%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.148.20 +7.40 +5.26%‼️
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.60 +7.00 +4.91%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +6.30 +4.34%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.152.60 +6.35 +4.34%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.05 +5.05 +4.32%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.45 +5.85 +4.97%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..123.95 +5.25 +4.43%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.55 +4.65 +3.88%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4305 +123 +2 94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………424.75 -3.50 -0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.56 -1.26%
Wheat….589.76 -13.75 -2.28%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe mostly ijo, asua ijo kecuali IHSG yang merah rada dalem. Tapi US treasury bond naik tinggi juga, biasanya jelek buat pasar saham besoknya.

USD index juga up, metal2 masih kebanyakan up kecuali gold sama iron ore, oil up gas up coal CPO jump, harusnya AALI LSIP ADRO INDY ITMG menarik ini

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, tapi dari level wave 4 nya udah mau sampe target, bisa jadi kalo hari ini drop terus pada sepakat cukup, akan jadi doji dan jadi turning point wave 5 sampe akhir tahun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AUTO ELSA, big accum juga

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS

Daily Analysis 20241004

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

October 04th, 2024

Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies

Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.

Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%

FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%

Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%

IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️

USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%

IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)

IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%

Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%

Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%

Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.

USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit

IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA

OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike

Daily Analysis 20241003

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

October 03rd, 2024

Stocks edge higher amid Mideast caution, Tesla slips after deliveries fall short

US stocks drifted higher on Wednesday as escalating Israel-Iran tensions fanned worries about a wider Middle East conflict, initially prompting caution in the market.

Dow…….42197 +39.6 +0.09%
Nasdaq. 17924 +14.8 +0.08%
S&P 500 5709 +0.8 +0.01%

FTSE…8291 +14.2 +0.17%
Dax……19164 -48.4 -0.25%
CAC……7578 +3.5 +0.05%

Nikkei..37808 -843.2 -2.18%
HSI…..22444 +1310.1 +6.20%‼️
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7563.26 -78.87 -1.03%
LQ45…938.70 -14.66 -1.54%
IDX30.483.58 -6.54 -1.33%

IDXEnergy…..2764.29 -8.27 -0.30%
IDX BscMat1411.38 +0.47 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1073.69 -4.84 -0.45%
IDXNONCYC.735.44 -9.95 -1.33%
IDX Hlthcare1582.48 -5.97 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…863.60 -15.30 -1.74%
IDXTechno 3797.15 -53.41 -1.39%
IDX Transp 1496.18 -29.75 -1.95%
IDX Infrast 1519.72 -27.06 -1.75%
IDX Finance1506.04 -20.20 -1.32%
IDX Banking1315.47 -19.10 -1.43%
IDX Property..789 -18.10 -1.50%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.020 +0.31%
ICBI….395.5811 -0.3373 -0.09%
US2Yr.3.637 +0.031 +0.86%
US5Yr 3.552 +0.043 +1.23%
US10Yr3.786 +0.054 +1.45%
US30Yr.4.128+0.057 +1.40%
VIX..18.90 -0.36 -1.87%

USDIndx 101.6770❗️+0.480 +0.48%
Como Indx….287.13 +0.76 +0.27%
BCOMIN….157.65 +2.12 +1.36%

IndoCDS..68.75 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/10)

IDR…….15268.00 +62.00 +0.41%
Jisdor..15247.00 +43.00 +0.28%

Euro…1.1047❗️ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.19.16 -0.66 -3.33%‼️
( 2921)
EIDO…22.32 -0.34 -1.48%
EEM…47.10 +0.94 +2.02%

Oil………..70.83 -0.12 -0.17%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.90 +0.34 +0.46%
(Brent)
Gold…2679.60 -3.20 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold…2661.02 -1.19 -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33893.00 +14.00 +0.04%
(Closed 02/10)
Nickel.18220.00 +522.50 +2.95%‼️
(Closed 02/10)
Silver… ..32.12 +0.46 +1.45%
Copper.465.70 +6.00 +1.31%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 +14.51 +15.89%‼️
(01/10)
Nturl Gas 2.914 +0.010 +0.34%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(02/10)

Coal price.140.25 -1.40 -0.99%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -1.10 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.20 -0.70 -0.49%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.00 -0.90 -0.62%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.10 -1.80 -1.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..115.50 -2.75 -2.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.45 -2.45 -2.06%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.35 -1.85 -1.54%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4196 +187 +4 66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………432.50 +3.50 +0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.64 +0.73 +1.70%
Wheat….615.25 +16.25 +2.71%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tipis, europe varied, asia cuma hongkong yang ijo, US t bond yield up, kemungkinan ya merah lagi hari ini IHSG

USD Index up, gold down tipis metal lain up, nickel iron ore jump, oil tipis2, gas up, coal down, CPO jump. Masih diharapkan rally INCO AALI

IHSG – masih firm downtrend, wave 4, stoch macd mfi down, w% down, sempet FNB sehari, kemaren lanjut FNS lagi, masih belum beres, target level juga belum sampe, sabar jangan belanja2 dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG MARK TEBE LPIN BRAM

MACD Buy Signal: ELSA SMIL

Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: MEDC ADMR

Daily Analysis 20240927

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 27th, 2024

Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%

FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%

Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️

IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%

IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%

USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️

IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)

IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%

Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️

Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)

Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%

Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4

IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact

Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials

Oil prepare exit

Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap

MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum