Daily Analysis 20230131

January 31st, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, Dow sheds more than 250 points to snap six-day win streak

Stocks traded lower Monday, pausing a January rally as investors braced for the busiest week of earnings season and a possible interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33717 -260.99 -0.77%
Nasdaq.11394 -227.9 -1.96%
S&P 500..4018 -52.8 -1.30%

FTSE…….7785 +19.7 +0.25%
Dax……..15126 -23.95 -0.16%
CAC……..7082 -15.2 -0.21%

Nikkei…..27433 +50.8 +0.19%
HSI……..22070 -619.2 -2.73%
Shanghai..3269 +4.50 +0.14%

IDX…..6872.48 -26.50 -0.38%
LQ45….945.43 -4.30 -0.45%

IDX Energy..2154.29 -17.79-0.82%
IDX BscMat 1257.58 -5.02 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl…1171.74 -7.05 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC..737.36 +1.83 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1562.64 +33.35+2.18%
IDXCYCLIC…827.87 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno5462.29 -76.14 -1.37%
IDX Transp1769.80 -17.68 -0.99%
IDX Infrast…..849.56 -7.47 -0.87%
IDX Finance 1416.58 -11.75 -0.82%
IDX Banking1140.76 -11.38 -0.99%
IDX Property….710 +8.10 +1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.7967 -0.0095 -0.15%
ICBI..349.5406 +0.1094 +0.03%
US10Yr..3.5510 +0.0330 +0.94%
VIX……19.94 +1.43 +7.73%

USDIndx102.2350 +0.3080 +0.30%
Como Indx.274.43 -3.23 -1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.20 -0.41 -0.23%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……14970.00 -15.50 -0.10%
Jisdor..14979.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……1.0848 -0.0017 -0.15%

TLKM….26.50 +0.11 +0.42%
(3969)
EIDO……23.31 -0.24 -1.02%
EEM……41.45 -0.85 -2.01%

Oil……..77.90 -1.78 -2.23%
Gold ..1939.20 -6.40 -0.33%
Timah.30838 – -%
(Closed 27/01)
Nickel.29740 +755.00 +2.60%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver…….23.73 +0.11 +0.47%
Copper..420.20 -2.05 -0.49%

Nturl Gas.2.688 -0.1660 -5.88%‼️

Ammonia.4223.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/01)

Coal price..265.35 -0.90 -0.34%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.257.00 -0.50 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.253.00 -0.45 -0.18%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.249.05 +0.10 +0.04%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.139.00 -2.00 -1.42%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.139.00 -1.55 -1.10%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.140.90 -0.30 -0.21%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price142.30 +0.30 +0.21%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3930 +20 +0.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..683.75 +0.75 +0.11%
SoybeanOil..61.32 +0.70 +1.15%
Wheat…….752.50. +2.50 +0.33%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

IHSG – Stochastic nyarev down,mau sell, MACD masih up, MFI masih up, NFB, BD flat, udah tutup gap, masih firm wave 3 harusnya, dengan berita bocoran bank bank profit naik probably ga akan lama koreksinya. Kesempatan belanja kalo pada pull back, tapi jelas, masuknya pas buy signal lagi

 

Financials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF LINK

TLKM – stoch buy but sw, MACD still up, MFI rada down, 3 hari NFB, BD juga acc, ABC correction level belum reached, tapi dari Elliot wave terakhir udah retrace fibo 61, udah wajar balik mantul. Ada unclosed gap diatas, LR slopemasih kebawah dan lagi kejedot upper channel, belum firm, kita liat freq spike dan bandar average dulu

Freq Spike nya lumayan, ada beberapa yang pas sideways

Bandar Average aman… Bisa BUY TLKM tapi sektor bukan yang leading jangan full load

KLBF – setelah wave 5 konsolidasi, belum ABC correction belum breakout darvas box juga, belum jelas. Stoch dan MACD bolak balik terus, yang menariknya BD FF acc udah 2 inggu ini, MFI up, tapi ga deh, sektor ga jalan, belum ABC correction, index lagi minor correction, WNS

LINK – belum selesai distribusinya, skip