Daily Analysis 20230117

January 17th, 2023

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Dow…….34303 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11079 closed +0%
S&P 500..3999 closed +0%

FTSE…….7860 +16.0 +0.20%
Dax……..15134 +47.5 +0.31%
CAC……..7043 +19.8 +0.28%

Nikkei…..25822 -297.2 -1.14%
HSI………21747 +8.1 +0.04%
Shanghai..3228 +32.3 +1.01%
ST Times..3280 -13.7 -0.42%

IDX…..6688.06 +46.23 +0.70%
LQ45….913.32 +7.82 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2130.70 +5.48. +0.26%
IDX BscMat 1264.61 +19.32 +1.55%
IDX Indstrl…1136.58 +6.33 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC..717.92 -4.16 -0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1540.25 +3.20 +0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…813.86 +4.18 +0.52%
IDX Techno.5269.96 +14.05 +0.27%
IDX Transp..1643.95 +10.84 +0.66%
IDX Infrast…..838.98 +0.40 +0.05%
IDX Finance 1363.99 +7.97 +0.59%
IDX Banking1083.22 +10.31+0.96%
IDX Property….694 +1.10 +0.16%

Indo10Yr.6.8381 +0.0124 +0.18%
ICBI…348.6986 -0.3354 -0.10%
US10Yr..3.5110 closed +0%
VIX…..19.49 +1.14 +6.21%

USDIndx102.3580 +0.1540 +0.15%
Como Indx.275.91 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..173.45 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15045.00 -103.50 -0.68%👍
Jisdor..15019.00 -158.00 -1.04%👍

Euro……1.0821 -0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM…..24.91 closed +0%
(3741)
EIDO…..22.32 closed +0%
EEM……41.30 closed +0%

Oil…….78.85 -1.01 -1.26%
Gold ..1918.30 -3.40 -0.18%
Timah…28756 – –
(Closed 13/01)
Nickel.2402.50 +386.0 +1.43%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver…….24.44 +0.07 +0.28%
Copper..413.90 -7.70 -1.83%

Nturl Gas..3.625 +0.144 +4.14%

Ammonia.4190.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/01)

Coal price..370.00 -0.25 -0.07%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..324.00 -10.00 -2.99%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..301.00 -8.00 -2.59%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..284.35. -6.65 -2.29%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..168.00 -4.40 -2.72%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..159.25 -10.10 -5.96%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..168.00 -18.05 -10.61%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..157.50 -11.80 -6.97%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3852 +7 +0.18%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..63.06 closed +0%
Wheat……..743.75 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6320.00 -10 -0.16%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US libur, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan ijo, yang merah nikkei sama straight times

Oil Coal turun gas rebound, gold copper turun silver nikel naik, CPO turun tipis, kayanya pada sideways dulu hari ini

IHSG – 3 hari ijo, tapi masih NFS, ga asik ini, ga bisa long run… Tapi technically sih mau reversal, 3 white soldiers, stoch almost buy, MACD rev up, MFI up, BD acc, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, dikit lagi MA10, mantul di support kuat. Semoga minggu ini mulai NFB

Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare gerak lagi, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO ASII BBNI BBRI TPIA BTPS LPPF MAPI SRTG WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: ASII HMSP BSDE ELSA MTDL TAPG TKIM BMTR

Saham2 financials mulai keliatan… Tapi kalo banyak yang buy signal gini bagusnya lebih prioritas ke yang sektornya jalan

ARTO skip

ASII – khawatir technical trap, dibawa rally 3 hari, stoch buy macd buy tapi bandar akum tipis aja dan masih NFS, itungan EW reverse masih dibawah harga sekarang, WNS, masuk ideal pas udha bikin higher low

BBNI – stoch buy sw, macd flattening, MFI up, hid bull div, BD bolak balik acc dist tipis, FF mulai acc, EW wave 4 nya tembus top wave 1, nanti kita liat kemungkinannya, mantul sebelum nyentuh support kuat, WNS dulu deh

BBRI – stoch buy macd flattening, MFI up, BD FF mulai acc, wave 4 masih diatas top wave 1, masih sesuai kaedah elliot wave, LR buy, bisa spec buy sih BBRI yang ga masalah dengan bank konven

TPIA – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, bd dist, ff dist, belum sih

BTPS – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI up, BD FF dist, LR mantul, baru bikin lower low, belum saatnya

LPPF – abis ngejar fibo 61 balik kebawah 23, reg bull div cancelled, stoch buy macd down, MFI down, BD FF belum gerak, masih tipis2, LR aja yang bagus, WNS dulu, liat lagi pas MACD cross

MAPI – menarik, BD udah mulai gerak, stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI naik tapi FF masih dist, ew wave 4 bisa jadi udah, mantul di fibo 38, LR buy. YAng porto kosong bisa spec buy, BOW, yang porto banyak barang tunggu MACD dulu deh

SRTG – agak anomali… harga gerak naik tapi BD FF masih dist, FF last day acc sih, ga terlalu significant juga, reg bull div, belum confirmed, tunggu macd deh

WIIM skip

HMSP skip

BSDE – masih sideways, memang stoch up dan macd udah buy, FF udah kenceng masuk, BD juga accum, sektor masih belum tapi ok sih buat colongan buy duluan. Kita check freq spike dan average bandar

BSDE spike – ada spike beberapa kali di fase sideways, bagus ini…

BSDE dari average price broker aman

ELSA – technically udah ok buy dari cross macd kemarin, MFI masih sw,BD FF masih belum gerak, stoch buy macd buy, reg bull div confirmed buy 2 bull candle ma 10 and MACD buy signal, semoga retracement patterny nya jalan

MTDL – technically ok, kurangnya di BD belum banyak gerak, tapi karena ada banyak buy signal di saham big cap, saya skip MTDL, lagipula sektornya melemah

TAPG – technically lumayan ok, stoch buy but sw, macd buy, MFI sw, bandar acc, ff belum, yangpaling menarik multiple regular bullish divergence, confirmed by 2 bull candle MA10 and MACD buy signal. Jeleknya ada candle volume buangan. Saya skip sih, milih LSIP aja kalo mau masuk CPO

TKIM – nyusul INKP, stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, BD dist, FF dist tipis, belum sih…tunggu breakout triangle aja deh

BMTR – stoch buy macd buy, regbull div RSI, confirmed by MA10,MFI sw, bd acc, FF dist, baru bikin lower low, jangan dulu sih