Daily Analysis 20230102

January 02nd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks fall to end Wall Street’s worst year since 2008, S&P 500 finishes 2022 down nearly 20%

Stocks slipped on Friday to end a brutal 2022 with a whimper, as Wall Street wrapped up its worst year since 2008 on a sour note.

Dow…….33147 -73.6 -0.22%
Nasdaq.104667 -11.6 -0.11%
S&P 500..3840 -9.8 -0.25%

FTSE…….7452 -60.98 -0.81%
Dax……..13924 -148.1 -1.05%
CAC……..6474 -99.7 -1.52%

Nikkei…..26094 unch +0%
HSI………19781 +40.3 +0.20%
Shanghai…3089 +15.6 +0.51%
ST Times..3251 +2.1 +0.06%

IDX…….6850.62 -9.46 -0.14%
LQ45……937.18 -4.37 -0.38%

IDX Energy..2279.55 -3.98 -0.17%
IDX BscMat 1216.13 -7.87 -0.64%
IDX Indstrl…1174.34 -1.51 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..716.56 -6.44 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1564.97+10.64+0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.90 +2.96 +0.35%
IDX Techno..5162.04 -46.34 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1661.94 +2.31 +0.14%
IDX Infrast……868.64 +11.50+1.34%
IDX Finance 1414.93 +4.43 +0.31%
IDX Banking 1150.98 +4.00 +0.35%
IDX Property….711 +0.37 +2.60%

Indo10Yr.7.0077 +0.0059 +0.08%
ICBI….344.7816 +0.0474 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.8790 +0.0440 +1.15%
VIX……21.67 +0.23 +1.07%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.277.75 +1.74 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.34 -1.06 -0.64%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15572.50 -85.00 -0.54%
Jisdor..15592.00 -139.00-0.88%

Euro……1.0712 +0.0048 +0.45%

TLKM…..23.85 +0.17 +0.72%
(3719)
EIDO…….22.39 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……..37.90 -0.53 -1.38%

Oil……..80.26 +1.86 +2.37%
Gold …1826.20 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah….24808 -108.00 -0.43%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.30058.50 -92.50 -0.31%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver…….24.04 -0.21 -0.87%
Copper…381.05 -1.35 -0.35%

Nturl Gas..4.081 -0.643 -13.61%‼️

Ammonia..4623.67 +16.6 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/12)

Coal price….389.60 +9.55 +2.51%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.00 +7.90 +2.22%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….339.55 +5.95 +1.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…190.50 +1.45 +0.74%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.70 +2.15 +1.15%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4178 +88 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….678.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…64.07 -2.29 -3.45%
Wheat………792.00 +18.00 +2.33%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI tahun 2022 jelek banget, dan pasti berefek pada semua bursa di dunia… Secara umum harga komoditas naik, inflasi, banyak negara besar terkena krisis ekonomi pasca covid. Semoga 2023 bener2 recovery

Posisi closing 2022 Oil Coal CPO naik, Gas drop, metal2 rata2 turun. Indikasinya saham energy akan lanjut naik minimal sampe winter beres, semoga saham2 CPO juga sama.

IHSG 2022 closing 4% diatas closing 2021, belum berhasil rally wave 3 setelah ABC correction yang start di april. Kalau liat pattern tahun 2021, semoga sampe maret april lanjut bullish

IHSG – stoch nya sell, MACD masih up, masih FNS terus, BD lagi rada flat, MFI naik tapi last day turun, udah breakout ascending triangle tapi konsolidasi lagi, semoga cuma retest, lanjut rally… Bisa mulai berani belanja selektif sih terutama di saham2 yang setiap tahun ada january effect

Technology sama Consumer Cyclicals

Stoch Buy Signal: CTRA SCMA SMRA WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: MMLP SCMA

Property – Stoch UP, 833 sell,MACD buy,FF exit terus, BD akum, MFI down, ga ok sih ini, mungkin kemaren windress aja biar agak naik pas tutup buku

CTRA – Stoch buy, 833 up, MACD belum, MFI down, FF flat, BD dist, dari freq analyzer rata2 nya naik, liat volume sepi, kemungkinan bisa jadi big money coming in pelan pelan atau beneran market sepi jad yang jalan market maker doang. Amannya tunggu vol breakout dan MACD dulu deh

SCMA – stoch buy sw,833 sell sw,macd buy, MFI sw, FF mulai akum, BD masih dist, lagi bikin higher low, sektor jalan, bisa spec buy disini, amannya tunggu volbreakout

SMRA – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI flat di bawah, FF akum tipis, BD bilak balik, lastday dist tipis, retracement pattern failed, breakdown fibo 23 jadi restart, belum break 23 lagi, masih belum sih, coba kita liat lagi pas MACD nya buy

WIIM skip…

MMLP – FF akum terus even waktu harga drop, BD bolak balik, tapi keliatan tiap BD gerak harga gerak searah, MACD baru sekk ngebalik buy, Stoch hampir buy, ada freq spike, abis terjun belum retrace bener, ga kenal saham property ini, curiga rada kolesterol tinggi. Personally saya skip, yang mau entry bisa ikutan kalo breakout fibo 23