Daily Analysis 20221124

November 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for a second day as Fed minutes signal smaller rate hikes ahead

U.S. stocks closed higher Wednesday in a choppy session as meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve showed that the central bank is looking to hand out smaller rate hikes in the coming months as inflation cools off.

Dow…….34194 +95.96 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11285 +110.9 +0.99%
S&P 500..4027 +23.7 +0.59%

FTSE…….7465 +12.00 +0.17%
Dax……..14428 +5.2 +0.04%
CAC……..6679 +21.6 +0.32%

Nikkei….28116 closed +0%
HSI……..17524 +99.4 +0.57%
Shanghai..3097 +7.96 +0.26%
ST Times..3256 -3.6 -0.11%

IDX…….7054.12 +23.53 +0.33%
LQ45……998.50 +1.62 +0.16%

IDX Energy..2087.01 +24.79 +1.20%
IDX Bsc Mat.1288.07 +2.05 +0.16%
IDX Industrl..1229.77 -1.58 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..730.56 +3.76 +0.52%
IDX Hlthcare.1473.76 -0.57 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..888.64 -0.26 -0.03%
IDX Techno..6571.23 -45.2 -0.68%
IDX Transp…1809.59 +17.07 +0.96%
IDX Infrast……909.02 -0.42 -0.05%
IDX Finance 1497.59 +14.55 +0.99%,
IDX Banking.1192.41 +5.35 +0.45%
IDX Property….693 – -%

*Indo10Yr….7.2563 -0.0349 -0.48%👍*
*ICBI……..339.0439 +0.9718 +0.29%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7060 -0.0520 -1.38%*
*VIX……20.35 -0.94 -4.42%‼️*

*USDIndx..106.1370 -1.0340 -0.96%👍*
Como Indx..276.87 -2.37 -0.85%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……156.96 -0.19 -0.12%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15686.50 -10.00 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor..15700.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0395 +0.0091 +0.88%*

TLKM……..25.26 -0.23 -0.90%
*(3966)*
EIDO………23.22 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….37.95 +0.31 +0.82%

*Oil…………77.94 -3.01 -3.72%‼️*
Gold ……1760.40 +6.70 +0.38%
Timah…..22664 – %
*(Closed 21/11)*
Nickel…26108.00 -112.00 -0.43%
*(Closed 23/11)*
Silver………21.53 +0.46 +2.18%
Copper…..361.85 +4.25 +1.19%

*Nturl Gas…..7.332 +0.640 +9.56%‼️*

*Ammonia..4590.00 +16.67 +0.36%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(22/11)

Coal price….346.45 -0.70 -0.20%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.10 +1.10 +0.31%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.90 +10.15 +0.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….213.90 +0.90 +0.42%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….247.15 +9.65 +4.06%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….250.00 +10.65 +4.45%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (1£/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4104 +98 +2.45%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….666.25 +7.00 +1.06%
SoybeanOil…72.20 +0.76 +1.06%
Wheat………813.00 +3.00 +0.37%

Wood pulp…6580.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 23/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Semua closing ijo kemaren kecuali singapore, semoga lanjut ijo lagi hari ini…

Metal2 rebound, kecuali nikel yang kemaren udah naik tinggi sekarang giliran koreksi dulu. Oil lanjut drop, semoga industri petrokimia jalan. Gas naik tinggi banget, PGAS belum sempet entry… Coal Newcastle Future price tipis, Rotterdam Price Naik tinggi untuk harga desember-januari. Harusnya tetep positif buat emiten batubara. CPO lanjut naik, kita tunggu buy signal saham2 CPO

IHSG – 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, MFI up, stoch up macd sw 833 sell, masih sideways, tapi bank sudah pada mulai gerak, harusnya bentar lagi mulai jalan, masih jadwal wave 3, masih panjang harusnya bisa santa claus rally

Energy Financials Infrastructures Property

Stoch Buy Signal: TLKM MAPI SMRA TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: INDY ITMG DOID

TLKM – ada gap diatas, di 4100 an. Stoch buy macd masih down, mfi down, bandar buang foreign buang, wave 2 kalo geraknya mini ABC udah level ok buat mantul, LR belum mentok bawah, masih belum sih, WNS… Tapi pantau ini, sekornya mulai jalan, windress coming, tinggal tunggu momentum aja

MAPI – udah naik tinggi banget tanpa koreksi signifikan, level target wave 3 udah tercapai, udah ada bearish divergence, ga berani entry sekarang sih, walau stoch buy macd hampir, MFI nya sideways, FF keluar masuk, bd seminggu terakhir hampir selalu akum

Udah kejauhan sih, bisa tau2 dibanting wave 4, profit taking yang udah buy dibawah

SMRA – tweezer bottom 4 hari terus mantul, pas flat ada freq spike, stoch balik buy, 833 buy, macd up, FNB 2 hari, bandar akum tipis, regbull div confirmed by macd and ma10. Sektor jalan, berani spec buy ini SMRA

TAPG – ini kayanya mau diangkat, 2 hari terakhir freq spike, padahal gravestone doji, ga kemana mana harganya. Stoch buy macd belum, FF masih dist udah 2 mingguan, bandar baru balik akum 4 hari, ini kayanya yang bikin freq spike. retracment pattern abis fibo 50 turun ke 23 naik 38 turun lagi 23, mungkin sekarang waktunya diangkat ke 61. WNS tunggu breakout deh

Significant banget spike nya…

INDY – stoch up macd buy, coal price up, MFI up, seminggu terakhir BD sama FF banyakan akum daripada dist, itungan minor ABC correction done, siap wave 5, LR mantul. BUY

ITMG – kalo gap diabaikan, udah cakep banget ini ITMG, stoch buy macd buy FF bandar akum, MFI flat tapi agak aneh, belum di repaint EW nya, masih coba dianggap dinamika mave 3, harusnya rada panjang rally nya

DOID – rada telat gerak ini, coal lain udah jalan DOID belum. stoch up, 833 sell MACD Buy, FF akum terus tapi tipis, BD masih belum big entry, tapi semoga emang cuma karena belum beres mau akum sebelum naik harganya. Saya pribadi skip karena udah pegang ADRO sama PTBA, berani spec buy…