Daily Analysis 20221111

November 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow pops 1,200 points, S&P 500 jumps 5% in biggest rally in two years after light inflation report

Stocks mounted their biggest rally since 2020 after October’s reading of consumer prices raised investor hopes that inflation has peaked.

October’s consumer price index rose just 0.4% for the month and 7.7% from a year ago, its lowest annual increase since January and a slowdown from the 8.2% annual pace in the prior month. Economists were expecting increases of 0.6% and 7.9%, according to Dow Jones. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, so-called core CPI increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis, also less than expected.

*Dow…….33715 +1201.4 +3.70%‼️*
*Nasdaq.11114 +760.97 +7.36%‼️*
*S&P 500..3956 +207.8 +5.54%‼️*

FTSE…….7375 +79.1 +1.08%
*Dax……..14146 +479.8 +3.51%*
CAC……..6557 +126.3 +1.96%

Nikkei….27446 -270.7 -0.98%
HSI……..16081 -277.5 -1.70%
Shanghai..3036 -12.03 -0.39%
ST Times..3173 +7.7 +0.24%

IDX…….6966.84 -103.25 -1.46%
LQ45…..991.65 -17.55 -1.74%

IDX Energy..1975.43 -36.92 -1.97%
IDX Bsc Mat.1285.93 -13.20 -1.02%
IDX Industrl..1234.76 -24.46 -1.94%
IDXNONCYC..724.48 -9.40 -1.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1494.43 -2.36 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.85 -6.72 -0.76%
IDX Techno..6651.73 -115.19 -1.70%
IDX Transp…1810.62 -42.59 -2.30%
IDX Infrast……917.05 -6.87 -0.74%
IDX Finance 1467.50 -15.71 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1172.75 -15.78 -1.33%
IDX Property….692 -4.00 -0.58%

*Indo10Yr….7.4940 -0.0226 -0.30%‼️*
*ICBI……..333.8463 +0.4951 +0.15%‼️*
*US10Yr..3.8290 -0.3220 -7.76%‼️👍*
*VIX……23.53 -2.56 -9.81%👍*

*USDIndx107.8990 -2.5390 -2.30%‼️👍*
Como Indx..282.12 +2.34 +0.84%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……157.16 +3.10 +2.01%*
.
*IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15693.50 +36.50 +0.23%‼️*
*Jisdor..15701.00 +47 +0.30%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0202 +0.0191 +1.91%👍*

TLKM……..26.82 +0.48 +1.82%
*(4123)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….37.15 +1.30 +3.63%*

Oil…………86.47 +0.64 +0.75%
*Gold ……1753.70 +40.00 +2.37%‼️*
Timah…..19817 +158.00 +0.80%
*(Closed 09/11)*
*Nickel…26157.00 +1427.00 +5.77%‼️*
*(Closed 10/11)*
Silver………21.70 +0.38 +1.76%
Copper…..375.80 +5.80 +1.57%

*Nturl Gas…..6.151 +0.198 +3.33%*

Ammonia..4363.33 +16.66 +0.37
*China*
(Domestic Price)(11/11)

Coal price….324.25 +1.50 +0.46%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….289.40 -10.75 -3.58%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….287.85 -9.4(0 -3.16%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….190.65 +1.85 +0.98%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….187.40 +8.60 +4.81%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….188.45 +8.95 +4.99%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (09/11)

CPO(Jan)……4196 -16 -0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.25 -11.25 -1.69%
SoybeanOil…76.09 +0.55 +0.73%
Wheat………803.50 -3.00 -0.37%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Wuih Nasdaq rebound kenceng banget… US europer ijo tebel, asia masih ikut sentimen hari sebelumnya, masih pada merah kemaren, hari ini harusnya ikut menghijau

Oil Coal Gas rebound dikit, semoga DCB nya cukup buat exit dulu sambil nunggu beneran mantul. Metal2an naik lagi semua, good for basic materials, ANTM INCO MDKA dkk. CPO masih lesu

Udah cukup koreksinya, antara fibo 38 sama 50, udah lanjut rally deh ya IHSG…

IHSG – dari stochastic belum firmmantul, masih flat, MFI masih down, FNS, bandar flat, DMI down, LR bisa kemana aja. Itungan fib retracement udah cukup koreksinya tapi untuk ke atas lagi

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: TPIA UNVR SCMA

TPIA – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, LR up, DMI start contraction, hid bull div, 2 hari bandar akum, FF tipis, MFI masih down, udah berani BOW sih, setengah dulu, stoploss jelas di previous low, vol breakout nambah

UNVR – menarik banget, sesuai retracement pattern,dari bawah ke fibo 38,sekarng di fibo 23, siap lanjut jalan. Stoch buy, macd belum, bd ff belum, MFI masih down,kita liat lagi pas MACD nya buy deh

SCMA – udah kejauhan larinya, bukan saatnya entry sekarang…