Daily Analysis 20221107

November 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points higher, but snaps four-week win streak on rising rate fears

Stocks rallied on Friday, but finished the week lower, as investors drew conflicting conclusions about what the latest payroll numbers mean for future Federal Reserve rate hikes

Dow…….32403 +401.97 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10475 +132.3 +1.28%
S&P 500..3771 +50.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7335 +146.2 +2.03%
Dax……..13460 +329.7 +2.51%
CAC……..6416 +173.2 +2.77%

Nikkei….27200 -463.7 -1.68%
HSI……..16161 +821.7 +5.36%‼️
Shanghai..3071 +72.99 +2.43%
ST Times..3130 +27.6 +0.89%

IDX…….7045.53 +10.95 +0.16%
LQ45…..1005.98 +4.68 +0.47%

IDX Energy..2028.15 -5.98 -0.29%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.29 +21.25 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1244.36 -4.03 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC..728.97 +0.82 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1487.04 -3.07 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.97 -1.59 -0.18%
IDX Techno..6646.06 -27.05 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1853.71 +21.94 +1.20%
IDX Infrast……921.06 -7.36 -0.79%
IDX Finance 1474.82 -11.31 -0.76%
IDX Banking.1182.68 -5.3 5 -0.45%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.150 +0.0320 +0.78%
VIX……….24.55 -0.75 -2.96%

USDIndx 110.8770 -2.101 -1.86%👍
Como Indx..287.55 +9.23 +3.32%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……153.40 +8.13 +5.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..133.81 -10.90 -7.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15737.50 +42.50 +0.27%‼️
Jisdor..15736.00 +55 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9957 +0.02090 +2.14%

TLKM……..26.83 +0.76 +2.92%
(4222)
EIDO………23.70 +0.55 +2.38%
EEM……….36.20 +1.47 +4.23%‼️

Oil…………92.61 +4.44 +5.04%‼️
Gold ……1676.60 +45.70 +2.80%
Timah…..18872 +1110.00 +6.25%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…22782.00 +1010.00 +4.43%‼️
(Closed 04/11)
Silver………20.78 +1.35 +6.97%‼️
Copper….368.75 +25.95 +7.57%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.459 +0.262 +4.22%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +53.33 +1.30%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….349.50 -1.50 -0.43%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.00 -4.00 -1.13%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….345.75 -4.30 -2.26%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….216.00 -5.00 -2.26%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….216.00 -7.00 -3.14%
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….215.50 -6.55 -2.95%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4365 -29 -0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.00 +1.75 +0.26%
SoybeanOil…77.17 +1.88 +2.50%
Wheat………847.75 +7.25 +0.86%

Wood pulp…6710.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 06/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali nikkei, ayo lanjut rally ISHG… Kita check infobank15 later buat konfirmasi

Semua metal naik tinggi, alias USD nya turun, Oil Gas Naik tinggi, coal masih turun, CPO masih belum firm balik trend jadi bullish. Ini romongan MDKA ANTM INCO TINS harusnya lannjut panen… Saham oil sama gas harusnya naik, tapi sektor energy masih meragukan

IHSG – Stochastic masih down, belum lama sell, MACD masih up, 833 keliatannya mau rev up, MFI masih UP, RSI flat, bandar akum, FF NFS tipis, masih dalam rangka wave 3, LR masih ok, PSAR masih up, DMI down. Masih belum langsung bisa rally kalo secara teknikal, minimal perlu 2-3 bar lagi buat ngebalikin stoch 833 jadi buy

 

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Technology, Transportation

Infobank15 – masih belum mau jalan, berarti IHSG juga belum akan lanjut dulu, masih minor correction atau sideways dulu

Belum ada stochastic buy signal baru…

Belum ada MACD buy signal baru juga

Kita cari saham uptrend yang ada buy di 833 –> hopefully continuation signal ANTM MDKA AKRA TAPG

ANTM – harusnya otw fibo 61. Stoch up, 833 buy, MACD up, MFI RSI up, FNS 2 hari, bandar mulai akum abis buang 2 minggu. Jum’at closing gold price naik tinggi, pagi ini running sempet merah sekarang ijo tipis. bisa BOW di tengah candle jum’at plus 1 tick

ANTM masuk Basic Materials, ok confirmed sektor juga dukung

Basic Materials – ok semua cuma stochastic mulai overbought

MDKA – almost all good, cuma stoch 1066 nya belum ngebalik ke buy lagi… tapi kalo hari ini closing ijo kayanya firm turnaround. MDKA bisa BOW di tengah candle jum’at juga plus 1 tick

AKRA – long bullish sejak juli, stoch up 833 kemaren sell terus balik buy, macd up, 2 hari FNS, bandar masih acc, target wave 3 udah deket, idealnya kita entry di ujung wave 4. WNS deh, dengan resiko ditinggal

TAPG – kebun sawit sama karet… ada hidden bullish divergence di stoch 833, dan 833 nya buy, macd rev down, LR bisa kemana aja, foreign entry terus, bandar seminggu dist, consumer non-cyclicals bentar kita check, kayanya belum jalan lagi. CPO turun, WNS dulu lah

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – ga ok, nanti dulu deh