Daily Analysis 20221103

November 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower, Nasdaq sheds 3% as Fed Chair Powell signals intent to continue hiking rates

Stocks tumbled Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was still too high and indicated that the central bank has more rate hiking ahead.

Dow…….32148 -505.4 -1.55%
*Nasdaq.10525 -366.1 -3.36%*
*S&P 500..3760 -96.4 -2.50%*

FTSE…….7144 -42.02 -0.58%
Dax……..13257 -82.0 -0.61%
CAC……..6277 -51.4 .-0.81%

Nikkei….27663 -15.5 -0.06%
*HSI……..15827 +371.9 +2.41%*
Shanghai..3003 +34.2 +1.15%
ST Times..3141 +10.6 +0.34%

IDX…….7015.69 -36.61 -0.52%
LQ45……999.10 -8.27 -0.82%

IDX Energy..2013.19 +5.08 +0.25%
IDX Bsc Mat.1282.84 +10.97 +0.86%
IDX Industrl..1241.37 -17.44 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..729.37 -2.75 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1492.59 -4.47 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.64 +8.39 +0.96%
IDX Techno..6602.79 +119.63 +1.85%
IDX Transp…1815.90 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……931.74 -3.90 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.89 -8.35 -0.56%
IDX Banking.1180.08 -14.48 -1.21%
IDX Property….692 -0.80 -0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0590 +0.0070 +0.17%*
*VIX……….25.86 +0.05 +0.19%👍*

*USDIndx 112.1010 +0.571 +0.51%*
Como Indx..280.66 +4.32 +1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……147.96 +0.92 +0.63%
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15646.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15652.00 +5 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9824 -0.0052 -0.53%*

*TLKM……..26.54 -1.33 -4.77%‼️*
*(4154)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.45 -1.91%
EEM……….34.53 -0.29 -0.83%

*Oil…………89.35 +2.82 +3.26%‼️*
Gold ……1638.70 -10.00 -0.61%
*Timah…..17970 +339.00 +1.92%*
*(Closed 01/1+)*
*Nickel…24010.00 +566.00 +2.41%‼️*
*(Closed 02/11)*
Silver………19.23 -0.44 -2.24%
Copper….344.10 -3.15 -0.91%

*Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….361.00 +2.00 +0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.50 +1.50 +0.42%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.75 +1.70 +0.47%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….229.50 +4.40 +1.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….232.50 +5.10 +2.25%*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….231.10 +4.95 +2.19%*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (01/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….687.50 -10.25 -1.47%
*SoybeanOil…75.61 +2.24 +3.05%‼️*
*Wheat………846.00 -56.50 -6.26%‼️*

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 02/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut koreksi, europe ngikut, Hangseng masih rebound kenceng, asia yang merah cuma IHSG sama nikkei yang turun tipis

Timah Nikel naik tinggi, gold silver copper masih lanjut turun, Oil Gas rebound tinggi, Coal naik dikit. ANTM INCO TINS ELSA AKRA MEDC PGAS wajib dicermati

CPO naik tinggi lagi, AALI LSIP juga harus diliat

IHSG – kalau ditarik fibonacci retracement dari high 2 hari lalu, ret 38 nya sudah, ret 50 nya mungkin yang dikejar hari ini kalo masih merah ikut market US.

IHSG – stoch masih bilang koreksi, kita tungu 833 nya buy lagi… MACD masih up, MFI juga masih up, semoga hari ini atau besok mulai mantul

Terakhir2 RSI relative strength ga bisa dipake sorting awal, kita langsung ke technical indicators sorting aja, baru dikonfirmasi apakah sektornya juga lagi jalan untuk menentukan full lot apa nggak masuknya

Kalo ada buy signal dan cacing RSI nya sejalan baru full lot

Stoch Buy Signal: AKRA LPPF

MACD buy signal: GOTO HEAL

Oversold Stoch 1066: ADHI

AKRA – stoch 1066 buy lagi, MACD signal buy kemarinnya, 2 hari BD FF acc, tapi MFI turun, RSI nya flat. Bearish divergence belum confirmed, bisa cancelled kalo price naik lagi, LR bisa keatas bisa ke bawah

Bukan momentum buy sih AKRA udah agak telat

LPPF – yang ini nggak ok, koreksi ke fibo 23 dulu kayanya

HEAL – kemaren breakout neckline CNH sebelumnya, MACD buy, alligator buy, BD FF acc, berani spec buy, tapi sektornya ga ok jadi setengah aja ya