Daily Analysis 20221031

Global update:

October 31st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 800 points higher on Friday, registers fourth straight week of gains

Stocks rose on Friday despite a tumble in Amazon shares after economic data pointed to slowing inflation and a steady consumer.

Dow…….32862  +828.5   +2.59%
Nasdaq.11103   +309.8   +2.87%
S&P 500..3901   +93.8     +2.46%

FTSE…….7048   -26.02       -0.37%
Dax……..13243  +32.1        +0.24%
CAC……..6273   +29.02      +0.46%

Nikkei….27105   -240.04  -0.88%
HSI……..14863   -564.9     -3.66%
Shanghai..2916  -66.98    -2.25%
ST Times..3059  +43.95  +1.46%

IDX…….7056.04   -35.72   -0.50%
LQ45…1009.70    -3.08      -0.30%

IDX Energy..2025.59    -18.66  -0.91%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.53   -7.92   -0.63%
IDX Industrl..1285.56   -12.86 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..736.96    -9.60   -1.26%
IDX Hlthcare.1513.43  +1.89   +0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..864.38   -4.22     -0.49%
IDX Techno..6495.62  -142.46  -2.15%
IDX Transp…1810.64   +18.55  +1.03%
IDX Infrast……933.40   -2.89      -0.31%
IDX Finance 1488.65   -12.53    -0.83%
IDX Banking.1187.32   -2.99      -0.25%
IDX Property….691       -1.0         -0.14%

Indo10Yr….7.5899    -0.0177   -0.23%
ICBI……..331.1281   +0.4050  +0.12%
US10Yr……4.0100  +0.0730 +1.85%‼
VIX……….25.75       -1.64       -5.99%👍

USDIndx 110.7520  +0.1800  +0.16%
Como Indx..272.62   -4.19   -1.51%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……144.48   -4.09   -2.75%
.
IndoCDS..133.59  -11.23  -7.86%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15554.00   -13.00     -0.08%‼
Jisdor..15542.00   -31          -0.20%‼

Euro……..0.9965  -0.0003  -0.03%

TLKM……..28.13   +0.13   +0.46%
(4372)
EIDO………23.74    +0.13   +0.55%
EEM……….34.29    -0.21     -0.61%

Oil…………87.90     -0.18    -0.20%
Gold ……1644.80  -21.90    -1.31%
Timah…..18101     -589.00   -3.15%‼
(Closed 28/10)
Nickel…22084.00  -209.50  -0.94%
(Closed 28/10)
Silver………19.15   -0.42     -2.14%
Copper….352.45   -9.55     -2.70%

Nturl Gas…..5.800   -0.055  -0.94%

Ammonia..4113.33  unch   +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/10)

Coal price….374.00   +1.65   +0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.05   +1.70   +0.46%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.90    +2.55  +0.69%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….239.95    +0.45   +0.19%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….237.75    -0.25    -0.11%
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..236.75  +0.60   +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.65   -0.80   -0.87%
Indonesial Coal Index (28/10)

CPO(Jan)……3987   -164    -3.95%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….680.75  -1.50   -0.22%
SoybeanOil…71.79   -0.51    -0.71%
Wheat………829.25   -9.25    -1.10%

Wood pulp…6802.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 30/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

US ijo tebel… EU mostly ijo, Hangseng masih kebakaran, asia mostly merah kecuali Singapore. Hari ini ijo ah 😇

Metal turun semua, oil gas juga turun, coal naik dikit, cpo masih drop lagi. Energy masih meragukan ini, nanti kita liat chart detailnya

IHSG – Stochastic mulai overbought, 833 sudah mentok, bisa dibawa sideways, bisa koreksi minor dulu ini index. MACD masih firm sih, kayanya gantian dulu sektor diluar financials yang jalan, sambil financials nya koreksi dulu, baru lanjut lagi

IHSG – inside cloud, semoga breakout keatas sesuai perkiraan, banda rmasih flat, FF last day akum, sebelumnya tipis2, MFI sw, supposedly masih wave 3, LR belum tembus midline, masih ok tapi harusnya cuma sw dulu, DMI bolak balik. Optimis rally akhir tahun, insyaAllah

Masih cuma Financials sama Technology, masalahnya, financials udah jenuh dan technology saham sahamnya gerakannya liar banget, hmm…

Financials – Masih jadwal minor correction, 833 nya buy baru kayanya nerusin wave 3. MACD masih firm, FF last day akum, bandar dist, MFI sw, LR tembus midline kebawah, masih belum rally lagi, semoga langsung gantian sektor lan jagain index biar ga kompak koreksi semua

Masih belum ada buy signal baru…

BTPS menarik FNB dan BD akum

BTPS – yang belum masuk di banks, BTPS menarik, relatively ketinggalan gerak, 2 candle terakhir BD akum dan FNB, pertama breakout vol dan fibo 23, candle terakhir koreksi sampe dikit diatas fibo 23. Bisa BOW di level fibo 23, besar kemungkinan bikin higher low di area itu.

Technology – MACD buy, stoch up, 833 up rev, FF 2 minggu acc last day FNS., bd dist, MFI sw, berasa jebakan ini technology… EW reverse seems done, LR masih ok, DMI belum jadi buy. Check detail emiten sih, di sektornya ga sreg tapi

Ga ada yang bisa di highlight…

Stoch ga ada buy signal, MACD cuma PTRO

PTRO – Stoch buy, MACD buy, 833 still up, bd akum tipis tap terus, FF belum masuk lagi, masih diem, MFI sw, ABC correction seems done, disusul wave 1, sekarang sepertinya dalam rangka wave 2 mau ke wave 3. LR ok, DMI belum. Spec buy setengah, setengah lagi nunggu vol breakout