Daily Analysis 20221024

October 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 700 points on Friday as Wall Street clinches its best week since June

Stocks climbed on Friday as Wall Street closed a volatile week on a high note despite some disappointing earnings reports.

Dow…….31082 +748.97 +2.47%
Nasdaq.10860 +244.9 +2.31%
S&P 500..3753 +86.97 +2.37%
FTSE…….6970 +25.8 +0.37%
Dax……..12731 -36.5 -0.29%
CAC……..6036 -51.5 -0.85%

Nikkei….26891 -116.4 -0.43%
HSI……..16211 -69.1 -0.42%
Shanghai..3039 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7017.77 +37.12 +0.53%
LQ45…1000.36 +6.68 +0.67%

IDX Energy..2017.02 +3.16 +0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.35 -11.23 -0.89%
IDX Industrl..1263.15 +5.85 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..732.55 -4.20 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.13 +7.21 +0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.63 +7.18 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6474.00 -65.56 -0.99%
IDX Transp…1778.18 +12.11 +0.69%
IDX Infrast……944.15 +12.28 +1.32%
IDX Finance 1490.55 +22.43 +1.53%
IDX Banking.1177.85 +20.15 +1.74%
IDX Property…….681 -3.50 -0.51%

Indo10Yr….7.5580 +0.0697 +0.93%
ICBI……..330.5773 -1.3607 -0.41%
*US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️*
*VIX……….29.69 -0.29 -0.97%*

*USDIndx 112.0120 -0.8380 -0.74%👍*
Como Indx..272.36 +0.64 +0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.84 +0.14 +0.10%
.
*IndoCDS 165.84 +5.84 +3.65%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15631.50 +60.00 +0.39%‼️*
*Jisdor..15610.00 +31 +0.20%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9862 +0.0077 +0.79%‼️*

TLKM……..27.70 +0.18 +0.65%
*(4338)*
EIDO………23.64 +0.38 +1.63%
EEM………35.27 +0.53 +1.53%

Oil…………85.05 -0.93 -1.08%
*Gold ……1656.30 +23.80 +1.46%*
*Timah….18484 -864 -4.47%‼️*
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22185.00 -10.50 -0.05%(
*(Closed 21/10)*
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

*Nturl Gas…..5.472 +0.155 +2.92%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 -16.67 -0.40%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 -1.95 -0.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….389.95 -6.20 -1.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 -7.05 -0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….256.40 -2.10 -0.81%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..255.55 -1.75 -0.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 +1.15 +1.22%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 unch +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.25 +0.25 +0.04%
SoybeanOil…71.50 +1.08 +1.53%
Wheat………850.75 +1.50 +0.18%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, bagus buat rally wave 3 IHSG. eropa dan asia closing jum’at kebanyakan merah

Gold SIlver Copper naik –> kalo logam2 mulia-an naik semua berarti sebenernya dollar yang turun… timah nikel turun, padahal ANTM INCO udah buy signal, bisa ganggu ini… Oil turun, Gas rebound abis turun gede, coal turun. Masih meragukan run sektor energy ini…

IHSG – tadinya diharapkan cukup bikin 3 white soldiers untuk konfirmasi reversal, malah rally 5 hari ijo berturut2… Suka iseng ini nanti bandar, kalo long run kepanjangan, pas orang entry dia turunin dulu, hihihi… Udah firm nongol MACD buy signal

IHSG – stoch buy,macd buy, MFI up, lastday FNB, Bandar akum, close diatas SMA 20, LR up, DMI dikit lagi buy, firm wave 3

Infobank – Nyaris persis IHSG, bedanya, firm breakout neckline IHNS sebelumnya. Big caps banyak bank, kalo Infobank15 rally, ihsg juga rally. Firm wave 3

Koq membingungkan, IHSG naik tapi sektor yang kemaren pada naik sekarang cacing RSI nya melemah…

Cuma Customer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus, padahal udah diujung, biasanya mau melemah

Financials mulai bangun, sudah seharusnya kalo index mau lari

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – stoch up, macd up, mfi up, ali up, st up, bd fflastday dist, breakout level wave B, berarti firm udah selesai koreksinya, ABC corection nya flat style.Triangle Breakout up, masih belum selesai target triangle breakoutnya sih

Banyak banget FNB dan Bandar accum, ICBP perfect ini…

ICBP – udah rada banyak geraknya, tapi kalo bener ini wave 3, masih banyak harusnya sisanya, tapi kalo liat LR dan stochastic, mungkin akan koreksi minor dulu, liat stoch 833 nya sih, kalo masih firm yang lain dan 833 koreksi dulu terus buy signal lagi, ikut buy. Watchlist dulu

INDF – harusnya ini lebih menarik, karena pas ICBP udah jalan jauh INDF malah belum, padahal mother company nya ini. Ada 2 gap juga di atas. Stoch up belum overbought, 833 lagi mau koreksi, kita entry pas 833 buy lagi. MACD masih firm, MFI up, BD udah balik akum, ff juga tapi masih tipis kecuali 2 hari lalu akum besar. Lagi deket2 MA50, mau ganti trend kalo kata pemain MA. DMI udah buy

Financials – all good kecuali stoch yang udah overbought, tapi biasa lah kalo lari stoch suka menari2 di atas… MACD up MFI up bd acc FF last day acc, st buy, firm wave 3 LR mantul DMI almost buy, lanjut lah…

BBCA BBNI BFIN BTPS

BBCA – MACD buy stoch up, ali buy ST up, MFI down, bd acc ff flat, wave 2, LR cross midline, DMI buy. Yang ok beli bank konven bisa buy BBCA

BBNI – stoch up macd buy,wave 3 lanjut, lr cross midline, ali buy st buy, DMI buy. Bisa buy juga BBNI

BFIN – dari sisi harga lebih menarik beli BFIN dibanding BBCA, belum banyak gerak, tapi ada di dalam sektor yang harus gerak kalo IHSG mau naik… Stoch buy MACD buy, reg Bull div MACD, confirmed by MA10 2 green candles and MACD buy signal. mantul dari lower channel LR, DMI contraction, belum buy, ada di area fibo 23, bisa bow,kalo gagal breakout fibo 23 ke atas, buang dulu

BTPS – yang jeleknya, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi… padahal stch buy macd up mfi up.Memang belum firm retracement pattern karena belum tembus fibo 23, tapi bank di jaman IHSG naik harusnya naik juga. WNS dulu deh tunggu vol breakout

Stoch Buy Signal, ADRO ITMG, check dulu Energy nya deh. BRPT ISAT SCMA GJTL

MACD Buy Signal, ASII EMTK MDKA BSDE