Daily Analysis 20221017

Global Update:

October 17th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower to end a wild week of trading

Stocks slumped Friday, capping off a volatile week of trading, a day after posting a historic turnaround rally as investors digested inflation expectations.

Dow…….29635 -403.9 -1.34%
Nasdaq.10321 -327.8 -3.08%
S&P 500..3584 -86.8 -2.37%

FTSE…….6859 +8.5 +0.12%
Dax……..12437 +82.2 +0.67%
CAC……..5931 +52.7 +0.90%

Nikkei….27091 +853.3 +3.25%
HSI……..16588 +198.6 +1.21%
Shanghai..3072 +55.5 +1.84%
ST Times..3040 -0.8 -0.03%

IDX…….6814.53 -66.10 -0.96%
LQ45…..966.74 -11.74 -1.20%

IDX Energy…1984.65 -21.76 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1217.26 -6.93 -0.57%
IDX Industrl..1263.08 +11.19 +0.89%
IDXNONCYC..698.26 -2.28 -0.33%
IDX Hlthcare.1438.41 -14.48 -1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..841.47 -3.26 -0.39%
IDX Techno..6476.44 -136.10 -2.06%
IDX Transp…1787.38 -4.44 -0.25%
IDX Infrast……927.67 -11.32 -1.21%
IDX Finance 1430.92 -13.80 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1101.76 -20.76 -1.85%
IDX Property…….680 +0.4 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.3876 -0.0062 -0.08%
ICBI……..333.5271 -0.1858 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0100 +0.0580 +1.47%‼
VIX……….32.02 +0.08 +0.25%

USDIndx 113.3110 +0.9480 +0.84%‼
Como Indx..276.69 -5.80 -5.80%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.53 -1.69 -1.14%
.
IndoCDS 166.64 -2.13 +1.26%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15427.50 +65.50 +0.43%‼
Jisdor..15390.00 +33.00 +0.21%‼

Euro……..0.9722 -0.005 -0.51%‼

TLKM……..27.43 -0.33 -1.19%
(4221)
EIDO………22.56 -0.52 -2.25%
EEM………34.21 -0.52 -1.50%

Oil…………85.61 -3.50 -3.93%
Gold ……1648.90 -23.00 -1.38%
Timah…19930 -170 -0.85%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21835.00 -523.00 -2.34%
(Closed 14/10)
Silver…….18.07 -0.77 -4.09%
Copper….342.36 -3.79 +1.09%

Nturl Gas…..6.476 -0.215 -3.21%

Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/10)

Coal price….392.50 -1.00 -0.25%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.50 +2.50 +0.63%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 +3.00 +0.76%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….272.50 +1.50 +0.55%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….264.00 +7.00 +2.72%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….263.50 +6.50 +2.53%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)

CPO(Des)……3834 +171 +4.67%‼

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….689.75 -8.00 -1.15%
SoybeanOil….65.30 -1.13 -1.70%
Wheat……..859.75 -32.50 -3.64%‼

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 16/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US drop dalem lagi, europe closing masih pada ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG sama Singapore. Commodity hampis semua merah kecuali copper, dan CPO yang naik tinggi

Masih diperkirakan lanjut koreksi sampe tutup gap 6740. CPO naik tinggi semoga mulai gerakin AALI sama LSIP yang udah terjun terus

IHSG – hampir semua indicator bilang turun, cuma LR yang bilang udah di area siap buy. Ke level tutup gap tinggal 1,15% lagi, kekejar hari ini, kita siap2 belanja begitu sudah firm ketutup, tapi tentunya mastiin dulu bahwa saham yang dibeli memang udah firm mantul

Ini harga pada turun tapi chart RSI quadrant nya bilang banyak sektor siap jalan… Energy, Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials, Property

Energy – indicators masih bilang turun dulu, kita tunggu IHSG tutup gap baru review lagi

Belum ada buy signal baru, tapi banyak akumulasi bandar…

Consumer Cyclicals – Masih belum waktunya jalan, masih jelek semua indicatornya

Banyak oversold, belum ada buy signal kecuali MAPI minggu kemaren

Basic Materials – Dari level harganya sudah layak mantul wave 3, dari indicator2 belum ok

AGII INCO buy signal

AGII – stoch buy karena 3 hari sebeumnya naik, jum’at dibanting, indic lain belum ok, cuma level koreksi udah wajar rebound lagi. Masih WNS

INCO – indicators masih sideways bolak balik, tapi bandar dan Foreign entry terus ini… Keliatannya tinggal nunggu diangkat, tapi bukan hari ini, harga nikelnya turun, WNS, pantau ketat, kayanya ada momentum news atau nickel naik lagi setelah IHSG tutup gap, INCO diterbangin

Industrials – belum, sudah ada yang pada naik tapi overall sektornya belum ok buat jalan, WNS…

UNTR stoch buy, FNB, big akum, ada freq spike

UNTR – Stoch Buy, MACD dikit lagi, bandar udah seminggu akum, ff juga, keliatan sudah jalan wave 5, LR belum mentok bawah udah mantul, bebas aja sih, DMI hampir buy, vol breakout, freq spike tapi ga tinggi2 amat. BIsa diperhatikan untuk BOW, idealnya hari ini kalo index drop tutup gap dan UNTR keseret kebawah, buy di bawah, tengah candle kemaren

Property – belum ini mah, cacing RSI nya kurang pas nih… heu