Daily Analysis 20220930

Global Update:

September 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks crater as Apple leads losses in broad market sell-off

U.S. stocks cascaded Thursday — with Apple leading the way down — as renewed recession jitters permeated Wall Street and wiped gains from a fleeting relief bounce in the previous session.

Dow…….29226 -458.1 -1.54%
Nasdaq.10738 -314.1 -2.84%
S&P 500..3641 -78.8 -2.11%

FTSE…….6882 -123.8 -1.77%
Dax……..11976 -207.7 -1.71%
CAC……..5677 -88.1 -1.53%

Nikkei….26422 +248.1 +0.95%
HSI……..17166 -85.01 -0.49%
Shanghai..3045 -48.8 -1.58%
ST Times..3115 -1.2 -0.04%

IDX…….7036.20 -40.83 -0.58%
LQ45…1009.03 -4.47 -0.44%

IDX Energy…1907.88 +2.74 +0.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.34 -7.59 -0.61%
IDX Industrl..1280.10 -18.02 -1.39%
IDXNONCYC..698.39 -3.62 -0.52%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.36 +13.51 +0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.13 -3.93 -0.46%
IDX Techno..7046.09 -139.79 -1.95%
IDX Transp…1783.60 -29.09 -1.60%
IDX Infrast…….991.58 -8.00 -0.80%
IDX Finance 1481.03 -15.07 -1.01%
IDX Banking..1151.55 -9.60 -0.83%
IDX Property….696 -6.90 -0.98%

Indo10Yr….7.4039 -0.0064 -0.09%
ICBI……..332.0542 +0.2797 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.7470 +0.0420 +1.13%
VIX……….31.84 +1.66 +5.50%‼️

USDIndx 112.2540 -0.3500 -0.31%‼️
Como Indx..271.16 -0.66 -0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.43 +3.67 +2.59%
.
IndoCDS 167.34 +1.89 +1.14%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15262.50 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15247.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9831 +0.0107 +1.10%‼️

TLKM……..28.85 -0.70 -2.37%
(4400)
EIDO……..23.45 -0.42 -1.76%
EEM……….35.01 -0.80 -2.23%

Oil…………..81.66 -0.15 -0.18%
Gold ……1670.80 +3.50 +0.21%
Timah. .20728.00 +48 +0.23%
( Closed 28/9)
Nickel…22468.50 +405.50 +1.84%
(Closed 28/9)
Silver…….18.82 -0.36 -1.91%
Copper….343.45 +5.40 +1.60%

Nturl Gas…..6.881 -0.136 -1.94%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/9)

Coal price….435.75 -0.25 -0.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.25 -10.50 -2.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….417.15 -6.85 -1.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.15 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.90 +9.65 +3.16%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….311.90 +9.90 +3.28%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3343 +118 +3.66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………669.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…63.86 +1.71 +2.75%
Wheat………896.25 -7.00 -0.77%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -10.00 -0.14%
(Closed 29/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merahnya dalem. Europe juga, asia juga merah kecuali jepang. Sabar, masih jadwal koreksi wave 2,keep cash aja

Metal2 naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal turun, CPO naik

IHSG – target wave 2 fibo 50 di 6968, tapi ada gap di 6740, jadi sangat mungkin index tutup gap dulu baru rebound

Healthcare gerak lagi, Consumer Non-Cyclicals lanjut, Infrastructure, Basic Materials ada pergerakan

Healthcare – retracement pattern done, apakah balik ke bawah atau mau lanjut impulse wave? kita tunggu. Oscillators masih jelek, bandar dan foreign masih cuek, PSAR up

MIKA – Stoch down macd up,bandar big akum, FF akum, MFI flat, supposedly masih wave 3 dan target masih jauh diatas, LR mentok atas, mungkin akan koreksi, idealnya yang belum entry WNS aja, yang udah punya hold dan pasang trailing stop

HEAL – hampir semua ok, tapi bandar pas harga naik koq malah jualan ya… mencurigakan. Harusnya sih firm pattern CNH dan Wave 3. Udah breakout neckline dan titik wave 1

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – bahaya, breakout triangle ke bawah, koq di cacing RSI nya arahnya bagus ya? Aneh… Stoch Sell, MACD sell, bandar distribusi, ff dist, hmm… Ya sud tunggu wave 2 selesai aja baru belanja sambil check Consumer Non-Cyclicals posisinya gimana by then

Banyak banget yang big akum… CPIN malah buy signal MACD

CPIN – harusnya naik ini, mantul di fibo 23, LR lagi dibawah, Stoch masih up, tapi amannya tunggu ada vol breakout deh

Infrastructure – Tembus fibo 61, dan level wave 1, bisa jadi failed elliot wave nya. Liat closing hari ini… Indicator udah jelek semua

TBIG big akum, TOWR buy signal MACD

TBIG – masih hold, tunggu signal reversal atau jadi lanjut gerak ke atas… WNS

TOWR – Harusnya firm retracement pattern ke fibo 61 di 1335, macd nya udah arahnya pas, stoch nya up, bandar akum, tapi foreign dist, WNS dulu deh indexnya lagi pengen turun

Basic Materials – belum ok gagal breakout neckline IHNS malah nyungsep, bikin titik rendah wave 2 baru udah jebol fibo 61. WNS aja

Ga ada yang ok, stay away dulu