Daily Analysis 20220923

Global Update:

September 23th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount

Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline, as mounting fears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes will push the economy into a recession dented risk appetite for investors.

Dow…….30077 -107.1 -0.35%
Nasdaq.11067 -153.4 -1.37%
S&P 500..3758 -31.9 -0.84%

FTSE…….7160 -78.1 -1.08%
Dax……..12532 -235.5 -1.84%
CAC……..5919 -112.8 -1.87%

Nikkei….27154 -159.3 -0.58%
HSI……..18148 -296.7 -1.61%
Shanghai..3109 -8.3 -0.27%
ST Times..3263 +1.3 +0.04%

IDX…….7218.91 +30.59 +0.43%
LQ45…1032.65 +3.43 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2020.15 +43.58 +2.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.60 +16.79 +1.30%
IDX Industrl..1368.75 +15.23 +1.12%
IDXNONCYC..703.64 +2.49 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.79 -6.56 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.25 -3.25 -0.37%
IDX Techno..7438.12 -33.59 -0.45%
IDX Transp…1852.54 +10.07 +0.55%
IDX Infrast…..1018.79 +6.57 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1507.53 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1170.80 -1.88 -0.16%
IDX Property….720 +0.80 +0.11%

Indo10Yr….7.2763 +0.0130 +0.18%
ICBI……..335.2135 -0.4724 -0.14%
US10Yr……3.7080 +0.1980 +5.64%‼️
VIX……….27.35 -0.64 -2.29%

USDIndx 111.3530 +0.7110 +0.64%‼️
Como Indx..277.85 -0.38 -0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.75 +0.03 +0.02%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 -11.04 -8.98%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15022.00 +26.00 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor..15033.00 +22.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9837 -0.0124 -1.29%

TLKM……..29.30 +0.27 +0.93%
(4405)
EIDO………24.34 +0.12 +0.50%
EEM………36.89 -0.18 -0.49%

Oil…………..83.66 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold ……..1679.40 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah. .21170.00 -11 -0.05%
( Closed 21/9)
Nickel…24378.50 -448.50 -1.81%
(Closed 22/9)
Silver…….19.65 +0.12 +0.61%
Copper….346.50 +2.90 +0.84%

Nturl Gas…..7.204 -0.546 -7.05%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/9)

Coal price….435.65 -8.85 -1.99%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.65 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.9 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -0.40 -0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.00 -2.00 -0.68%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….293.00 -1.55 -0.53%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 -62 -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………688.15 +2.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil…66.46 +1.46 +2.25%
Wheat………910.75 +7.00 +0.77%

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren US merah IDX ijo, sekarang US merah lagi, IDX ikut merah kayanya… Yang lain pada kompak merah kecuali Indonesia sama Singapore

Komoditi hampir kebalikan kemaren, oil naik gold turun, nikel naik silver naik, gas turun coal turun. saham coal pullback dulu lah… naiknya nanti aja bareng wave 3 index, idealnya…

IHSG – all technical technical says down…

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare – selain foreign yang exit, semua ok sih

HEAL, udah buy signal dari kemarin di stochastic, sekarang MACD

HEAL – bandar dan foreign sudah mulai entry lagi, harusnya firm, technical ok semua, kalo breakout 1540 with volume tambah muatan

Rada ketinggian diatas average bandar, tapi technical firm ok lah

Consumer Cyclicals – belum sih masih sideways…

Belum ada lagi… Terakhir SCMA kemaren

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Itungan ABC correctionnya belum beres, tapi udah ada bullish divergence baru… MACD buy tapi sideways, Stoch abis buy terus sw juga, foreign masih inside. Belum ok sih, mungkin nanti dah rada turun indexnya lebih jauh baru mulai gerak

CPIN ICBP

CPIN – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, ada freq spike, bandar sama foreign masih flat, MFI up, retracement pattern mantul di fibo 23, bullish divergence confirmed by MA 10, LR nempel bawah channel siap mantul, berani spec buy, pantau ketat stoploss di breakdown support 5500. Masuk setengah botol dulu, nunggu resistance and volume breakout baru entry lagi.

Harga dibanding average harga broker aman…

ICBP – udah dua kali vol breakout, Stoch up macd up, MFI SW, bandar&foreign inside, EW impulse wave 3, harusnya ok banget.PSAR up LR mantul jalan test midline. BOW

 

ICBP sedikit lebih tinggi, karena sekarang lagi jadwal index merah ada bagusnya pasang buy dibawah atau sama dengan harga bandar, siapa tau kejemput…

ICBP PTBA ESSA

BBTN CPIN PRDA

ARTO BRPT HEAL SRTG

Financials skip dulu ah… Apalagi ARTO

 

PTBA – stoch down macd sw MFI down bandar dan foreign mulai akum lagi, ABC flat style correction bisa lah dianggap selesai, sektor energy nya lagi galau, lagi duduk di MA 50, ada gap diatas belum ketutup, ada regular dan hidden divergence juga sudah confirmed by MA 10 tapi nanti dulu deh…

Belum feel safe, BOW kalo drop lagi di bawah harga bandar baru confident

BRPT – biasanya tertib divergence dan nurut sama stochastic, tapi kalo kondisi index wave 2 gini ga berani sembarangan… LR nya belum firm, bandar dan foreign kemaren keluar terus, baru 2 hari akum lagi, sektor belum jalan lagi, MA dan alligator masih bilang downtrend, WNS deh

Dari harganya menarik… Tapi saya pribadi skip dulu sih, yang mau speculative buy mangga… DYOR ya… Inget cutloss kalau breakdown support di latest low kemaren, 800