Daily Analysis 20220922

Global update:

September 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower after the Fed delivers another aggressive rate hike

Stocks fell in volatile trading Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points and forecast more sizable rate hikes ahead in its fight to tame surging inflation.

Dow…….30184 -522.5 -1.70%
Nasdaq.11220 -204.9 -1.79%
S&P 500..3790 -66.00 -1.96%

FTSE…….7238 +44.98 +0.63%
Dax……..12767 +96.3 +0.76%
CAC……..6031 +51.9 +0.87%

Nikkei….27313 -375.3 -1.36%
HSI……..18445 -336.8 -1.79%
Shanghai..3118 -5.2 -0.17%
ST Times..3262 -5.2 -0.16%

IDX…….7188.31 -8.64 -0.12%
LQ45…1029.22 +1.01 +0.10%

IDX Energy..1976.56 -10.35 -0.52%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.81 -3.18 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1353.52 -3.20 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC..701.14 +1.20 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.35 +0.19 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.50 -3.03 -0.34%
IDX Techno..7471.71 +55.44 +0.75%
IDX Transp…1842.46 -6.32 -0.34%
IDX Infrast…..1012.22 -11.72 -1.14%
IDX Finance 1507.25 +1.24 +0.08%
IDX Banking..1172.67 +4.14 +0.27%
IDX Property….719 -10.70 -1.47%

Indo10Yr….7.2633 +0.0197 +0.27%
ICBI……..335.6860 -0.2699 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.5100 -0.0610 -1.71%‼
VIX……….27.99 +0.83 +3.06%

USDIndx 110.6420 +0.4270 +0.39%‼
Como Indx..278.23 -1.31 -0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.72: -1.54 -1.00%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14997.00 +13.50 +0.09%‼
Jisdor..15011.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.03 -0.46 -1.56%
(4358)
EIDO………24.22 -0.07 -0.29%
EEM………37.07 -0.63 -1.67%

Oil…………..83.02 -1.43 -1.69%
Gold ……..1679.60 +6.30 +0.38%
Timah. .21181.00 +236 +1.13%
( Closed 20/9)
Nickel…24827.00 -138.50 -0.55%
(Closed 21/9)
Silver…….19.53 +0.28 +1.45%
Copper….343.60 -6.35 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.750 +0.030 +0.39%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/9)

Coal price….444.50 +3.20 +0.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.00 +10.00 +2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.30 +11.30 +2.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….324.05 +0.40 +0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.00 -0.60 -0.21%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.55 -0.60 -0.20%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 +152 +4.07%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………685.50 -6.50 -0.94%
SoybeanOil…65.00 -0.91 -1.38%
Wheat………903.75 +10.00 +1.12%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop lagi abis pengumuman kenaikan suku bunga fed, europe ijo, asia merah, most likely lanjut merah hari ini…

Oil kemaren sore naik, closing market us turun lagi, metal2 varied, gold timah silver naik, nikel copper turun, belum langsung ngefek ke basic materials

Gas Coal naik, CPO naik tinggi. kita liat apakah akan jadi start reboundnya saham2 cpo

IHSG – harga sudah dibawah MA 20, buat pemakai ilmu MA untuk trend, sudah mau ngebalik trend nya ini

IHSG – sudah hampir semua indicator bilang mau lanjut turun, tinggal supertrend sama ichimoku yang belum firm

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Next: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Transportation

Healthcare – al good kecuali foreign yang belum akum

HEAL

HEAL – yang aneh itu ada candle volume buangan besar, tapi terus 2 white soldiers… Kalo dari indic lain sih ok semua… Memang pas volume buang itu di foreign sell-off besar, di bandar lokal akum besar, apa mereka mereka juga cuma tukeran barang ya? Anyway, all indicators say buy, tapi belum breakout resistance, jadi buy setengah botol aja dulu di tengah candle kemaren, soalnya kemungkinan besar index awal market akan ngerespon us merah, jadi ikut kebawah dulu

Kalo dari sini SAME dan MIKA yang udah jalan, kemaren sudah buy signal sih

SAME – price dibanting pas setelah keluar MACD buy signal…

SAME – mark-down distribusi… Bisa berlawanan sama sektornya gini… Prepare cutloss kalo break down support 320

MIKA – di level support, indic kebanyakan sideways, EMA cross buy kemaren, supposedly lanjut naik

Kemaren ada freq spike kecil…

Awal september pas sideways ada spike tinggi… MIKA HOLD

Consumer Cyclicals – Stoch MACD ok, bandar & foreign masih di dalem walau belum action, lg mau tes break fibo 23, PSAR up. Tanda2 bagus tapi belum running

Belum start sih… Belum nongol buy signals

Yang deket 45 derajat: MPMX ERAA SCMA

MPMX – belum sih

ERAA – tunggu MACD

SCMA – masih sideways, ada beberapa kali freq spike, hold, WNS apakah harus buang atau nambah, kayanya sih sektor jalan SCMA ngikut kita nambah

TOWR HEAL LINK PTRO

TOWR – stoch buy macd down MFI down, LR up PSAR up, harusnya retracement pattern jalan, tapi belum… 2 hari terakhir bandar sama foreign buang, WNS

PTRO – agak serem ada candle volume buangan walau merah nya tipis.. Stoch buy macd down mfi down, foreign exit, bandar akum kecil, LR di midline. Skip dulu