Daily Analysis 20220920

Global Update:

September 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, stocks snap two-day losing streak to start big Fed week

Stocks closed higher on Monday in a volatile trading session ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting slated to kick off Tuesday.

Dow…….31020 +197.3 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11535 +86.6 +0.76%
S&P 500..3900 +26.6 +0.69%

FTSE…….7237 closed +0%
Dax……..12803 +61.98 +0.49%
CAC……..6062 -15.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….27568 closed +0%
HSI……..18566 -195.7 -1.04%
Shanghai..3116 -10.8 -0.35%
ST Times..3256 -11.98 -0.37%

IDX…….7195.49 +26.62 +0.37%
LQ45…1024.73 +8.72 +0.86%

IDX Energy..1997.50 -37.27 -1.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1295.73 -8.40 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1363.31 -0.13 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..700.31 -2.24 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.89 +17.68 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.02 +4.98 +0.57%
IDX Techno..7347.55 -135.95 -1.82%
IDX Transp…1868.16 -35.32 -1.86%
IDX Infrast…..1030.42 +3.18 +0.31%
IDX Finance 1516.93 +4.26 +0.28%
IDX Banking..1180.67 +13.18 +1.13%
IDX Property….737 +0.40 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.2456 +0.0062 +0.09%
ICBI……..335.8074 +0.0016 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.4900 +0.0420 +1.22%
VIX……….25.76 -0.54 -2.05%

USDIndx 109.7370 -0.0270 -0.02%
Como Indx..279.78 +0.90 +0.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.09 -0.15 -0.10%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14977.50 +23.00 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14980.00 +41.00 +0.27%‼️

Euro……..1.0031 +0.0015 +0.15%

TLKM……..29.79 +0.59 +2.02%
(4463)
EIDO………24.61 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………37.91 +0.12 +0.03%

Oil…………..85.73 +0.62 +0.73%
Gold ……..1684.90 +1.40 +0.08%
Timah. .21137.00 – -%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24621.50 +226.00 +0.66%
(Closed 19/9)
Silver…….19.58 +0.20 +1.03%
Copper….352.85 +1.20 +0.34%

Nturl Gas…..7.878 +0.061 +0.78%

Ammonia..4256.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.05 +1.55 +0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.25 +3.25 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….307.55 +3.25 +1.07%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….308.80 +3.25 +1.06%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 -100 -2.63%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..678.25 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…65.16 -0.80 -1.21%
Wheat……..830.50 -29.25 -3.40%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 19/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fed rencana naikin suku bunga lagi, US ijo tadi malem. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG yang mantul setelah sebelumnya koreksi hampir 2%.

Kemungkinan hari ini merah lagi sih, udah firm wave 2 nya by bearish divergence. Hati-hati belanja, pilih sektor yang jalan aja atau saham yang contrarian.

Semua komoditas ijo kecuali CPO, semoga bikin jalan Basic Materials

IHSG – akhirnya FNS… Setelah seminggu lebih foreign entry terus. Semua indicator bilang mau turum,atau sideways,ga ada lagi yang bilang up. Lagging line ichimoku sih, tapi udah dikit lagi mau nabrak masuk ke candle

Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation. Basic Materials, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure lagi siap siap

Property – Sell rev down, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign last day exit, retracement pattern kejedot fibo 23, tembus dikit balik lagi, tapi ga mau dibawa kebawah lagi keliatannya. Pas juga lagi di support, neckline IHNS. Buy on Dips

Belum ada buy signal baru, BSDE CTRA SMRA masih big akum bandar

BSDE – stoch aja yang melemah, yang lain masih ok. Memang penentuan ini, apakah tembus fibo 38 ke atas atau mau ke 23 dulu. Yang jelas IHNS nya udah confirmed breakout

Consumer Cyclicals – retracement pattern siap mantul dari area fibo 23. Stoch Up, MACD dikit lagi buy, PSAR up, bandar mulai akum, foreign lanjut akum, mulai liat detail deh.

MNCN – menarik banget, MACD dan stoch udah buy, bandar sama foreign belum gerak, masih dibawah fibo 23, sekarang sektornya udah hampir jalan, sabar dikit lagi deh, tunggu sektor Consumer Cyclicals cross MACD nya. Price udah diatas MA 20. Pantau ketat… Kalo hari ini merah, tapi signal masih firm, buy on weakness

ERAA – stoch MACD MFI belum ok, tapi menarik banget dari retracement pattern dan LR, apalagi karena tahu ERAA turun dianter berita profit yang turun, padahal di bukunya keliatan bahwa di design untuk sengaja turun, banyak cost yang ga makan cash tapi dibukukan di LK terakhir, dan lanjut pengumuman akan meneruskan Buy Back saham, tunggu MACD cross berani bottomfishing, even sebelum bandar dan foreign mulai masuk lagi

Transportation – Belum ini sih, cuma stoch aja sempet technical rebound dikit, yang lain belum ada yang ok

ASSA

ASSA – sempet terlihat menarik pas MACD nya cross, ketangkep sama screener, tapi ga buy karena sektornya lagi memble, bener aja lanjut ke bawah lagi… SKIP

Basic Materials – tambah ga asik, Stoch sama MACD sell, setelah gagal breakout neckline IHNS.