Daily Analysis 20220812

Global Update:

August 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat, Nasdaq dips as market comeback rally takes a breather

Stocks struggled for direction on Thursday as investors mulled another better-than-expected inflation report.

Dow…….33337 +27.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq.12780 -74.9 -0.58%
S&P 500..4207 -2.97 -0.07%

FTSE…….7466 -41.2 -0.55%
Dax……..13695 -6.4 -0.05%
CAC……..6555 +21.2 +0.33%

Nikkei….27819 closed +0%
HSI……..20082 +471.6 +2.40%
Shanghai..3282 +51.7 +1.60%
ST Times..3302 +15.6 +0.48%

IDX…….7160.38 +74.15 +1.05%
LQ45…1018.33 +10.53 +1.04%

IDX Energy…1823.35 +18.95 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1357.45 +26.07 +1.96%
IDX Industrl..1307.26 +3.14 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.86 +4.57 +0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.15 -1.17 -0.13%
IDX Techno..8256.40 +221.65 +2.76%
IDX Transp…2108.67 +16.39 +0.78%
IDX Infrast…..1044.04 +11.63 +1.13%
IDX Finance 1537.57 +9.31 +0.61%
IDX Banking..1167.16 +3.58 +0.31%
IDX Property…..709 +13 +1.86%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..335.7363 +1.2252 +0.38%
US10Yr…..2.8880 +0.1020 +3.66%
VIX…………20.20 +0.46 +2.33%

USDIndx 105.0900 -0.1390 -0.13%‼️
Como Indx..295.06 +5.79 +2.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.27 +3.80 +2.37%
.
IndoCDS…102.39 – 9.85 -8.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14765.50 -105.00 -0.71%👍
Jisdor..14799 .00 -76.00 -0.51%👍

Euro………1.0327 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM……..30.94 +0.29 +0.95%
(4579)
EIDO………24.10 +0.10 +0.42%
EEM………40.62 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil…………..94.11 +2.53 +2.76%
Gold ……..1804.70 -3.60 -0.20%
Timah. .25541.00 +115.00 +0.47%
( Closed 10/8)
Nickel…23701.00 +1265.00 +5.64%‼️
(Closed 11/8)
Silver…….20.24 -0.33 -1.60%
Copper….369.40 +5.70 +1.57%

Nturl Gas…..8.727 +0.506 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/8)

Coal price….401.00 +2.35 +0.59%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 -3.70 -0.92%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.50 -2.50 -0.64%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….344.00 +2.00 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….338.25 -0.25 -0.07%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….328.75 -0.25 -0.08%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4268 +162 +3.94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………627.75 +9.25 +1.50%
SoybeanOil…67.62 +1.63 +2.47%
Wheat………826.25 +10.00 +1.23%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 11/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing tipis2, Asia ijo masih ikut sentimen kemarennya, europe varied. VIX (volatility index) diatas 20, rada kurang baik buat saham

Lagi, semua komoditas ijo kecuali gold dan silver. Coal kembali diatas 400 USD/MT, Nikel Gas CPO naik tinggi

Ada kemungkinan saham coal dilanjut naik, dan trio ANTM INCO TINS juga. Semoga PGAS yang jalan, udah sempet ada volume breakout tapi masih loyo

IHSG ada 3 gap dibawah… 6911 6740 sama 6162

Keliatannya tapi koreksi wave 2 ini nutup sampe gap yang 6740. Kalau sampe 6162 break pattern, bahaya bener

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD melandai, gap sudah ketutup, LR belum mentok, PSAR tanda2 mau reversal, lagging line di ichimoku, supertrend dan alligator still UP, majornya sih jelas sudah uptrend, tapi wave 2 is eminent sepertinya

Ada yang kurang jelas

Infra, Transport, Techno, next Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare. kemaren liat MIKA menarik

Infrastructure – stoch sell tapi macd masih up, LR break upper channel kalo kuat ganti slope nanti, buat entry baru rawan koreksi, yang udah pegang saham infra floating profit bisa hold sampe ada tanda reversal

BUMN konstruksi big accum, EXCL TLKM TOWR juga. JSMR ADHI stoch buy signal

EXCL TLKM BUMN konstruksi sama TOWR

EXCL – semoga lanjut sampe tutup gap @3170. Indic masih all good

TLKM – gap closed, stoch sell, MACD start reversal, harusnya bikin higher low dulu, wave 2 ke sekitar 4270 fibo 50. Disitu kalo mau entry sepertinya lebih tepat

WIKA – vol breakout lagi… stoch macd psar ok, udah ketemu bearish divergence, kalo ga cancelled harusnya bikin higher low dulu. Masih setengah hati masuk BUMN konstruksi karena keuangannya masih pada jelek. Tapi kemaren kalo ga lagi full load pas vol breakout pertama pasti ikut buy sih, kalo sekarang ga berani, mau nunggu pullback dulu aja

Harga sudah lari ke atas average modal bandar… ga ideal buat entry

TOWR – udah ada bearish divergence, belum sampe fibo 61, wajtu du fibo 38 belum koreksi dulu, kayanya ini mau koreksi dulu deh, stoch rev, macd up tapi melandai

Transportation and Logistics – stoch overbought hampir sell, ABC correction mau wave C, diluar itu indic bagus

ASSA

ASSA – stoch buy,macd up, bandar belum banyak akum, foreign masuk, supertrend up alligator sw, retracement pattern abis ada hidden bullish divergence naik, harusnya test fibo 23. LR short term up, long nya belum ok slope masih kebawah

ASSA dari harga menarik sih…

Technology – Bearish divergence, udah satu candle merah, udah tutup gap, stoch goyang, macd goyang, foreign exit, koq bahaya ya…

GOTO macd buy signal, MTDL big accum

GOTO – Abis naik tinggi koreksinya sudah sampe di fibo 61, MACD bolak balik buy sell buy, tapi kayanya udah bottoming. Ada kemungkinan setelah ini going north

Bandarnya Credit Suisse Mirae sama Mandiri, ga terlalu ugal-ugalan harusnya. Kalo main long asal modal deket sama average bandar

Berani sih masuk partial di GOTO, swing ya, jebol 270 cutloss. kalo ada konfirmasi volume baru nambah. Ada gap, kalo mau buy tunggu tutup gap aja

MTDL – stoch sell macd sw, abis kejedot upper channel terus turun. belum dulu deh