Daily Analysis 20220712

Global Update:

July 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 loses 1%, Nasdaq breaks 5-day win streak ahead of earnings season

U.S. equities fell Monday as Wall Street braced for big company earnings reports slated for later in the week which could signal how inflation is impacting businesses.

Dow…….31174 -164.3 -0.52%
Nasdaq.11373 -262.7 -2.26%
S&P 500..3854 -44.95 -1.15%

FTSE…….7197 +0.4 +0.00%
Dax……..12832 -182.8 -1.40%
CAC……..5996 -36.8 -0.61%

Nikkei….26812 +295.1 +1.11%
HSI……..21124 -601.6 -2.77%
Shanghai..3314 -42.5 -1.27%
ST Times..3131 closed +0%

IDX…….6722.15 -18.07 -0.27%
LQ45…..952.20 -7.48 -0.78%

IDX Energy…1652.63 +3.90 +0.24%
IDX Bsc Mat.1207.35 +5.45 +0.45%
IDX Industrl..1175.16 +7.88 +0.67%
IDXNONCYC..706.89 -3.08 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1542.01 +32.01 +2.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.07 +6.60 +0.76%
IDX Techno….7711.79 -71.41 -0.92%
IDX Transp…1916.22 +22.32 +1.18%
IDX Infrast……959.02 -1.06 -0.11%
IDX Finance 1413.52 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Property…….670 +1.40 +0.20%

Indo10Yr….7.3692 -0.0137 -0.19%
ICBI……….331.0665 -0.0258 -0.01%
US10Yr…..2.9910 -0.1100 -3.55%
VIX…………26.17 +1.53 +6.21%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼️
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.49 -2.28 -1.51%

*IndoCDS…144.98 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14975.00 -4.00 -0.03%‼️
Jisdor..14969.00 -12.00 -0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0043 -0.0142 -1.39%

TLKM……..26.66 +0.15 +0.57%
(3990)
EIDO………21.67 -0.15 -0.69%
EEM……….39.02 -1.07 -2.67%

Oil…………102.99 -1.80 -1.72%
Gold …….1731.90 -10.40 -0.60%
Timah. .25364.00 – –
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21880.00 +381.00 +1.77%
(Closed 11/7)
Silver…….19.07 -0.17 -0.88%
Copper….341.85 -10.35 -2.93%

Nturl Gas…..6.485 +0.4180 +6.89%‼️

Ammonia ..4406.67 -66.66 -1.49%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…419.00 +5.25 +1.27%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…426.80 +11.30 +2.72%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…390.00 +1.10 +0.28%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…386.65 +5.55 +1.46%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4163 +23 +0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….629.00 +5.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil…61.31 +0.82 +1.36%
Wheat………856.50 -35.00 -3.93%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 11/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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Pada kompak merah kecuali nikkei. Hangseng sama Nasdaq rada dalem turunnya

Nikel Gas Coal CPO lanjut naik, gas naik tinggi. Yang lain pada turun. Minyak turun tapi masih diatas 100 USD / barrel

Kalo liat MACD nya index,keliatannya bener ga akan dibawa tutup gap 6162 dulu, atau mungkin dibawa ngayun sekali naik minimal sideways dulu.

Energy Basic Material Industrial

Finance sama Property gerak tapi mencurigakan, pada buy signal tapi apakah hanya technical rebound? Belum ada insentif untuk property jalan, kredit ga digenjot, bunga bank naik -> KPR tambah mahal dan susah -> jual property lebih susah

AKRA PGAS ADRO ELSA

Yang buy signal FNB dan ada spike ELSA

AKRA big akum FNB dan ada spike, mau dibawa lari ini kayanya

AKRA – kenceng ya, dari bottom wave C index kemaren dia lari terus, kemaren fokus di ELSA sama ADRO jadi ga entry di AKRA, kirain akan jalan bareng ELSA

Udah naik 20%< tunggu koreksi nya aja bikin higher low baru kita ikut di wave 3

PGAS – all good kecuali FNS kecil, semoga nyusul AKRA ke atas bareng ADRO ELSA

ADRO – Hari ini semoga mulai akum besar, udah ada freq spike, begitu MACD cross kita nambah muatan

ELSA – All good, tunggu MACD nambah muatan

ANTM INCO TINS (satu paket yang ini) MDKA BRPT tapi agak berlawanan sama harga minyak ini BRPT

ANTM – MACD buy tambah muatan…

MDKA – ABC correction dah beres, LR siap mantul, stoch macd siap tinggal nunggu MACD firm, bandar sama foreign yang masih buang, tapi ada freq spike. kayanya MACD cross pas bandar akum dan FNB

BRPT – LR nya suram, retracement pattern bilang koreksi dulu setelah deket ke fibo 38, bisa jadi failed divergence juga sih, Stoch 833 oersold dan mulai ngebalik, koreksi dulu keliatannya, kalo lanjut kita entry di 833 buy signal

NKP menarik, BRPT juga dari sisi akumulasi bandar nya menarik sih

Wah ga deh ini belum saatnya industrial…

Belum terlihat buy signal yang firm reversal juga