Daily Analysis 20240215

February 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher as stocks recoup some losses following big sell-off

Stocks rose Wednesday as Wall Street clawed back some of the steep losses suffered in the previous session.

Dow……38424 +151.5 +0.40%
Nasdaq15859 +203.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.5000 +47.5 +0.96%

FTSE…..7568 +56.1 +0.75%
Dax……16945 +64.7 +0.38%
CAC……7677 +52.04 +0.68%

Nikkei..37703 -260.7 -0.69%
HSI……15879 +132.8 +0.84%
Shanghai.2866 +36.2 +1.28%

IDX…..7209.74 closed +0%
LQ45….988.16 closed +0%
IDX30…502.36 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2086.64 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1222.63 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1083.63 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.696.43 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1327.67closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…846.77 closed +0%
IDX Techno3997.68. closed .+0%
IDX Transp 1569.88 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1514.79 closed. +0%
IDX Finance.1514.79closed +0%
IDX Banking.1367.72 closed+0%
IDX Property.. 695 closed.+0%

Indo10Yr.6.6861closed +0%
ICBI…376.8166 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.582 -0.074 -1.59%
US5Yr 4.245 -0.073 -1.70%
US10Yr4.260 -0.058 -1.34%
US30Yr.4.439-0.028 -0.62%
VIX…14.38 -1.47 -9.27%‼️

USDIndx 104.7230 ‼️-0.24 -0.23%
Como Indx..270.19 -2.86 -1.05%
BCOMIN……133.26 +0.19 +0.14%

IndoCDS..74.22 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/02)

IDR…..15603.50 closed +0%
Jisdor.15585.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0730 +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…25.70 +0.37 +1.46%
(4005)
EIDO……22.70 +0.56 +2.53%
EEM……39.70 +0.59 +1.50%

Oil…….76.55 -0.09 -0.12%
Gold..2004.30‼️ -2.90 -0.14%
Timah..27571.00 +272.00 +1.00%
(Closed 13/03)
Nickel..16328.50 +67.50 +0.42%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……22.39 +0.23 +1.05%
Copper.370.00 -1.10 -0.30%

Iron Ore 62% 129.02+0.15 +0.12%
(13/02)
Nturl Gas..1.608 -0.081 -4.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 119.75 -0.75 -0.62%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.40 -0.60 -0.48%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 -0.90 -0.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..123.85 -1.15 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.80 -0.30 -0.32%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.90 -0.80 -0.88%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.80 -0.85 -0.97%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.30 -0.15 -0.17%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3948 +47.00 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.25 -6.50 -1.51%
SoybeanOil 46.93 -0.86 -0.86%
Wheat….583.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US ijo, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo, semoga hari ini ijo, minimal technical rebound lah, kemaren selasa drop jauh banget

US bond rates down, USD index down, metal2 naik kecuali gold sama copper, oil gas coal down, CPO up. ayo dong AALI LSIP jalan… ADRO PTBA ITMG kayanya still siap2 jalan tapi sideways dulu, coal price nya belum mantul kenceng

IHSG – kalo ikut pattern ABC correction, harusnya tetep ke 6900, ga tau nih dengan sentimen pilpres. Kemaren kejadian technical trap, dibanting setelah sebelumnya MACD buy signal. Tapi FNB terus, apparently they know something we don’t… Stoch up rev, MFI sw, w% keluar dari uptrend area. Masih beresiko sih

belum ada lagi yang jalan, tapi most likely energy transportation sama industrials yang akan jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT ANTM INDF AGRO BRMS. Big accum AKRA ANTM

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BBTN PTBA BRMS MPMX PNLF TKIM INDS

AKRA – versi elliot wave ini sih harusnya masih ada run wave 5, tapi bisa jadi kemaren wave 3 sebelum touch fibo 1.61 nya udah done, jadi ini malah udah beres wave 5 dan mau abc correction. Tapi ya udah megang ELSA aja lah. Ini MACD masih down, FF dist, MFI down, skip

ANTM – mendadak jump ketika BD rev acc, FF udah acc dari minggu kemaren. Stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, MFI up, w%up, jeleknya ini baru bikin lower low sebelum mantul, bikin gap juga, kalo mau spec buy di gap closing deh, amannya tunggu beres bikin higher low baru entry

INDF – masih belum berhasil keluar dari phase sideways, masih HOLD

BRMS – stoch buy macd buy MFI up w% up, bd rev dist, FF bolak balik, abis bikin lower low, walau ada reg bull div confirmed, tapi idealnya tunggu higher low aja

PTBA – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev dist, abis kejedot area deket fibo 23 udah koreksi dan bikin higher low,ini testing resistance, kalo breakout harusnya ke 3000. Saya hold nya ADRO sih, tapi BOB di PTBA lucu juga kayanya

ada spike baru…

AVG aman, big 3 accum, bisa buy yang belum punya coal

MPMX – menarik… 2 hari FF rev acc, PBV PER ok, stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD nya masih dist tipis… check spike

spike baru kurang firm,udah done juga

harga aman, tapi KZ buang, masih phase sideways, WNS deh

TKIM – stoch rev down, macd rev buy, FF acc,BD dist, MFi w% sw, lagi bikin minor higher low, menarik, tapi saya prefer hold INKP belum niat nambah