Daily Analysis 20220622

Global update:

June 22nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow jumps 600 points, S&P 500 adds 2.5% in comeback from worst weekly loss in 2 years

Stocks rose Tuesday following a brutal week as investors assessed a more aggressive Federal Reserve and rising chances of a recession.

Dow…….30530 +641.5 +2.15%
Nasdaq.11069 +270.95 +2.51%
S&P 500..3765 +89.95 +2.45%

FTSE…….7152 +30.2 +0.42%
Dax……..13292 +26.8 +0.20%
CAC……..5965 +44.6 +0.75%

Nikkei….26246 +475.1 +1.84%
HSI……..21560 +395.7 +1.87%
Shanghai..3307 -8.7 -0.26%
ST Times..3118 +21.1 +0.68%

IDX…….7044.07 +67.69 +0.97%
LQ45….1018.04 +11.25 +1.12%

IDX Energy…1690.84 +32.73 +1.97%
IDX Bsc Mat.1311.81 +16.55 +1.28%
IDX Industrl..1241.57 +7.80 +0.63%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +8.05 +1.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.29 +1.99 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.88 +4.20 +0.47%
IDX Techno..7849.89 +132.40 +1.72%
IDX Transp….2051.90 +26.06 +1.29%
IDX Infrast……949.51 +16.32 +1.75%
IDX Finance 1486.69 +10.59 +0.72%
IDX Property…….690 +2.60 +0.38%

Indo10Yr….7.5324 +0.0122 +0.16%
ICBI……….326.7413 -0.3236 -0.10%
US10Yr….3.3070 +0.0680 +3.1 0%
VIX……….30.19 -0.84 -2.71%

USDIndx 104.4140 -0.2860 -0.27%
Como Indx….309.00 -0.08 -0.03%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..170.89 +1.97 +1.17%

IndoCDS…127.96 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14812.50 -23.50 -0.16%‼️
Jisdor..14804.00 -32.00 -0.22%‼️

Euro………1.0536 -0.0023 -0.22%

TLKM……..27.48 +0.09 +0.33%
(4068)
EIDO……….23.07 +0.45 +1.99%
EEM……….40.31 +0.64 +1.61%

Oil………….110.65 +0.38 +0.34%
Gold …… .1838.80 -1.90 -0.10%
Timah. .30800.00 ” -314 -1.23%
( Closed 20/6)
Nickel..25984.00 +181.00 +0.70%
(Closed 18/6)
Silver……….21.85 +0.19 +0.88%
Copper…..404.85 +2.34 +0.58%

Nturl Gas…..6.834 +0.140 +2.09%

Ammonia ..4873.33 -100.00 -2.01%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(20/6)

Coal price…390.00 -2.75 -0.70%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price… 395.50 +13.25 +3.47%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…345.50 +0.15 +0.04%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price….373.10 +23.35 +6.72%‼️
(Jul/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4985 -40 -0.80%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………701.50 -29.50 -4.04%‼️
SoybeanOil….70.97 -0.69 -0.97%
Wheat………987.25 -59.50 -5.68%‼️

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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US bounce tinggi, ini bikin pattern abc correction jadi complex… Bisa dibawa naik dulu. Mungkin aja failed sih, gimana market. Tapi jarang terjadi

Kira kira begini, mungkin juga terjadi, yang pasti jangan main buy and hold ketika kemungkinan koreksi besar. Kecuali lagi impulse wave 3, kaya di akhir tahun 2021 kemaren

Oil Nickel Silver Copper Gas naik Gold timah Coal Spot sama CPO turun

Coal Spot turun dikit tapi future nya naik tinggi, kayanya urusannya sama krisis energy karena supply gas dan minyak dari eropa timur keganggu jadi PLTU di eropa mau diidupin lagi

Finance, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Technology… Property, Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals right behind them

Karena leading, dan ada kemungkinan index mau lanjut naik dulu, kita assess finance deh…

BTPS – stoch macd ok, bandar belum gerak, foreign udah masuk tapi lagi stagnant, posisi lagi di area support, pola retracement mendukung ke atas, regression channel juga. Kita BOW setengah botol deh, stoploss ketat

BRIS – stoch belum, MACD malah sell, ada bullish divergence belum confirmed, reg channel meragukan, ga ok…

ISAT TBIG TLKM EXCL

ISAT – Stoch ga ok, MACD mungkin lanjut, retracement udah kena fibo 61, bisa dibawa turun dulu lagi sebelum nanti nanti lagi tutup gas di atas, regression channel kemaren mantul di mid, possible lanjut naik tapi ga aman, mending cari yang satu sektor tapi belum gerak

TBIG – stoch 833 suggest minor correction, udah jalan mantul di atas fibo 23, sudah sah lanjut naik. Minusnya cuma bahwa stoch mulai overbought dan foreign belum masuk lagi abis kemaren buang sebelum cum date

TLKM – all good kecuali foreign yang belum mulai masuk lagi

EXCL – ini juga all good kecuali MACD belum firm, sama foreign juga belum masuk lagi… Today mau buy excl di setengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

Masih EMTK BUKA, safe di EMTK aja deh

EMTK – All good, semoga tinggal larinya aja tutup gap diatas

PWON

PWON – All good tunggu MACD aja, entry ideal di 482 kalo dikasih

INTP… Tapi ANTM MDKA menarik banget

INTP – technical semua mendukung, tapi bandar dan foreign belum gerak… Speculative buy berani sih setengah botol, di 9325 kalo break support 9100 buang, cutloss

ANTM – Menarik banget, tapi itungan koreksi abc sampe ke level 1860. Stoch ok, macddikit lagi, reg channel ok, bandar mulai akum tipis, foreign masih di dalem

MDKA – kebiasaan long run kalo MACD buy signal di bawah oscillator line. Karena sektornya belum firm leading, kita tunggu aja MACD nya deh. Divergence belum confirmed, reg channel ok, bandar and foreign masih belum masuk lagi

Stoch Buy Signal

MACD Buy Signal

Emiten yang nongol disini dan sektornya kayanya lagi giliran jalan udah kebahas semua ya di atas… Bismillah