Daily Analysis 20230504

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday after Fed hikes rates for a 10th time

Stocks fell Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, as was widely expected

Dow……33414 -270.3 -0.80%
Nasdaq12025 -55.2 -0.46%
S&P 500.4091 -28.8 -0.70%

FTSE…..7788 +15.3 +0.20%
Dax……15815 +88.1 +0.56%
CAC……7404 +20.6 +0.28%

Nikkei…..29158 closed +0%
HSI………19699 -234.7 -1.18%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6812.72 -50.58 -0.74%
LQ45….947.65 -7.96 -0.83%
IDX30…493.92 -4.20 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…2002.37 -29.43 -1.45%
IDX BscMat 1138.16 -12.55 -1.09%
IDX Indstrl…1168.57 -15.75 -1.33%
IDXNONCYC.731.08 +8.43 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1499.47 -9.84 -0.65%
IDXCYCLIC….815.60 +2.22 +0.27%
IDX Techno..4857.67 -25.66 -0.53%
IDX Transp..1791.91 -21.10 -1.16%
IDX Infrast…..811.63 -1.63 -0.20%
IDX Finance.1377.01 -7.15 -0.52%
IDX Banking.1148.93 -8.50 -0.73%
IDX Property…700 +3.20 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.6924 -0.0366 -0.54%👍
ICBI….357.9499 +0.8065 +0.23%👍
US2Yr.3.8645 -0.1278 -3.20%‼
US5Yr 3.3457 -0.1233 -3.55%‼
US10Yr3.3540-0.0690 -2.01%
US30Yr.3.6930 -0.0210 -0.66%
VIX…… 18.34 +0.56 +3.15%

USDIndx101.3430 -0.6150 -0.60%
Como Indx.256.56 -4.07 -1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.86 -1.31 -0.85%

IndoCDS..94.58 -1.46 -1.52%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..14692.00 -21.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.14706.00 +3 +0.02%

Euro……1.1068 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..28.22 -0.32 -1.12%
(4150)
EIDO….24.14 -0.11 -0.45%
EEM….38.56 -0.06 -0.16%

Oil……66.54 -5.05 -7.05%‼
Gold.2068.00‼ +43.10 +2.13%
Timah..26491.00 +403.00 +1.54%
(Closed 02/05)
Nickel..24646.00 -309.50 -1.24%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver……26.06 +0.44 +1.72%
Copper…383.50 -3.10 -0.80%
Iron Ore 62% +2.40. +2.32%
(02/05)
Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0700 -3.15%

Coal price.180.60 -6.95 -3.70%‼
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.30 -7.70 -4.05%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.80 -7.20 -3.71%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.20 -7.05 -3.56%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.50 -4.60 -3.38%‼
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.128.00 -4.50 -3.40%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.50 -5.00 -3.80%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.75 -5.10 -3.87%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3430 +18 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..588.60 +8.50 +1.47%
SoybeanOil52.64 +0.85 +1.64%
Wheat…639.75 +30.50 +5.01%‼

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

© ( DE ) – ( AT ) 04 – 05 – 2023

Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

US merah lagi, Europe ijo, asia banyak tutup, his idx merah dalem. Masih belum kondusif buat belanja belanja agresif

Oil Gas Coal drop, energy bye bye dulu ini, Metal2 varied, Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore Ijo, Nickel Copper merah, CPO ijo. ANTM bisa diperhatikan, MDKA belum masuk di technical

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd rev down, 833 sell, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS 2 hari, prepare belanja pas udah sampe fibo 23 atau udah mantul lagi keatas fibo 38. Rejection resistance di neckline pattern emang suka kejam

Lho, infrastructure koq jalan terus cacingnya, padahal telco sama tower pada drop? Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Technology

Checking manual, infra versi BUMN konstruksi sesuai dugaan koreksi dulu, kalo udah bikin higher low kita baru berani buy, tower2 drop, TLKM drop, ISAT EXCL yang soaring, later check apa layak riding

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL, SIDO, AALI, ABMM, BSDE, MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO JPFA ABMM JSMR MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: BRPT INKP TPIA BMTR HEAL PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: AMRT

EXCL – stoch buy,MACD almost, BD FF dist, reg bull div RSI confirmed by MA10, sabar, tunggu higher low dan BD FF ngebalik akum

SIDO – stoch buy, MACD almost, MFIup, w% up, FNB lst day, BD masih dist tapi mengecil, posisi udah bikin higher low, pas fibo 38, LR buy, ada spike kita check detail

Spike tinggi sebelum harga turun, spike jual dong. Belum ada lagi…

AALI – skip dulu, masih bikin lower low terus

BSDE – ga berani entry baru, stoch buy, macd up BD FF dist tipis, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, kejedot fibo 61, ketemu reg bear div, skip dulu ah

MNCN – stoh buy macd up mfi up w%up, BD FF dist, kemaren vol gede banget tapi bikin doji, udah bikin minor higher low sih… Check spike

Belum kalo dari spike mah…

ARTO skip

JPFA – stoch up macd buy MFI up w%up, last day bd ff acc,reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, macd and ma10. Belum bikin higher low, jadi spec buy sebagian dulu

Belum ada spike lagi

Harga aman

JSMR – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI sw, w% sw, drop dari rejection fibo 61 ke 23, mantul ke 50, drop lagi kebawah 38, harusnya otw 61 lagi beresin retracement. BD 3 hari acc, FF dist. Sempet ada spike kita check dulu

Spike kurang signifikan

Relatif aman

MAPI – stoch up,MACD buy, 833 buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF dist, abis wave 5 belum abc correction, baru A, mungkin bisa riding B tapi jangan ngarep panjang, paling target minor CNH aja

Ada spike tapi ga signifikan, WNS