Daily Analysis 20230327

March 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday as investors try to shake off latest bank fears

Stocks rose Friday after a volatile trading session. Although Friday began with fears that the banking crisis was spilling over to Deutsche Bank, the markets rebounded to end the week on a higher note.

Dow……32238 +132.3 +0.41%
Nasdaq11824 +36.6 +0.31%
S&P 500.3971 +22.3 +0.56%

FTSE…..7405 -94.2 -1.26%
Dax…..14957 -253.2 -1.66%
CAC……7015 -124.2 -1.74%

Nikkei…..27385 -34.4 -0.13%
HSI………19915 -133.96 -0.67%
Shanghai.3266 -21.0 -0.64%

IDX…..6762.25 +70.64 +1.06%
LQ45….941.04 +11.05 +1.19%
IDX30…490.93 +5.66 +1.17%

IDXEnergy…1995.06 +12.02 +0.61%
IDX BscMat 1154.73 +15.12 +1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1151.67 +11.08 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.32 +11.04 +1.54%
IDX Hlthcare1540.35 -5.32 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..801.84 +11.48 +1.45%
IDX Techno..5026.10 +118.54+2.42%
IDX Transp..1773.55 +25.12 +1.44%
IDX Infrast…..806.17 -3.49 -0.43%
IDX Finance.1390.07+16.96 +1.23%
IDX Banking.1157.91 +23.41 +2.06%
IDX Property….677 +12.1 +1.83%

Indo10Yr.6.8609 -0.045 -0.66%👍
ICBI…..352.0677 +1.1141+0.32%👍
US2Yr3.7667 -0.0579 -1.51%
US5Yr 3.4075 -0.0232 -0.68%
US10Yr3.3720 -0.0790 -2.29%
US30Yr.3.644 -0.0370 -1.01%
VIX…… 21.75 -0.87 -3.85%

USDIndx103.1160 +0.5840 +0.57%
Como Indx.258.49 +0.71 +0.28 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.83 +0.37 +0.23%

IndoCDS..112.800 +6.892 +6.51%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15153.00 -192.00 -1.25%👍
Jisdor.15189.00 -160.00 -1.05%👍

Euro……1.0760 -0.0068 -0.63%

TLKM….27.04 +0.03 +0.11%
(4107)
EIDO……22.89 +0.31 +1.37%
EEM……38.67 -0.10 -0.26%

Oil……69.26 -0.28 -0.40%
Gold.2001.70 -9.70 -0.48%
Timah .24830.00 +482.00 +1.98%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23652.00 +1141.00 +5.07%‼️
(Closed 03/24)
Silver…..23.34 +0.16 +0.69%
Copper..407.50 -2.20 -0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.181 +0.031 +1.44%

Ammonia 4016.67 -83.33 -2.03%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.175.35 -1.30 -0.74%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.35 +9.20 +5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.34 +10.25 +5.60%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.95 +7.90 +4.29%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.15 -0.65 -0.48%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.05 -3.00 -2.34%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.75 -2.25 -1.80%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.90 -2.70 -2.18%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3531 -40 -1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.00 +11.25 +1.78%
SoybeanOil.53.27 +1.10 +2.11%
Wheat…..688.00 +26.50+4.00%‼️

Wood pulp…5320.00 -7.0 -1.30%
(Closed 03/25)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo, Europe merah, Asia merah, IDX ijo sendiri… Harusnya lanjut tapi ada gap tipis kemaren, prepare closing gap dulu sebelum naik, semoga cuma dikasih long lower shadow aja

Oil Merah, Coal rotterdam dan newcastle spot merah, NCF future nya ijo tebel, gas ijo, metal2 varied, gold copper merah, silver ijo, timah nikel ijo tebel, INCO jalan kayanya ini, signalnya udah kemaren

IHSG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI w% up, BD FF acc, ABC correction level seems done, ew reset keliatannya, udah close diatas MA10, mantul dari lower channel, cross midline LR, semoga lanjut

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials nyusul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO ASII BBCA BRIS INDY MEDC SCMA TINS TOWR BMTR SMRA MBSS MPMX

Yang Big Accum BBCA

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBO INKP, AMRT BBCA CPIN ICBP big accum, pas sama suasana ramadhan/lebaran

BBCA – di pump banget ini BBCA, sampe bikin gap, hadeuh… Stoch buy Macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, ada gap juga di atas, wave 3, idealnya sih dapet buy di closing gap, baru ke atas. Tapi semua faktor selain itu ok. Kalo mau masuk setengah dulu aja, setengah lagi di level closing gap

Beneran, idealnya closing gap baru belanja

BRIS – stoch buy but bolak balik, macd almost buy, BD FF mulai ACC, MFI flat, w% up, wait MACD

MEDC – stoch buy, macd revup, MFI up, BD dist, FF acc, w% down trend, ew reverse seems done, mantul di support, wait MACD

Belum ada spike lagi

Harga aman

TINS – menarik banget, apalagi harga timah naik tinggi. banyak gap di atas, stoch buy, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, tapi FF masih dist, BD juga, wait MACD

ICBP – stoch up macd buy MFI up, w%up, BD FF acc, mantul dari lower channel, jeleknya ketemu hid bear, minor correction dulu kayanya, bagus buat entry. Pasang di tengah candle kemaren

Broker average dibawah, idealnya jangan kejauhan, walau kalo liat avg 90 hari udah aman

Ya berani lah beli di tengah candle kemaren

BMTR – BD FF masih buang, assess lagi kalo macd buy

MBSS – hampir sama dengan BMTR, BD FF masih belum gerak, masih buang, tunggu MACD

MPMX – kaya yang ok, stoch buy macd rev up, mfi up, abis ada reg bull div vwmacd naik sampe tembus ma10, tapi ini abis ketemu reg bear macd belum abc correction, kita tunggu dulu BD FF firm accum dan MACD buy baru assess ulang

CPIN – stoch up macd buy mfi up w% sw,BD FF acc, close diatas ma 10, LR mantul, mau lebaran, all good, BOW half candle kemaren

Harga aman